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Taser maker Axon dives after whiffing on earnings; announces acquisition

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Taser and body camera maker Axon reported much softer-than-expected Q3 earnings after the close of trading in New York on Tuesday, and simultaneously announced plans to acquire emergency communications platform Carbyne at a valuation of $625 million.

The market is responding quite negatively to the big whiff on earnings, with the stock tanking by more than 20% in the after-hours session shortly after the results came out.

The company reported:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.17 vs. the $1.52 consensus estimate.

  • Q3 sales of $711 million vs. the $704.8 million forecast.

  • A non-GAAP gross margin of 62.7% vs. the 62.3% anticipated.

  • Full-year revenue guidance of ~$2.74 billion vs. the $2.72 billion currently expected by Wall Street and up from previous guidance of between $2.65 billion and $2.73 billion.

Axon rallied sharply in the days after President Donald Trump won the 2024 election, as investors seemed to price in a surge in funding for police under the Trump administration. The stock was one of a number of so-called “Trump trades” that appeared well positioned to do well under a Trump administration, either because of personal connections with the White House or because its business was well aligned with expected policy priorities.

Axon was up as much as 90% between the election and early August, but since then the stock’s gains have fizzled down to 62% since Trump defeated former Vice President Kamala Harris. Another Trump trade, federal deportation contractor GEO Group, has done worse, losing virtually all of its post-election gains, which at one time pushed the shares up 133%.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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