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Optics stocks rise as executives signal more AI-related demand

Optics companies have rallied this year on expectations of higher demand for the components they make.

J. Edward Moreno

Optics companies Applied Optoelectronics, Lumentum, and Coherent rose Wednesday on signs that their products are in high demand as artificial intelligence infrastructure expands.

All three stocks were up in recent premarket trading. Applied and Lumentum were up 9.1% and 7%, respectively, while Coherent was up 2.8%. These firms offer solutions that use light rather than electricity to move information around in data center environments.

Speaking at the Optical Fiber Communications Conference in Los Angeles on Tuesday, Wupen Yuen, head of cloud and networking at Lumentum, said:

Some customers are asking for a billion lasers a year. Starting with a B. It used to be in the millions, now its in the billions, so the amount of scale is just unimaginable... Because it used to be optics is a way for communicating. Now optics is part of compute. The AI does not scale, period, full stop, without optics.

Coherent CEO Jim Anderson said silicon photonics is poised to replace copper in AI data centers because it is more efficient:

The reason that were now starting to see photonics migrate into the scale-up network is the same reason that photonics took over scale-out and scale-across. And the reason is that you take any length of distance in the data center, whether its 3 meters or 3 kilometers, and if you crank up the data rate and if you crank up the total amount of bandwidth, eventually you hit a point where photonics is the most power-efficient, fastest way to transmit that data across that length of distance. And so now what were starting to see is to continue to drive data center architecture, now adoption of photonics and scale-up.

Applied Optoelectronics also said it’s going to increase its capacity by about 30% this year and double its anticipated capacity for 2027.

Optics companies have rallied this year on expectations of higher demand for their components. Earlier this month, Nvidia said that it would invest $2 billion apiece in Coherent and Lumentum to develop their advanced optics technologies.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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