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Palantir Ontology
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What the heck is Palantir’s “Ontology”?

This obscure philosophical term is the key to the company’s AI business.

I’ll be honest. I often have no idea what Palantir CEO Alex Karp is talking about.

On conference calls and elsewhere, the highly compensated, frazzle-haired executive can veer from victory laps on the company’s performance, to claims out of left field of Western civilization’s superiority, to bizarre revenge fantasies aimed at short sellers, and on and on and on.

Until recently, one of the things that I rolled my eyes at was Karp’s relentless insertion of terms best left in the philosophy grad student lounge — dialectic, determinative, ontology — into what could have been straightforward discussions of sales and profit and expectations.

(Side note: All journalists are contractually obligated to note that Karp received a Ph.D. in philosophy in neoclassical social theory from Goethe University in Frankfurt.)

Except somewhere along the line, that last word — ontology, “a branch of metaphysics concerned with the nature and relations of being,” if that helps — became Ontology, a key component of a product that’s central to Palantir’s rapidly growing business selling its software package to corporations.

As Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar said on the company’s most recent conference call, when asked what the company’s competitive advantage is in selling AI software: “Our advantage comes down to Ontology. It’s really an advantage on the AI demand side. And that has positioned AIP to be the platform that is able to capture the ever-expanding capability of the raw LLMs and turn that into business value.”

That sounds pretty important. But it’s still kind of difficult to understand what, exactly, Ontology is. The company itself is only vaguely helpful, explaining that “the Ontology serves as a digital twin of the organization, containing both the semantic elements (objects, properties, links) and kinetic elements (actions, functions, dynamic security) needed to enable use cases of all types.”

A new note out from Mizuho analyst Gregg Moskowitz, who covers the stock, attempts to explain it a bit, writing, essentially, that it’s a tool in “which fragmented data can be unified and transformed into operational knowledge.”

Goldman analysts who published a note back in March on Palantir’s tech stack did somewhat better. They call Ontology the “core technical differentiation” that “bridges the gap between the raw data across an organization (structured, unstructured, siloed, etc.) and operational decision-making.” Goldman’s analysts elaborated:

“Consider a global manufacturer: in a traditional data approach, it would have separate databases/tables for its suppliers, shipments, warehouses, and products.

However, these are just rows and columns linked by foreign keys (i.e. a column in one table that references the primary key in another table).

Palantir’s ontology instead models real-world objects and their associated relationships: 1) the ‘supplier’ represents a business partner, with direct connections to shipments; 2) the ‘shipment’ represents the physical movements of goods linked to both ‘suppliers’ and ‘warehouses’; 3) the ‘warehouse’ is a location storing products, linked to ‘shipments’ and ‘inventory’; 4) the ‘product’ is an item with attributes like stock levels, demand forecasts, and risk factors.

Thus, if a shipment is delayed, all affected products, warehouses, and suppliers are automatically updated in the ontology.”

Things are now getting a bit clearer. Essentially, Ontology is Palantir’s way of refining, structuring, and connecting the myriad kinds of data and information pipelines companies constantly use, creating a new stable foundation on which the company can run Palantir software.

You can see why this could be a pretty big advantage.

For one thing, it can take a significant investment of a company’s time to create that foundation, which is typically done by engineers employed by both Palantir — what they call “forward deployed engineers,” or FDEs — and the corporation itself.

It can take weeks and even months. That’s a process of going open kimono (digitally speaking), potentially exposing the company’s trade secrets, customer information, and any number of other sensitive areas to outsiders.

In other words, they’re not going to want to do it very often. That means that “switching costs” of getting rid of Palantir software are extraordinarily high once you have your Ontology established. Imagine the hassle of changing your bank account, except exponentially worse. That’s a pretty formidable competitive moat.

According to Goldman, there are other advantages as well. For instance, the pipelines feeding Palantir’s Ontologies are designed to work with real-time data. Most competitor programs that extract data are designed to be bulk updated at regularly scheduled intervals, Goldman says.

In theory, that should enable tools built on Palantir’s foundation to offer more real-time insight into the business, as data flowing in and out of the company is constantly updated.

And, importantly, Palantir’s forward deployed engineers continue to work with their assigned companies after establishing the Ontology foundation, developing custom tools and bits of software.

Palantir itself can then incorporate those custom tools into its own software offerings to similar companies, which — as Palantir grows its customer base — should translate into higher profits as the company sells software its engineers have already done the work of creating.

“This is an iterative process in which FDEs determine custom use cases solving problems for this one customer while the product development engineers standardize these solutions so they can be scaled across similar verticals, enabling Palantir to engage with more customers at incrementally better margins,” Goldman wrote.

Of course, that ontological layer of organized data can also serve as a base layer linking a company’s data feeds to the hottest thing in software: AI.

“Realizing value from AI in the enterprise requires the elegant integration of LLMs, workflow, and software,” Palantir CTO Shyam said on the company’s last conference call. “And that’s only possible with Ontology.”

Maybe. Maybe not. But it’s a pretty nice sales pitch. And judging from the company’s expected sales growth rate of 45% this year — it’s working.

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Poet Technologies surges as CFO confirms purchase order from Marvell, calls short sellers “maggots”

Shares of POET Technologies are continuing their parabolic surge after CFO Thomas Mika confirmed to StockTwits that the company would be booking revenues from custom chip and networking specialist Marvell Technology.

“We’re a supplier to Marvell now that they’ve acquired Celestial AI who has been a customer of ours for a couple of years,” he said. “And what we supply to Celestial AI are light sources, high-bandwidth, multi-frequency, high-power light sources that light up the photonic fabric that Celestial AI talks about as being the communication device between GPUs and one GPU and another GPU, a GPU and a memory device.”

Mika also said “I hate shorts” when asked about Wolfpack Research’s bet against the company, and said that short sellers were “maggots.” Wolfpack alleged that Poet’s US-based investors would be exposed to an “IRS tax nightmare.”

Personally, this explanation strikes me as pretty thin gruel. We’ve known since early December that Marvell was buying Celestial AI, and that Celestial AI is a Poet customer. Indeed, the stock got to surge when the deal was announced for that very reason! I can confirm that the sky is blue, I don’t know if that should be considered a catalyst to bid up the atmosphere.

On the other hand, you could do worse for a thesis these days than, “Hey, everything in the AI infrastructure supply chain seems to have mooned at one point or another recently, maybe let’s look for some names that mooned in 2025 that haven’t had their time in the sun in 2026!”

Poet’s in the connectivity space, which has been on fire in 2026. But shares had been down year-to-date before more than doubling over the past nine sessions.

The company’s rally once again includes massively bullish options action:

On a related note, Navitas Semiconductor is up double digits today and nearing its closing high from October, the latest in a series of current conditions we’re flagging as being eerily reminiscent of the market backdrop six months ago. Navitas is up more than 80% over the past nine sessions.

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GEV’s backlogs are bursting at the seams. One analyst told us he thinks that by the end of this year, GEV could be completely sold out of production capacity for heavy-duty turbines until 2029 or 2030.

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Low-cost airlines plunge on report Trump administration is close to $500 million rescue deal for Spirit

Low-budget US airlines are sinking on Wednesday morning following a Wall Street Journal report that the Trump administration is close to making a rescue deal for Spirit Airlines, which is said to be nearing liquidation amid high fuel costs.

Shares of Frontier, Allegiant, JetBlue, and Southwest Airlines all dropped notably.

Per the WSJ, the US government could soon loan Spirit up to $500 million in return for warrants to take a sizable stake in the airline, which has filed for bankruptcy twice since late 2024. Those warrants could give the US government the ability to purchase as much as 90% ownership of Spirit, Bloomberg reports. The carrier has made efforts to emerge from its latest bankruptcy, filed in August, but fuel costs amid the war in Iran have upset the math.

On Tuesday, President Trump told CNBC he would “love somebody to buy Spirit.”

Per the WSJ, the US government could soon loan Spirit up to $500 million in return for warrants to take a sizable stake in the airline, which has filed for bankruptcy twice since late 2024. Those warrants could give the US government the ability to purchase as much as 90% ownership of Spirit, Bloomberg reports. The carrier has made efforts to emerge from its latest bankruptcy, filed in August, but fuel costs amid the war in Iran have upset the math.

On Tuesday, President Trump told CNBC he would “love somebody to buy Spirit.”

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Boeing reports better-than-expected Q1 earnings, revenue

Plane maker Boeing reported its first-quarter earnings before the market opened on Wednesday. Its shares climbed more than 3% in premarket trading.

For Q1, Boeing reported:

  • An adjusted loss of $0.20 per share, compared to the loss of $0.68 per share expected by Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet.

  • Revenue of $22.22 billion, compared to estimates of $21.85 billion.

Boeing reported -$1.45 billion in free cash flow in Q1, compared to the -$2.34 billion expected by Wall Street. Prior to Wednesday, Boeing had reported two consecutive quarters of positive FCF following six straight quarters of negative results. The company is still guiding for full-year FCF of between $1 billion and $3 billion.

Earlier this month, Boeing announced it had delivered 143 commercial jets in Q1, up 10% from the same period last year and ahead of rival Airbus, which delivered 114. This was Boeing’s first time outdelivering Airbus since 2018.

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