Power
Computer racks in data center
(Getty Images)

Power demand from US data centers will double by 2030, per the IEA

Coal and natural gas will still meet the majority of the increasing electricity demand going forward.

Claire Yubin Oh

According to a report from the International Energy Agency published last week, electricity demand from data centers is forecast to double by the end of the decade, as Big Tech goes even bigger on AI ambitions and infrastructure spending.

The power surge is particularly pronounced across the US, which is responsible for nearly half of the unprecedented electricity demand. That all trickles down to driving demand for fossil fuel plants even further, with natural gas currently supplying 40% of data center electricity demand in the US. According to the latest projections, that’s unlikely to change anytime soon.

Energy sources for data centers chart
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Power plays

With a greater demand for gas-powered energy generation, some Big Oil producers, like Exxon and Chevron, are eyeing opportunities to design plants with the sole purpose of supplying AI data centers directly. Meanwhile, companies like Meta and Microsoft are making moves to pivot to nuclear energy. However, some of the proposed agreements are years off, with many expected to start commissioning after 2030, per the IEA report.

Of course, many of the mega-investment plans were drawn up before tariff uncertainty started squeezing the world of business and Big Tech. Proposed levies on key components and equipment, manufactured in tariff-struck countries like China, could seriously impact tech giants’ plans to spend hundreds of billions on huge data centers moving forward. Microsoft reportedly delayed and canceled projects across the world even before the latest tariffs were announced.

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OK, so when was the longest shutdown in US history?

The US government officially shut down at 12:01 a.m. on Wednesday after senators failed to agree on a last-minute funding bill. Though initially shrugging off the threat of a shutdown during yesterday’s session, stocks were mildly in the red on Wednesday as investors reacted to what is now the 11th shutdown in the government’s history.

Until this latest shutdown, there had been 20 government funding gaps experienced since 1976 — though not all ended in a full shutdown, with full closure averted in half of those cases.

Indeed, prior to the 1980s, funding gaps didn’t typically have major effects on government operations, with agencies continuing to operate on the basis that the funding would come eventually. However, a more stringent interpretation of the rules led to a stricter appropriations process from the early 1980s onward, with many subsequent funding gaps resulting in a shutdown of affected agencies (unless the gaps were quickly fixed or occurred over a weekend).

Obviously, the duration of the latest shutdown is still unclear, but it will continue until Congress passes a funding bill — most likely via a “continuing resolution,” which has ended every shutdown since 1990. Data analyzed by USAFacts suggest that it might not be a one- or two-day affair, as funding gaps have lengthened in recent years.

Government shutdown patterns
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Indeed, the last shutdown, which began in December 2018, ended up becoming the longest in history, at a whopping 34 days. By the time the government reopened in January 2019, about $3 billion (in 2019 dollars) had been wiped from the GDP in Q4, per data from the Congressional Budget Office, with approximately $18 billion in “federal discretionary spending” delayed over the roughly five-week stretch.

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GM climbs following upgrade, report that Trump administration seeks stake in its lithium mine partner

Shares of General Motors rose more than 2% in premarket trading Wednesday following an upgrade of the stock by UBS from neutral to buy. The firm also hiked its price target for GM by 45% to $81.

Also likely elevating GM was a Reuters report that the Trump administration is exploring taking a 10% stake in Lithium Americas, the automaker’s partner in a yet to open Thacker Pass lithium mine. Shares of Lithium Americas surged 68% in the premarket.

GM, which invested $625 million into the lithium mine last year, holds a 38% stake in the joint venture. The mine is expected to become the Western Hemispheres primary lithium source in 2028, when it’s slated to open, producing enough of the metal to make 800,000 electric vehicle batteries.

Prior to its plans for Lithium Americas, the Trump administration last month said it would take a 10% stake in Intel. In July, it announced a 15% stake in rare earths miner MP Materials.

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