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Scenes from the Taobao Outdoor Life Festival held in Yangshuo
Scenes from the Taobao Outdoor Life Festival held in Yangshuo, China (Getty Images)

China’s retail investors can finally trade Alibaba shares 10 years after it went public — thanks to a US law

Imagine if American retail investors couldn’t trade Amazon. For years, that’s what it was like for China’s legions of mom and pop investors when it comes to Alibaba, the country’s biggest online retailer.

But this week, Alibaba finally joined Mainland China’s Southbound Stock Connect program after it obtained a primary listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX). The program allows mainland China investors to access eligible Hong Kong shares. 

In some ways, the decision to file for a HKEX listing was fueled by a 2020 US law. Alibaba first went public on the New York Stock Exchange in 2014. Then in 2020, Congress passed the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act, which said that foreign companies publicly listed in the US will be banned if they couldn’t comply with Public Company Accounting Oversight Board audits.

It also targeted specifically at China and, among other things, asked Chinese companies to disclose their connections to the Chinese Communist Party. Five state-owned Chinese companies, including China’s leading energy and insurance company, voluntarily delisted themselves from the NYSE. Other companies, including Alibaba, Netease, Baidu and Bilibili, chose to file for a secondary listing in Hong Kong as a backup option for their investors if they were forced to delist from the NYSE.

In late 2022, the SEC said that it was able to audit Chinese companies listed in the US, so the risk of delisting was gone. But Alibaba still proceeded to pursue a primary listing in HKEX, which finally went through last month, five years after getting its secondary listing.

Shares were up 4.2% in Hong Kong on Sept. 10, the first day of trading with the Stock Connect in effect. Investors bought over $8.5 billion HKD of Alibaba’s stock that day via the program, with purchases from Shenzhen and Shanghai accounted for about half of the day’s turnover.

As a result of the Chinese government’s regulatory crackdown on leading big tech companies beginning in late 2020, Alibaba’s shares have fallen more than 70% from their October 2020 peak. 

“The added access and additional liquidity from Mainland retail is actually quite significant,” said Kevin Xu, the founder of Interconnected Capital, a hedge fund that invests in A.I. ventures. “But that doesn’t change the fact that the economy is still very challenged.”

There may be “a bit of an unfortunate timing”, he added, as the first day that the Stock Exchange program became official coincided with the release of a Chinese CPI report that showed that deflationary forces continue to dominate.

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Earnings season a chance for AI hyperscalers to “get their mojo back”

Hyperscalers need more “hype” on their potential AI moneymaking opportunities or to show that their “scale” continues to drive huge growth through this spending binge.

markets

Active ETF offers exposure to Elon Musk’s SpaceX

Active ETF Baron First Principles ETF has added a large stake in Elon Musk’s privately held SpaceX, with daily disclosures of the active ETFs holdings on Friday showing SpaceX now makes up 22% of the fund’s portfolio.

Such a stake would open up a potentially big opportunity for those looking to get access to some of the eccentric billionaire’s privately held business empire, ahead of any public offering of the shares — which is reportedly in the works for this year.

Run by mutual fund manager Ron Baron, the ETF also owns stakes in other Musk vehicles such as privately held xAI and publicly traded Tesla. The fund — which has only been trading since December 15 — is down slightly on the day.

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Luke Kawa

AMD jumps as Intel’s supply constraints offer chance for CPU market share gains

As investors react negatively to Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan’s warning that the chipmaker’s turnaround effort will be a “multiyear journey,” that cautionary note is also a reminder that Advanced Micro Devices has more time to make hay while the sun shines.

AMD had been one of the companies with the most to lose should attempts by the government and Nvidia to prop up the beleaguered chipmaker bear fruit. In particular, Intel and AMD are locked in a fierce competition in the CPU market. During its earnings call on Thursday, Intel said that supply constraints were preventing the company from realizing strong demand.

JPMorgan analyst Harlan Sur thinks that gives AMD more room to continue to muscle in on Intel’s CPU turf.

“We still view Intel as being at risk of further share loss in its product businesses (particularly in server CPU given AMD’s strong product portfolio/roadmap and Intel’s supply constraints),” he wrote.

AMD is up nearly 3% as of 11:40 a.m. ET, working on its ninth straight day of gains. A positive close would match its longest winning streak since 2005.

markets

Spotify climbs following an upgrade from Goldman as it prepares to hike prices

Music streamer Spotify climbed about 3% on Friday following an upgrade to “buy” from “neutral” from Goldman Sachs.

The upgrade comes ahead of Spotify’s already announced US subscription price hike next month — its third since 2023. Goldman lowered its 12-month Spotify price target to $700 from $735.

“We are surprised how negative investor sentiment has turned with respect to [Spotify] on the back of the AI theme. In our opinion, we see SPOT as well-positioned to capitalize on/benefit from rising generative AI adoption,” Goldman said in its Friday note, adding that it’s watching how the rise of AI music platforms could impact Spotify and its music royalty payment structure.

Earlier this month, Morgan Stanley published a survey that found up to 60% of Gen Z respondents listen to AI music, for an average of three hours per week. Last week, Bandcamp announced it would ban AI music on its platform.

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