Bitcoin finally broke out of the tight range it’s been stuck in for weeks, rising to just below the $78,000 mark, a level not reached since early February, as risk-on sentiment floods back into the market.

The jump comes on the heels of Iran and the US announcing the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz on Friday morning, which sent oil prices down and the stock market higher.

The renewed optimism for a deal with Iran and the end of the Middle East conflict also sent crypto stocks jumping, with Strategy, the largest corporate bitcoin holder, up more than 13% late Friday morning.

Wave Digital Assets’ head of international portfolio management, Rajiv Sawhney, told Sherwood News that it’s all about the Strait of Hormuz. “Markets are interpreting it as a win. It’s a knee-jerk reaction given positioning and expectations. As such, while bitcoin was able to tick higher, the $80K level will be the real barometer we need to cross for me to feel confident that this relief rally has legs,” he said, adding that until then, he’s remaining cautiously optimistic that risk assets can close at these levels. 

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood that we’re seeing a classic short squeeze as heavy short positions in bitcoin are being liquidated, adding that the next resistance level to watch is $79,000. 

“If we get past that and close the week above this level, $90k becomes a real possibility in the medium term. However, if the rally gets rejected at this level, we could remain stuck in the range between $65k and $75k that held bitcoin hostage for months,” Puckrin added.

Underscoring the cautious comeback, Bloomberg reported that from a derivatives market perspective, “traders remain largely defensive.”

“Funding rates for perpetual futures contracts, a key measure of whether leveraged traders are betting on higher or lower prices, were negative. Hefty premiums are also being paid for put options providing downside protections at $60,000 and $50,000, respectively,” Bloomberg reported.

Bitfinex analysts told Sherwood that the liquidation heat map shows dense shorts leverage stacked between $76,000 and $78,000. 

“Clearing this range opens a substantial air gap in the unspent realized price distribution up to $82,000,” they said, adding that the next level they are watching is $83,000, a “significant wall at the short-term holder realized price.”

Intel’s surge of nearly 60% this month has the iconic American chipmaker’s stock price approaching levels last seen during the dot-com era. Bloomberg noted that shares just touched their highest intraday level since the turn of the century:

“The stock rose as much as 1.5% to $69.55, topping a peak it hit on Jan. 24, 2020. The shares are up 90% this year, after soaring 84% in 2025. Intel is now roughly 8% from its all-time closing high of $74.88, established on Aug. 31, 2000.”

That’s just the most recent late-’90s-era throwback we’ve been seeing in tech shares lately. Oracle is currently pacing for its best week since late 1999.

What’s even more remarkable, however, is that Intel’s forward price-to-earnings ratio today dwarfs the premiums the market was putting on the stock during the nuttiness of the dot-com mania.

That reflects the fact that the recent run-up in Intel shares is, essentially, giving the chip giant credit for a massive turnaround that hasn’t actually happened yet.

One also might wonder if the fact that Intel is partially owned by the US government means it’s more attractive — and therefore worth a higher premium — than other chipmakers without the state imprimatur.

Still, kind of startling.

Critical Metals is up more than 25% in premarket trading on Friday after the critical mining company announced that it now owns 92.5% of the Tanbreez rare earth deposit following an approval from the government of Greenland.

With that latest government support, Critical Minerals added an additional 50.5% stake to its ownership, reportedly acquired from Rimbal Pty Ltd, per Bloomberg News. With access to eight heavy rare earth elements often used in consumer electronics and defense, the site is one of the world’s largest undeveloped rare earth deposits and a key source of rare earth supply outside of China, according to the company.

In Critical Metals’ press release, Chairman Tony Sage commented that the approval “removes the most significant structural overhang on the project and provides the clarity to advance Tanbreez to production with confidence,” especially as Tanbreez’s location offers a significant logistical advantage through its year-round direct shipping access, compared to rival projects.

With 92.5% of the project now vested in Critical Metals Corp., and the remainder owned by European Lithium Ltd., CRML now has full control of the project and is seeking to accelerate development there, with plans for a new international airport and a “150-tonne bulk sample program,” which is slated for June 2026.

Apple’s iPhone shipments in China jumped 20% last quarter, even as the country’s overall smartphone market fell 4%, according to new data from Counterpoint Research. Rising memory costs have pushed prices higher across the industry, weighing on demand.

Apple appears poised to ride out the broader smartphone slump. Its strength at the less price-sensitive high end of the market and its unusual leverage over suppliers, which helps keep costs in check, give it an edge over rivals.

Greater China remains a critical region for Apple, making up about 18% of its total revenue in the fourth quarter. The company accounted for 19% of China’s smartphone market in the first quarter, up from 15% a year earlier, per Counterpoint.

Last quarter, Anthropic attracted the lion’s share of trackable business spending on generative-AI software, according to new data from Ramp, a fintech company that provides corporate cards and expense management software for small firms and Fortune 500 companies alike.

The data showed that in the first quarter, Anthropic saw 37% of spending, its biggest share yet, versus 33% for OpenAI. Notably, the dataset doesn’t capture spending by Google or Microsoft.

OpenAI, which makes ChatGPT, still leads in overall adoption at 81% of AI buyers, but Anthropic is catching up, at nearly 63% in March. Overall, more than half of Ramp’s customers currently pay for AI, up from just 18% two years ago.

Anthropic’s enterprise tools, including Claude Code and Cowork, have been making waves among the business class, sending its revenue soaring.

Anthropic’s revenue share is even higher among companies spending on AI for the first time.

“Anthropic has definitely been on a tear,” Ara Kharazian, Ramp’s economist, told Sherwood News. “Its increase in adoption rates has been driven by its ability to sell to less technical users and smaller contracts than it typically has.”

It’s notable that midway through the first quarter, Anthropic had a falling-out with one of its biggest customers, the US government, which near the end of February decided to shun Anthropic’s products and lean into working with OpenAI.

Oracle is up nearly 27% for the week in midmorning trading Thursday, putting it on track for its best weekly gain since June of 1999.

And yes, that run-up — which has added $100 billion to Oracle’s market cap this week — beats the nuttiness of last September, when the stock exploded up 36% in a single day after Oracle disclosed its massive AI-related sales backlog. By the end of that week, the stock ended up a mere 25%.

This week, the company soared 13% on Monday after signing a power deal with fuel cell maker Bloom Energy, as the market continues to be super focused on how quickly hyperscalers can get their AI data centers built and powered up. (Finding off-grid connections to electricity is proving increasingly tricky.)

On Thursday, Oracle also announced a collaboration with Amazon Web Services that would allow customers of both companies to easily move data back and forth and run programs using data center infrastructure from either company.

Oracle, along with other large-cap AI beneficiaries and the rest of the market, has also been getting a lift from a period of relative calm in the Iran war, with stocks hitting new record highs and US crude oil prices declining by more than 10% this month.

Retail favorite Oklo, the “pre-revenue” designer of smaller experimental modular nuclear reactors with close ties to the Trump administration, is on track for its best week since January, even after slumping early Thursday.

Before Thursday’s slight decline, Oklo had posted big gains for four straight days, rising 33% in that time frame. Another stock in the category, Nuscale, rose 27% in the same span.

Oklo shares may have benefited from a directive published Tuesday by the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy directing federal agencies to “establish cost-effective partnerships with private-sector innovators to meet near-term objectives that include safely deploying nuclear reactors in orbit as early as 2028 and on the Moon as early as 2030.”

Oklo’s close ties to the US government could put it in a position to benefit from such orders. US Secretary of Energy Chris Wright formerly served on Oklo’s board of directors.

Separately, Oklo announced new members of its board of directors Tuesday, adding David Christian, a former executive from Dominion Energy, and David Park, CEO of Standard Lithium, among others.

Whether these announcements ultimately translate into a financial gain for Oklo remains to be seen. But it likely won’t be seen for a while.

The company doesn’t expect to generate any meaningful revenue until it brings its Aurora line of modular reactors, none of which have been built yet, to market. (The company has announced approvals of some design plans related to a prototype it’s building at the Idaho National Laboratory.)

On the other hand, Oklo does have some money to burn, reporting cash and marketable securities worth some ~$1.4 billion at the end of 2025. And with the share price spiking this week, Oklo executives might also be tempted to offer more stock as a source of funding.

Oklo’s upswing comes amid a rebound in retail trading this week that’s sending stocks and crypto beloved by individual traders — such as IonQ, D-Wave Quantum, Hims & Hers, and SoundHound AI — sharply higher, as worries about Iran ease and traders rush to buy whatever remaining “dip” there is.