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Only Apple Has Shed More Market Cap Than Tesla This Year
Sherwood News
Apple in my Eye

Only Apple has lost more value than Tesla this year

Tesla lost $380 billion in market cap this year. Apple lost twice that.

Rani Molla

Elon Musk’s public beef with President Donald Trump yesterday helped eviscerate a record $152 billion from Tesla’s market cap. And that’s only the latest trouble for the electric vehicle company.

Tesla has been having a very bad year so far. Despite promising a “return to growth” in vehicle sales this year, Tesla saw its biggest quarterly decline in deliveries ever in the first quarter. As a result, its Q1 earnings fell short of even lowered analyst expectations.

The company’s brand perception plummeted along with its CEO’s ascension to his position at DOGE as people around the world boycott the company. And despite what Musk has said to the contrary, Q2 sales aren’t looking good either.

Additionally, the company is facing increased competition from US automakers and China EV companies like BYD, while its aging lineup of inventory languishes in parking lots. It’s also facing pressure from tariffs on materials shipped from Canada and Mexico. Then, of course, there’s Trump’s “big, beautiful bill,” which could threaten about half of Tesla’s profits, JPMorgan calculated. Analysts expect deliveries and sales to decline this year compared with 2024.

All of this has combined to take a big hit to Tesla’s stock price and valuation.

Since December 31, 2024, Tesla has lost a total of $380 billion in market cap, according to data from FactSet from market close yesterday. To put that in context, only Apple, which has also had a terrible, no-good year thanks to Trump’s tariffs and trade war, has lost more in absolute market value. Of course, Apple is 3x the size of Tesla and as a result has much more to lose.

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After Tesla earnings, prediction markets think unsupervised FSD is less likely than ever to be rolled out this year

Tesla’s unsupervised full self-driving technology, which would autonomously ferry passengers around without a human driver having to pay attention, is supposed to help catapult the electric vehicle company’s valuation further into the stratosphere. It was also supposed to be available this year, but prediction markets participants, as well as former Tesla self-driving leaders, no longer think that will happen.

On Tesla's earnings call this week, CEO Elon Musk said the company now had “clarity” on achieving unsupervised full-self driving — something he’s repeatedly said would be available at least in some markets this year.

The comments seemed to at least give Polymarket prediction market participants some clarity. There, the market-implied odds that Tesla will release unsupervised FSD this year reached the lowest since the event contract was opened in May.

The odds of it happening had been pretty high up until late June when Tesla’s long-awaited robotaxi launched with a safety driver in the passenger seat. The unsupervised FSD event contract specifies the feature can have “no requirement for human intervention.”

tech

Banks prepare record $38 billion debt financing to fund Oracle-tied data centers

Banks led by JPMorgan and Mitsubishi UFJ are preparing a $38 billion debt offering to fund two Oracle-tied data centers in Texas and Wisconsin, Bloomberg reports. The projects, developed by Vantage Data Centers, will support Oracle’s $500 billion Stargate AI infrastructure push with OpenAI and Nvidia.

The loans — $23.25 billion for Texas and $14.75 billion for Wisconsin — are expected to mature in four years, price about 2.5 percentage points higher than the benchmark rate, and mark the largest AI infrastructure financing to date.

Oracle executives recently said that the company anticipates cloud gross margins will reach 35% and that it expects to see $166 billion in cloud infrastructure revenue by FY 2030.

Oracle is up 1.5% premarket.

The loans — $23.25 billion for Texas and $14.75 billion for Wisconsin — are expected to mature in four years, price about 2.5 percentage points higher than the benchmark rate, and mark the largest AI infrastructure financing to date.

Oracle executives recently said that the company anticipates cloud gross margins will reach 35% and that it expects to see $166 billion in cloud infrastructure revenue by FY 2030.

Oracle is up 1.5% premarket.

tech

Google rises on official announcement of Anthropic deal worth “tens of billions”

Google has made its deal to expand AI compute to Anthropic, reported earlier this week by Bloomberg, official. In order to train and serve its Claude model, Anthropic has agreed to pay Google Cloud “tens of billions of dollars” to access up to 1 million tensor processing units, or TPUs, as well as other cloud services.

Google, of course, has a 14% stake in Anthropic, making this one of the many circular AI deals happening at the moment.

“Anthropic and Google have a longstanding partnership and this latest expansion will help us continue to grow the compute we need to define the frontier of AI,” Anthropic CFO Krishna Rao said in the press release. “Our customers — from Fortune 500 companies to AI-native startups — depend on Claude for their most important work, and this expanded capacity ensures we can meet our exponentially growing demand while keeping our models at the cutting edge of the industry.”

The announcement has sent Google up again, more than 1% premarket.

tech

Report: Snap seeking $1 billion to finance its AR glasses division in “existential” fundraise

Snap is down more than 1% this morning following news that the company is attempting to raise $1 billion for its AR glasses unit in what someone told Sources.news was an “existential” fundraise.

A Snap spokesperson countered, “We do not need to raise money to execute against our plans to publicly launch Specs in 2026, but remain open to opportunities that could accelerate our growth.”

Multiple investors are involved in the talks, including Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, according to Sources.news. The report also noted that Snap plans to turn the unit that makes its Specs glasses into an independent subsidiary à la Google’s Waymo “that can continue raising capital from investors.”

Snap plans to produce about 100,000 units of next year’s Specs, pricing them around $2,500.

The beleaguered stock saw quite a bit of retail interest last month, amid r/WallStreetBets chatter that its low nominal price made it a potential acquisition target.

Multiple investors are involved in the talks, including Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, according to Sources.news. The report also noted that Snap plans to turn the unit that makes its Specs glasses into an independent subsidiary à la Google’s Waymo “that can continue raising capital from investors.”

Snap plans to produce about 100,000 units of next year’s Specs, pricing them around $2,500.

The beleaguered stock saw quite a bit of retail interest last month, amid r/WallStreetBets chatter that its low nominal price made it a potential acquisition target.

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