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Bundle of dollars and a bag of SPAC on scales.
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SPACs are back — maybe just with the same old playbook and players

Many assets from the last boom still aren’t looking great.

Hyunsoo Rim

After a pandemic-era surge that ended in a wave of flameouts, Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs) — “blank-check” firms that raise money via IPO, then look to merge with a private company — are making a comeback.

According to Bloomberg, US SPACs have raised $11 billion so far in 2025, more than 5x the total at this point last year, and now account for nearly two-thirds of all US IPO volume. 

Driving the revival are some familiar names. Goldman Sachs is reportedly returning to the SPAC business after a three-year pause, only with a more selective approach. Chamath Palihapitiya, once dubbed the “SPAC King,” said last week he’ll “probably” launch another, as he concedes his last run “wasn’t a success by any means.” Meanwhile, regulatory tailwinds may be helping, with new SEC Chair Paul Atkins signaling a potential rollback of the stricter rules imposed under his predecessor.

However, cautionary specters from the 2020-21 SPAC frenzy still loom large.

Many of the pandemic-era cycle’s high-profile SPACs have cratered since their IPOs, due to overhyped projections, rising interest rates, and tougher scrutiny. Palihapitiya’s own deals — including Virgin Galactic, Clover Health, Opendoor, and Lucid — have mostly plunged 70% to 90% from their IPO prices (perhaps an explanation for why 71% of respondents in his recent X poll said he shouldn’t return). QuantumScape, despite jumping 35% yesterday, remains far from its peak, having never generated revenue, while several others have been delisted.

There are, of course, a few exceptions. Trump Media surged on political momentum despite its weak fundamentals; DraftKings has ridden the sports betting boom; SoFi Technologies remains a rare win from Palihapitiya with strong consumer traction; and Hims & Hers has built buzz in telehealth — though it certainly looks a little under the weather this week.

Yet many of the old problems persist. SPACs are once again chasing hyped sectors du jour, like crypto, quantum, and autonomous vehicles, and over 90% of completed SPAC deals now trade below their IPO price, per Reuters.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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