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DoorDash reports earnings miss, underwhelming earnings guidance

DoorDash reported earnings results that missed Wall Street expectations and provided underwhelming earnings guidance Wednesday after the bell.

For the final three months of 2025, DoorDash reported:

  • Earnings per share of $0.48, compared to the $0.59 analysts polled by FactSet were expecting.

  • Revenue at $3.9 billion, compared to the $3.9 billion analysts were penciling in.

  • Gross order value (the total amount spent on the platform) hit $29.7 billion, compared to the $29.2 billion analysts were expecting.

For the current quarter, the company expects:

  • GOV between $31.0 billion and $31.8 billion, compared to the $30.7 billion analysts are expecting.

  • Adjusted EBITDA between $675 million and $775 million, compared to $801.9 million analysts are expecting.

markets

Figma spikes after reporting better than expected Q4 results, blowout Q1 and full-year sales guidance

Figma reported Q4 results that exceeded Wall Street’s expectations and robust sales guidance for the current quarter and full year.

Shares are spiking in after-hours trading.

For the final three months of 2025, the digital design and development platform company reported:

  • Revenue of $303.8 million, compared to the $293.1 million analysts were penciling in.

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.08, compared to the $0.07 analysts polled by Bloomberg expected.

For sales, management expects:

  • Q1 between $315 million to $317 million (estimate: $293.6 million)

  • Full-year between $1.366 billion and $1.374 billion (estimate: $1.29 billion)

The lower end of these ranges are above the highest analyst’s sales estimates for both Q1 and 2026 as a whole.

This marks the company's second earnings report since going public over the summer. Its share price has taken a hit this year alongside many of its software peers, and management will be looking to show that AI can be an accelerant, rather than a threat, to its business. On Tuesday, Figma announced a partnership with Anthropic to integrate AI coding tools.

“Our healthy balance sheet and positive free cash flow gives us the flexibility to continue investing in AI and the platform while maintaining financial discipline for sustainable, long-term growth,” said CFO Praveer Melwani in a press release.

As of the close on Wednesday, the stock was down 35% for the year and roughly 80% below to its closing level at the time of its July IPO.

crypto

Institutions continue to bet on ethereum amid “rock bottom” investor sentiment

Ethereum is trading below $2,000, a nearly 40% drawdown in the last 30 days and a 60% decline from its all-time high of $4,946 set in August 2025. Despite the pullback, institutions are still expanding their presence in the ethereum ecosystem. 

  • BlackRock took a step toward listing its staked ethereum ETF, a Tuesday amendment filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission shows. The financial titan purchased $100,000 worth of seed shares where the proceeds will be used to purchase ethereum

  • Ethereum’s largest treasury firm, BitMine Immersion Technologies, announced on Tuesday that it acquired 45,759 tokens worth $90.1 million at current prices and increased its staking operations to 3 million tokens, bringing annualized staking revenue to $176 million, a press release stated.

  • Meanwhile, Harvard University’s endowment gained exposure to the second-largest cryptocurrency for the first time by purchasing 3.9 million million shares of BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum Trust ETF, worth around $86.8 million, per an SEC filing. Simultaneously, the Harvard Management Company sold about 1.5 million shares of the iShares Bitcoin Trust, decreasing its stake by 21%. 

The changes in institutional exposure to ethereum comes as investor sentiment is at “rock bottom,” according to BitMine Chairman Tom Lee, reminiscent of the forlornness during the 2018 crypto winter and 2022 November lows amid the collapse of the now bankrupt exchange FTX. 

“Crypto has remained weak since the ‘price shock’ and massive deleveraging seen on October 10th. For us at Bitmine, we cannot control the price of Ethereum, and the company is acquiring ETH regardless of price trend, as the long-term outlook for Ethereum remains outstanding,” Lee said in a statement.

markets

Record labels dip as Google adds AI music generation to its Gemini app

Google on Wednesday said it’s rolling out the ability for Gemini app users aged 18 and up to generate 30-second AI music tracks.

The tool is available globally, as Google launches beta access to its Lyria 3 generative-AI music model.

Addressing the potential for skirting the lines of copyright law (as seen in other recent DeepMind AI tools), Google said:

“If your prompt names a specific artist, Gemini will take this as broad creative inspiration and create a track that shares a similar style or mood. We also have filters in place to check outputs against existing content. We recognize that our approach might not be foolproof, so you can report content that may violate your rights or the rights of others.”

Shares of record labels including Universal Music Group and Warner Music dropped 2% on the news. Spotify briefly dipped before rebounding, and Sony shares also saw a slight decline.

Last month, Morgan Stanley published a survey that found up to 60% of Gen Z respondents listen to AI music, for an average of three hours per week. Earlier this year, Bandcamp banned all music wholly or substantially generated using AI.

Addressing the potential for skirting the lines of copyright law (as seen in other recent DeepMind AI tools), Google said:

“If your prompt names a specific artist, Gemini will take this as broad creative inspiration and create a track that shares a similar style or mood. We also have filters in place to check outputs against existing content. We recognize that our approach might not be foolproof, so you can report content that may violate your rights or the rights of others.”

Shares of record labels including Universal Music Group and Warner Music dropped 2% on the news. Spotify briefly dipped before rebounding, and Sony shares also saw a slight decline.

Last month, Morgan Stanley published a survey that found up to 60% of Gen Z respondents listen to AI music, for an average of three hours per week. Earlier this year, Bandcamp banned all music wholly or substantially generated using AI.

markets

Figure Technology rises amid big appetite for its blockchain-native share offering

Figure Technology Solutions is rising in early trading after upsizing its secondary offering of “blockchain native” shares.

The offering is priced at $32, roughly a 13% discount to Tuesday’s closing price and below any closing price for Figure since the week of its IPO in September.

This is not a dilutive offering: selling shareholders are able to exit common stock at $32, and in exchange the buyers will receive “blockchain native” shares at a discount to the current share price, presumably to help more activity migrate to Figure’s Provenance Blockchain. Holders could then lend these securities for yield, borrow against them, or have the option of converting these blockchain-native shares into common stock.

This secondary offering was originally announced on February 13 along with the release of Figure’s preliminary Q4 results.

Berkshire

Berkshire Hathaway invests in The New York Times, cuts stakes in Amazon and Apple

The latest SEC filing shows the company’s first media buy since 2020.

markets

Riot Platforms rises on activist push to accelerate AI data center pivot

Shares of major crypto miner Riot Platforms jumped as much as 5.6% in premarket trading Wednesday after activist investor Starboard Value urged the company, in a letter seen by Bloomberg, to accelerate its shift from bitcoin mining toward AI-focused data center operations.

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markets

Applied Digital, WeRide, and Recursion Pharmaceuticals dip as Nvidia exits positions

Three stocks took a dip in after-hours trading on Tuesday after Nvidia’s 13F filing showed the chip designer sold its stake over the final three months of 2025 in:

  • Applied Digital, a data center operator in which Nvidia was the seventh-largest holder as of the end of Q3.

    • That being said, Nvidia still has some quasi-direct Applied Digital exposure through its still substantial CoreWeave position. The neocloud acquired warrants in APLD last June.

  • WeRide, the Chinese self-driving firm.

  • Recursion Pharmaceuticals, which engages in AI-driven drug development.

Nvidia also sold its stake in Arm Holdings, but that was offset by some good news: part of Nvidia’s expanded pact with Meta will see Arm-based CPUs assume a more prominent role in data center environments, which may help boost its volumes and selling prices.

Nvidia added positions in Nokia, Intel, and Synopsys in Q4, all of which had been previously announced via press releases. Its CoreWeave and Nebius positions were unchanged relative to Q3.

markets

Sandisk drops after Western Digital confirms plan to unload $3 billion in stock at a discount

Western Digital is cashing in more of its Sandisk position.

The hard drive seller is exchanging more than $3 billion in Sandisk shares as part of a debt-for-equity swap.

This secondary offering was priced at $545 per share, a discount of roughly 8% to where Sandisk closed on Tuesday.

Shares of Sandisk are down nearly 3% in premarket trading as of 5:50 a.m. ET, while Western Digital is up more than 2%.

The two companies were once one, but Western Digital spun off a little more than 80% of its flash drive business (which would become Sandisk) in February 2025, and already exchanged the lion’s share of what remained in a separate debt-for-equity swap in June.

This move was very, very well telegraphed by Western Digital, which recently confirmed plans to monetize its Sandisk position before the one-year anniversary of that split (February 21). And Sandisk’s press release makes clear that the company is not the one selling more stock or making any money off of this.

That being said, being a high-flying stock that has a Bloomberg headline with “secondary offering” in it could, in theory, spark some turbulence. Particularly when that happens at a discount.

After this transaction, Western Digital will own a little less than 1.7 million shares of Sandisk, and plans to dispose of the rest through either exchanging these shares for its own (effectively, a buyback) or giving them to its shareholders.

This secondary offering was priced at $545 per share, a discount of roughly 8% to where Sandisk closed on Tuesday.

Shares of Sandisk are down nearly 3% in premarket trading as of 5:50 a.m. ET, while Western Digital is up more than 2%.

The two companies were once one, but Western Digital spun off a little more than 80% of its flash drive business (which would become Sandisk) in February 2025, and already exchanged the lion’s share of what remained in a separate debt-for-equity swap in June.

This move was very, very well telegraphed by Western Digital, which recently confirmed plans to monetize its Sandisk position before the one-year anniversary of that split (February 21). And Sandisk’s press release makes clear that the company is not the one selling more stock or making any money off of this.

That being said, being a high-flying stock that has a Bloomberg headline with “secondary offering” in it could, in theory, spark some turbulence. Particularly when that happens at a discount.

After this transaction, Western Digital will own a little less than 1.7 million shares of Sandisk, and plans to dispose of the rest through either exchanging these shares for its own (effectively, a buyback) or giving them to its shareholders.

markets

Cadence Design Systems jumps after Q4 earnings, 2026 profit outlook, and sales backlog exceed estimates

Cadence Design Systems jumped in after-hours trading on Tuesday and built on that advance on Wednesday morning after posting better-than-expected Q4 earnings, a big pipeline of future business, and a solid profit outlook for 2026.

For Q4, the electronic design automation company reported:

  • Sales of $1.44 billion (estimate: $1.42 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.99 (estimate: $1.91).

  • Remaining performance obligations (RPO) of $7.8 billion (estimate: $7.25 billion).

Management said that 2026 adjusted earnings per share would range between $8.05 and $8.15, above the consensus call for $8.03.

Historically, Cadence tends to start the year with conservative guidance and subsequently raises forecasts as the year progresses,” writes JPMorgan analyst Harlan Sur.

In recent weeks, investors have worried that Cadence’s software business, which is used by chip designers, could suffer competitive pressure from AI tools. At the very least, that RPO figure says there’s billions of dollars standing between Cadence and any more disrupted future.

“Highlight of the quarter, in our view, is the expansion of collaboration with multiple hyperscalers and one hyperscaler taping out the first chip under COT [customer owned tooling], which we believe is the next big story for EDA as AI infrastructure buildout continues,” writes Needham analyst Charles Shi.

Oil prices dip, sending airline stocks climbing amid US-Iran talks

An agreement between the US and Iran on a “set of guiding principles” following talks between officials from the two countries on Tuesday is sending oil prices lower. That, in turn, is boosting airline stocks.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 1.1% Tuesday afternoon. Shares of airlines, including United Airlines, American Airlines, Alaska Air, JetBlue, and Delta Air Lines were up.

Southwest Airlines, which also received an upgrade to “buy” and a price target hike to $73 from $51 by UBS on Tuesday morning, was up more than 7%.

Iran said it temporarily closed the Strait of Hormuz for live fire drills on Tuesday as the talks began. About 20% of the world’s oil passes through the key choke point waterway. Later in the day, however, Irans foreign minister expressed optimism that a deal could be reached with the US, saying a new window has opened.

tech

Tesla’s 45 Austin Robotaxis now have 14 crashes on the books since launching in June

Since launching in June 2025, Tesla’s 45 Austin Robotaxis have been involved in 14 crashes, per Electrek reporting citing National Highway Traffic Safety Administration data.

Electrek analysis found that the vehicles have traveled roughly 800,000 paid miles in that time period, amounting to a crash every 57,000 miles. According to the NHTSA, US drivers crash once every 500,000 miles on average.

The article says Tesla submitted five new crash reports in January of this year that happened in December and January. Electrek wrote:

“The new crashes include a collision with a fixed object at 17 mph while the vehicle was driving straight, a crash with a bus while the Tesla was stationary, a collision with a heavy truck at 4 mph, and two separate incidents where the Tesla backed into objects, one into a pole or tree at 1 mph and another into a fixed object at 2 mph.”

Tesla updated a previously reported crash that was originally filed as only having damaged property to include a passenger’s hospitalization.

Last month, Tesla shares climbed after CEO Elon Musk said in a post on X that the company’s Austin Robotaxis had begun operating without a safety monitor.

The article says Tesla submitted five new crash reports in January of this year that happened in December and January. Electrek wrote:

“The new crashes include a collision with a fixed object at 17 mph while the vehicle was driving straight, a crash with a bus while the Tesla was stationary, a collision with a heavy truck at 4 mph, and two separate incidents where the Tesla backed into objects, one into a pole or tree at 1 mph and another into a fixed object at 2 mph.”

Tesla updated a previously reported crash that was originally filed as only having damaged property to include a passenger’s hospitalization.

Last month, Tesla shares climbed after CEO Elon Musk said in a post on X that the company’s Austin Robotaxis had begun operating without a safety monitor.

business

Sony is reportedly considering pushing the PlayStation 6 to 2028 or 2029 as AI RAM demand squeezes consumer electronics

AI’s ongoing need for more memory chips, which some are referring to as “RAMmageddon,” is reportedly shifting Sony’s plans for its next PlayStation console.

According to reporting by Bloomberg, the company is weighing a delay of the PS6 to 2028 or 2029 — a pivot from the company’s typical six- to seven-year console life cycle.

Memory costs could also result in Nintendo hiking the price of the Switch 2, per the report.

The report is part of a larger trend of AI demand impacting consumer electronics, including gaming equipment. Earlier this month, reports said that Nvidia will not release a new gaming graphics chip this year — a first. Steam owner Valve delayed its forthcoming Steam Machine console, and its popular Steam Deck handheld is currently unavailable for purchase in the US. Per Valve’s website: “Steam Deck OLED may be out-of-stock intermittently in some regions due to memory and storage shortages.”

Amid the AI memory squeeze, gaming stocks have also experienced major recent sell-offs following the release of Google’s AI interactive world-generation tool, Project Genie.

Memory costs could also result in Nintendo hiking the price of the Switch 2, per the report.

The report is part of a larger trend of AI demand impacting consumer electronics, including gaming equipment. Earlier this month, reports said that Nvidia will not release a new gaming graphics chip this year — a first. Steam owner Valve delayed its forthcoming Steam Machine console, and its popular Steam Deck handheld is currently unavailable for purchase in the US. Per Valve’s website: “Steam Deck OLED may be out-of-stock intermittently in some regions due to memory and storage shortages.”

Amid the AI memory squeeze, gaming stocks have also experienced major recent sell-offs following the release of Google’s AI interactive world-generation tool, Project Genie.

markets
Luke Kawa

Walmart’s earnings have high bar to clear as search for safety pushes valuations into stratosphere

If recent history is any guide, Walmart’s Q4 earnings release Thursday before the bell will be appointment viewing.

This time last year, it wasn’t the DeepSeek freak-out or tariff chatter that caused the S&P 500 to definitively begin its downturn from all-time highs. It was Walmart’s underwhelming full-year guidance that catalyzed a momentum stock meltdown.

Since then, the retail behemoth has become a more important — and richly valued — part of the S&P 500, joining the trillion-dollar market cap club in the process. Investors have clamored for safety within the US stock market in 2026, and that’s meant bidding up the income streams associated with moving loads of volume at everyday low prices.

Jeff Jacobson, head of derivatives strategy at 22V Research, offers some perspective on just how well things have been going for the Bentonville-based giant:

  • Walmart versus the SPDR S&P 500 ETF is at its highest level since the aftermath of the global financial crisis;

  • The implied volatility of calls that offer exposure to additional upside in Walmart is very elevated relative to history (that is, they’re expensive);

  • This is the only time in the past five years where Walmart has traded above Wall Street’s 12-month price target.

That makes the bar to clear, regardless of how the actual numbers and guidance end up, fairly high.

In Jacobson’s view, it would be prudent for Walmart holders to try to take advantage of this elevated implied volatility by selling upside, or attempting to lock in gains after this hot run.

His recommendations:

  • Covered calls: sell April $145 calls at $3 or better.

  • Collar the position: sell WMT May $155 calls, buy May $125 put, sell May $110 put.