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Meta Quest Advertising In London
Advertising for Meta Quest virtual reality headsets on a digital billboard in London (Mike Kemp/Getty Images)

Meta, Amazon, and lots of tech firms will be indirectly harmed by tariffs, too

There aren’t tariffs on digital goods yet, but advertising — and by extension tech companies — will certainly feel the pain.

Rani Molla

Tariffs are terrible for companies that sell physical products. They’re also bad news for the companies that make money advertising those products — even if digital services aren’t subject to tariffs.

That’s because when there’s economic turmoil, advertising budgets are the first to go.

That pain could be most strongly felt by American tech companies like Google, Meta, and Amazon, which eMarketer previously forecast would bring in a combined $462 billion in digital ad revenue. Relatively smaller ad-supported businesses like Reddit and Snap are also seeing steep losses. (That’s not to mention how their tech hardware businesses will be adversely affected.)

What’s more, for many tech businesses, Chinese companies are responsible for a lot of the advertising, and that floor will likely cave under 54% tariffs. Tariffs that affect Chinese sales will hit advertising, too. Madison and Wall analyst Brian Wieser estimated that about $10 billion of Meta’s revenue for ads shown in the US come from outside the US, mainly China.

For Amazon, not only do many of the goods sold on its site originate in China, but those sellers spend a pretty penny advertising those goods on Amazon, as well.

“Amazon likely generates a bigger percentage of revenue from Chinese advertisers trying to reach American audiences: Marketplace Pulse estimates that Chinese manufacturers represent 50% of Amazon’s top sellers on its marketplace site in the US, and the marketplace is likely the primary driver of advertising activity for Amazon,” Wieser wrote. “The new policies could almost be described as a tax on advertising.”

Both Madison and Wall and MAGNA, an ad measurement firm, recently lowered their expectations for US ad spending this year.

Meta is trading down over 4% today, Reddit is down 11%, and Google and Amazon are down more than 2%.

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Meta projected 10% of 2024 revenue came from scams and banned goods, Reuters reports

Meta has been making billions of dollars per year from scam ads and sales of banned goods, according internal Meta documents seen by Reuters.

The new report quantifies the scale of fraud taking place on Meta’s platforms, and how much the company profited from them.

Per the report, Meta internal projections from late last year said that 10% of the company’s total 2024 revenue would come from scammy ads and sales of banned goods — which works out to $16 billion.

Discussions within Meta acknowledged the steep fines likely to be levied against the company for not stopping the fraudulent behavior on its platforms, and the company prioritized enforcement in regions where the penalties would be steepest, the reporting found. The cost of lost revenue from clamping down on the scams was weighed against the cost of fines from regulators.

The documents reportedly show that Meta did aim to significantly reduce the fraudulent behavior, but cuts to its moderation team left the vast majority of user-reported violations to be ignored or rejected.

Meta spokesperson Andy Stone told Reuters the documents were a “selective view” of internal enforcement:

“We aggressively fight fraud and scams because people on our platforms don’t want this content, legitimate advertisers don’t want it, and we don’t want it either.”

Per the report, Meta internal projections from late last year said that 10% of the company’s total 2024 revenue would come from scammy ads and sales of banned goods — which works out to $16 billion.

Discussions within Meta acknowledged the steep fines likely to be levied against the company for not stopping the fraudulent behavior on its platforms, and the company prioritized enforcement in regions where the penalties would be steepest, the reporting found. The cost of lost revenue from clamping down on the scams was weighed against the cost of fines from regulators.

The documents reportedly show that Meta did aim to significantly reduce the fraudulent behavior, but cuts to its moderation team left the vast majority of user-reported violations to be ignored or rejected.

Meta spokesperson Andy Stone told Reuters the documents were a “selective view” of internal enforcement:

“We aggressively fight fraud and scams because people on our platforms don’t want this content, legitimate advertisers don’t want it, and we don’t want it either.”

$350B

Google wants to invest even more money into Anthropic, with the search giant in talks for a new funding round that could value the AI startup at $350 billion, Business Insider reports. That’s about double its valuation from two months ago, but still shy of competitor OpenAI’s $500 billion valuation.

Citing sources familiar with the matter, Business Insider said the new deal “could also take the form of a strategic investment where Google provides additional cloud computing services to Anthropic, a convertible note, or a priced funding round early next year.”

In October, Google, which has a 14% stake in Anthropic, announced that it had inked a deal worth “tens of billions” for Anthropic to access Google’s AI compute to train and serve its Claude model.

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