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Donald Trump tariffs executive order
Tariff man (Saul Loeb/Getty Images)

Tech analyst on tariffs: “Worse than the worst case scenario”

“Tech stocks will clearly be under major pressure on this announcement,” said Wedbush’s Dan Ives.

Matt Phillips
4/2/25 5:23PM

Megacap tech stocks tumbled in the after-hours session following the Trump administration’s announcement of across-the-board tariffs on US trading partners, as well as higher-than-expected trade levies on countries like China and Taiwan that run large trade surpluses with the US.

At last glance Apple was down nearly 6%, Nvidia more than 3%, and Meta nearly 4%. At roughly 6 p.m. ET, Nasdaq 100 futures are down enough to imply a 3% drop in the large-cap stock index when it opens on Thursday.

Quick-fingered tech analyst Dan Ives over at Wedbush has one of the first assessments of the impact of the tariff announcements on tech stocks, in a note published Wednesday. He wrote:

President Trump just finished his tariff speech at the White House and we would characterize this slate of tariffs as worse than the worst case scenariothe Street was fearing. While there are many details to be worked out and investors will focus on the specifics over the coming 24 hours, the jaw dropper was the China reciprocal tariff of 34%. Taiwan at 32% is the other major one along with the EU at 20%...

Tech stocks will clearly be under major pressure on this announcement as the worries about demand destruction, supply chains, and especially the China/Taiwan piece of the tariffs. Apple produces basically all their iPhones in China and the question will be around exceptions/exemptions on this tariff policy if those companies are building more operations/factories/plants in the US like Apple announced in February.

For Nvidia and other chip players with significant exposure to China and Taiwan supply chains the worry will be around pricing and margin impacts along with what this means for the global supply chain looking forward.

Ives may have been a little too quick on the trigger, however, when it comes to semiconductors: a fact sheet from the White House says that chips are exempt from the reciprocal tariff.

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Six Flags pops after reiterating its guidance as theme park attendance rebounds

Six Flags shares rose more than 7% today after the company reported a rebound in attendance and early season-pass sales heading into the fall. The nine-week period ending August 31 saw 17.8 million guests, up about 2% from the same stretch in 2024, with stronger momentum in the final four weeks. 

More importantly, Six Flags reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $860 million to $910 million, showing confidence that its cost and operations strategy can stay strong for the duration of the year. Riding that wave, Six Flags also said early 2026 season pass unit sales are pacing ahead of last year, and average season pass prices are up around 3%.

The good vibes come despite a drop in in-park per capita spending, especially from admissions, where promotions and changes to attendance mix (which parks or days guests visit) have weighed. Earlier this week, the amusement giant extended a new agreement that extended its position as the exclusive amusement park partner for Peanuts™ in North America through 2030.

Despite the rally, Six Flags shares are down around 52% year-to-date.

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Rivian turns red on the year, squeezed by a recall and the looming end of the EV tax credit

Shares of EV maker Rivian are down more than 5% on Friday following the company’s recall of 24,214 vehicles due to a software issue. The stock move erases Rivian’s year-to-date gain and turns the company negative on the year.

Rivian’s 2025 model year R1S and R1T are affected by the defect, which was identified after a vehicle’s hands-free highway assist software failed to identify another vehicle on the road, causing a low-speed collision. Rivian said it’s released an over-the-air update to fix the issue.

The recall marks Rivian’s fifth this year, affecting nearly 70,000 of its vehicles.

Rivian’s shares are down more than 20% from their 2025 high, which came prior to the passage of President Trump’sbig, beautiful bill.” Through the legislation, the $7,500 EV tax credit is set to expire at the end of the month.

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Moderna, Pfizer dip after WaPo reports Trump officials’ plan to link Covid vaccines to child deaths

Vaccine makers are falling after The Washington Post reported that the Trump administration plans to link the coronavirus vaccine to 25 child deaths.

Moderna and Pfizer, the two companies who sell the vaccine in the US, fell by more than 5% and 2%, respectively. The coronavirus vaccine is virtually the only revenue driver for Moderna, while Pfizer has a larger and more diverse portfolio.

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RH slips after missing Q2 estimates and trimming its outlook amid cost pressure

Restoration Hardware shares dropped Friday morning after the luxury furniture brand missed Q2 estimates and tightened its full-year outlook.

Adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.93, below the Street’s estimate of $3.21. Revenue was $899.2 million, also missing analysts’ forecast of $905 million.

RH now expects full-year revenue growth of 9% to 11%, down from prior guidance of 10% to 13%, as margins get squeezed by tariffs and weakness in the housing market. Wall Street had been looking for about 10% growth this year.

The retailer is taking steps to blunt cost pressures, including shifting sourcing away from China. RH expects receipts to fall from 16% in Q1 to 2% in Q4, with vendors absorbing a meaningful portion of the tariff impact. RH is also boosting US manufacturing capacity in North Carolina and pushing back a new concept launch to next spring.

RH shares are down about 43% year to date.

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