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Boring is beautiful

The flashiest, best performing sector this year is... utilities?

Utilities stocks are up 27% in 2024, even better than tech

David Crowther

The stock market story of the year has been all about artificial intelligence (or maybe the Fed, if you’re more of a “zoom out” person).

But, despite Nvidia’s inexorable rise and the ongoing dominance of the Magnificent 7, it’s good old fashioned utility stocks — think electricity, water, and gas companies — that are leading the market this year, up more than 27%. That’s better than the Information Technology (+26%) or Communication Services (+25%) sectors.

Utilities stocks outperforming
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So, why are utility stocks soaring?

We never know exactly why any stock is doing anything, but in this case the market seems to be seeking exposure to utilities for two reasons. Firstly, after years of tighter monetary policy, we’re close to getting a cut in interest rates, lowering the borrowing costs for utility companies, as well as making their high dividend yields relatively more attractive to income-seeking investors.

The second reason is more fundamental. Many utilities stocks are indirectly exposed to AI (and you thought this story was about something else), by powering the ever-growing demand for data centers.

In fact, the best performing stock in the Utilities sector of the S&P 500 is a little-known company called Vistra Corp., which only joined the index in May, and has soared more than 130% this year. The second-best performing is Constellation Energy Corp. (+71%), which is America’s largest owner and operator of nuclear power plants.

Unsurprisingly, the management of these companies are talking up the opportunity:

The simple fact is that data centers are coming and they're essential to America's national security and economic competitiveness. We've heard this from a variety of policymakers, a number of nations, including China, are vying for AI supremacy. And it's absolutely critical that the US not fall behind. Time is of the essence. We simply cannot wait years for the data centers that are going to bring transformations. They're going to bring transformations in medicines, bringing new cures to diseases and treatments that research alone cannot do.

Joseph Dominguez — Chief Executive Officer, Constellation Energy Corp [August 6th, 2024]

Altogether, the words “data center” were mentioned 35 times on Constellation Energy’s Q2 earnings call. The count for the same quarter last year? Zero mentions.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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