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Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella (R) greets OpenAI CEO Sam Altman during the OpenAI DevDay event
(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Emails show Microsoft wasn’t impressed by OpenAI’s early work, but wanted to keep it from Amazon

OpenAI wanted further Azure computing discounts, but Microsoft didn’t think it was on the verge of a breakthrough.

The Musk v. Altman trial has revealed that key executives at Microsoft doubted OpenAI’s ability to deliver immediate breakthroughs, giving us a look into how the software behemoth viewed the AI upstart in its earliest days.

An email thread released yesterday as evidence from the trial unfolding in Oakland showed execs’ skepticism as they weighed massive further investments in the company. The thread — spanning August 2017 through January 2018 — included a large group of Microsoft executives, including CEO Satya Nadella, CFO Amy Hood, and at least one executive on vacation with his family in Antarctica. It shines some light on the internal debate surrounding a request from OpenAI CEO Sam Altman to offer up huge discounts for Azure AI computing resources, worth hundreds of millions of dollars.

Years before ChatGPT made its debut, OpenAI was expending significant resources working on an AI model that could beat competitive esports players in the video game “Dota 2.”

Microsoft had given OpenAI a huge discount on Azure computing for the project starting in 2016, in which OpenAI paid Microsoft $10 million for $60 million worth of computing. Altman emailed Nadella in August 2017 and said they needed a lot more:

“I think it will lead to major new breakthroughs in Al but will require huge amounts of compute, probably something like $300MM at Azure list prices. We could figure out how to fund some of it but not that much.”

Altman pitched a joint team to continue the work on “Dota 2,” with the new goal of competing in a match with two five-player teams. The Microsoft executives noted now fast the OpenAI team blew through their discounted computing, and cast doubt on whether the company was close to a breakthrough.

Nadella wrote on the group:

“Overall I can’t tell what research they are doing and how if shared with us it could help us get ahead. From what Elon is telling everyone... he feels Open Al is at verge of some big AGI breakthroughs. I know they are working t o push some NPU designs etc. They clearly are pushing Al at a level none of our first party or third parties are.”

Microsoft executive Harry Shum wrote:

“I visited OpenAl about a year ago, and was not able to see any immediate breakthrough in AGI.”

The executives thought the work was promising, but OpenAI was just using their GPUs in the cloud, and Microsoft wasn’t getting any access to the underlaying technology, nor any huge public relations benefit from the partnership.

But the group was worried that if Microsoft didn’t continue supporting the scrappy Elon Musk-backed startup, it might push them into the hands of their competitors — like Amazon.

Microsoft executive Eric Horvitz wrote:

“My worst case scenario is having them ditch Azure for AWS, as Kevin says bad-mouth then land with some big new innovation that is shared with our competition.”

Less than five years after that email, OpenAI would release ChatGPT, and Microsoft would invest billions in the company.

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OpenAI employees are cashing out their shares, dozens making $30 million each

OpenAI’s planned IPO later this year is expected to be one of the largest of all time. Employees who got equity early on are sure to reap a windfall when the company shares hit the public markets.

Often these pre-IPO shares can’t be cashed in until the company goes public, and many startups have longer lockup periods before employees can sell their shares.

But The Wall Street Journal reports that OpenAI has a relatively short two-year vesting period, and the company allowed employees to sell shares before the IPO via a tender offer, as long as they’ve reached the two-year mark.

According to the report, in October, more than 600 current and former OpenAI employees sold shares through this process, minting a cluster of new multimillionaires. The Journal said about 75 of those walked away with $30 million (the maximum sale amount for this offer).

But The Wall Street Journal reports that OpenAI has a relatively short two-year vesting period, and the company allowed employees to sell shares before the IPO via a tender offer, as long as they’ve reached the two-year mark.

According to the report, in October, more than 600 current and former OpenAI employees sold shares through this process, minting a cluster of new multimillionaires. The Journal said about 75 of those walked away with $30 million (the maximum sale amount for this offer).

tech

Intel pops on reported Apple chip deal

Intel soared more than 14% on a Wall Street Journal report saying the company has reached a preliminary agreement with Apple to manufacture chips for the iPhone maker. Intel, already on a tear as of late, jumped earlier this week when Bloomberg first reported the two companies were in talks. It’s still unclear which chips Intel would manufacture for Apple, which has been facing supply constraints for its iPhone as well other products.

In any case, the deal could help Apple ease supply constraints that have hit some of its products and reduce its reliance on longtime partner TSMC, as it aims to bring more chip manufacturing stateside.

In any case, the deal could help Apple ease supply constraints that have hit some of its products and reduce its reliance on longtime partner TSMC, as it aims to bring more chip manufacturing stateside.

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Wedbush’s Dan Ives raises Apple price target to $400 on $15 billion AI services opportunity

Apple may not have a frontier AI model or a fully functional AI assistant, but that won’t stop the company from throwing its weight around in the “AI revolution,” according to Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives. That’s enough for Ives to raise his price target for Apple shares to $400 from $350.

Underpinning that jump is what Ives sees as a $15 billion annual revenue opportunity for Apple in AI services from monetizing other companies’ models by distributing them to its 2.5 billion iOS users. Ives estimates that in the coming years, roughly 20% of the world’s population will access AI through an Apple device, calling it the “consumer hub of AI.”

That new era, Ives expects, will officially kick off at Apple’s developer conference in June, where he expects Apple to “finally unveil its AI strategy.”

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