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In this photo illustration, the Temu logo is displayed on a...
Temu is a subsidiary of PDD Holdings (Jaque Silva / Getty Images)
Red Monday

Temu’s parent company is on track for its worst day ever

Investors are bailing on PDD Holdings after management warned of increased competition and declining revenue growth.

Jack Raines

After reporting its second quarter earnings, Chinese e-commerce retailer PDD Holdings, the parent company of Temu, is down as much as 29.70%. The stock is on track for its largest one-day decline ever (the previous record is 24.6% on October 24, 2022).

The reason? PDD's revenue growth rate is contracting, down quarter-over-quarter, and management provided a somber business outlook, with Jun Liu, the company's VP of Finance, noting that "revenue growth will inevitably face pressure due to intensified competition and external challenges."

PDD Holdings reported revenue of 97.1 billion yuan ($13.6 billion), missing analysts' estimates of 100 billion yuan.

Beyond intensified competition, one "external challenge" facing PDD Holdings is increased regulatory pressure in foreign markets. As we discussed two weeks ago, The United States has long had a "de minimis" policy on foreign goods which allows the duty-free import of goods worth up to $800, meaning low-cost imports aren't subject to tariffs and import fees. Chinese fast fashion retailers such as Temu, a PDD Holdings subsidiary, have benefited from America's de minimis policy by selling low-cost goods to Americans. As of 2022, an estimated 30% of total US de minimus imports came from Temu and Shein, another fast fashion retailer.

However, US senators have recently proposed new legislation to close the "de minimis loophole," and in July, Bloomberg reported that the European Union is considering similar legislation to reduce the flow of duty-free imports from foreign e-commerce platforms.

New tariff legislation for Temu would raise export costs and further pressure PDD's margins, creating yet another headwind for a company that just warned investors that "profitability will also likely be impacted" as it invests more heavily in its ecosystem.

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Data center trade revived on Iran war ceasefire

Data center stocks leapt early Wednesday, as the Iran war ceasefire reinvigorated risk-taking aimed at the booming AI build-out.

A wide range of stocks related to building and powering data center shells, filling them with chips, servers, racks, and memory, and then connecting those racks to one another and users around the world bounced hard in early trading.

Memory stocks like Micron, Western Digital, Seagate Technology Holdings, and Sandisk — favorites of retail traders given their massive performance in recent years — climbed.

Traders seemed to price in durable demand for memory and other chips, with the companies that make the machines that actually make semiconductors rising sharply as well. Dutch semiconductor machinery giant ASML rose, as did Applied Materials, Lam Research, and KLA Corp.

Fiber-optic cable and connecting companies like Lumentum, Coherent, Corning, and Applied Optoelectronics — which had been on a run before the outbreak of Mideast hostilities — regained momentum.

And the construction and engineering companies — MasTec, Vertiv Holdings, Quanta Services, and Comfort Systems USA — that have been feasting on the cash pouring into data center building and engineering also jumped.

Airlines and cruise stocks spike after oil plunges on 2-week ceasefire with Iran

Travel stocks are surging Wednesday following President Trump’s announcement on Tuesday evening of a two-week ceasefire with Iran.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down about 16% as of 7 a.m. ET. Airlines, which have been pounded by higher jet fuel costs for more than a month now, moved in the opposite direction. Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and American Airlines were up more than 10% in premarket trading. Southwest Airlines and JetBlue also rose by high single digits. Three major US airlines (JetBlue, United, and Delta) raised baggage fees in recent days as fuel costs climbed.

Cruise stocks also rallied, with Carnival, Norwegian Cruise Line, and Royal Caribbean all up more than 7%.

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Delta reports better-than-expected Q1 earnings, surges as oil plummets

Delta Air Lines reported its first-quarter results before markets opened on Wednesday. The carrier’s shares surged 12% in premarket trading.

Delta, which as of today will charge passengers $10 more per checked bag, reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.64 per share, compared to the $0.58 per share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

  • Adjusted operating revenue of $14.2 billion, compared to estimates of $14 billion.

Looking ahead, Delta said it expects Q2 earnings per share of between $1 and $1.50, below Wall Street estimates of $1.56 per share — which might be enough to disappoint investors if oil, one of the largest inputs for an airline’s fuel cost base, wasn’t tanking. Indeed, West Texas Intermediate crude futures are down more than 16% on Wednesday morning, following President Trump’s comments that he agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran on Tuesday evening. Delta did not give any full-year earnings guidance in its press release.

Like other carriers, Delta has taken a hit in recent weeks as oil — and jet fuel — prices spike amid the war in Iran. Significant delays, cancellations, and rebookings have also battered US airlines.

Delta, which is becoming an increasingly K-shaped airline, saw premium tickets grow 14% year over year in the first quarter, compared to 1% growth in main cabin tickets.

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