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Vistra Reports Q3 earnings
A Vistra plant in Moss Landing, California (Carlos Avila Gonzalez/Getty Images)

Vistra misses sales and profit estimates, stock drops

The mainstay of the AI energy trade also posted meh guidance for the rest of the year.

Vistra, the power provider that’s played a starring role in this year’s AI energy trade, reported weak earnings early Thursday, sending its shares lower.

The Texas-based company, which supplies nuclear- and natural gas-fueled power to wholesale and retail markets, reported:

  • GAAP net income of $652 million vs. the $895.2 million expected by Wall Street analysts.

  • Operating revenues of $4.97 billion vs. the $6.12 billion consensus expectation.

  • Narrowed guidance for free cash flow for the rest of the year to a range between $3.3 billion and $3.5 billion vs. previous guidance of $3 billion to $3.6 billion. Wall Street expectations were for $3.58 billion.

Vistra shares were up 37.4% for the year through the end of trading on Wednesday, compared to a 17% gain for the S&P 500 utilities sector.

The stock was down in early trading, along with other AI energy trades like Constellation Energy and Talen Energy.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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