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Robinhood event this week a “key catalyst,” bullish analyst says

Wednesday meeting may “add new vectors for growth and instill greater investor confidence that they are a real company.”

Matt Phillips
3/24/25 10:02AM

Robinhood shares are on track for their fourth consecutive gain Monday, as the free brokerage app claws back ground lost in the recent market correction. Robinhood plunged 45% between its February 17 peak of more than $65 a share and March 10.

(Disclosure: Sherwood Media is an editorially independent subsidiary of Robinhood Markets Inc. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

The jump comes amid a broad rally in shares sporting high price-to-earnings ratios — Tesla and Palantir are the two top S&P 500 performers in the early going on Monday — that reflects a sudden revival of a speculative itch among traders.

The animal spirits were stoked by the fact that the Trump administration seems to be scaling back threatened tariffs after acknowledging weaker expectations for the economy and the ugly market sell-off.

The bullish backdrop is good news for brokerage houses broadly, with others like Charles Schwab and Interactive Brokers enjoying a healthy rise Monday.

The additional oomph for Robinhood may be tied to a new note from Morgan Stanley’s analysts following the stock, who happen to be some of the most bullish on the Street. Their $90 price target, far above the average consensus of about $68, implies a gain of nearly 90% for the shares.

In a note published Monday, lead analyst Michael J. Cyprys wrote that Robinhood’s corporate event on Wednesday will spotlight the company’s plans to diversify its business to include more wealth management, credit, and banking, and called the San Francisco meeting a “a key catalyst event for the stock.” He wrote:

“We expect mgmt to outline their vision for the future of Robinhood Gold, their paid subscription service offering premium services. We also expect new product launches and announcements that will add new vectors for growth and instill greater investor confidence that they are a real company; namely a mobile-first technology software company operating in financial services that’s quickly evolving to address broader customer needs beyond free stock trading, that will bolster and diversify the revenue stream.”

Morgan Stanley reiterated its $90 target for the shares, which analysts slapped on the stock on February 13 before the stock peaked and turned sharply lower.

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Six Flags pops after reiterating its guidance as theme park attendance rebounds

Six Flags shares rose more than 7% today after the company reported a rebound in attendance and early season-pass sales heading into the fall. The nine-week period ending August 31 saw 17.8 million guests, up about 2% from the same stretch in 2024, with stronger momentum in the final four weeks. 

More importantly, Six Flags reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $860 million to $910 million, showing confidence that its cost and operations strategy can stay strong for the duration of the year. Riding that wave, Six Flags also said early 2026 season pass unit sales are pacing ahead of last year, and average season pass prices are up around 3%.

The good vibes come despite a drop in in-park per capita spending, especially from admissions, where promotions and changes to attendance mix (which parks or days guests visit) have weighed. Earlier this week, the amusement giant extended a new agreement that extended its position as the exclusive amusement park partner for Peanuts™ in North America through 2030.

Despite the rally, Six Flags shares are down around 52% year-to-date.

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Rivian turns red on the year, squeezed by a recall and the looming end of the EV tax credit

Shares of EV maker Rivian are down more than 5% on Friday following the company’s recall of 24,214 vehicles due to a software issue. The stock move erases Rivian’s year-to-date gain and turns the company negative on the year.

Rivian’s 2025 model year R1S and R1T are affected by the defect, which was identified after a vehicle’s hands-free highway assist software failed to identify another vehicle on the road, causing a low-speed collision. Rivian said it’s released an over-the-air update to fix the issue.

The recall marks Rivian’s fifth this year, affecting nearly 70,000 of its vehicles.

Rivian’s shares are down more than 20% from their 2025 high, which came prior to the passage of President Trump’sbig, beautiful bill.” Through the legislation, the $7,500 EV tax credit is set to expire at the end of the month.

markets

Moderna, Pfizer dip after WaPo reports Trump officials’ plan to link Covid vaccines to child deaths

Vaccine makers are falling after The Washington Post reported that the Trump administration plans to link the coronavirus vaccine to 25 child deaths.

Moderna and Pfizer, the two companies who sell the vaccine in the US, fell by more than 5% and 2%, respectively. The coronavirus vaccine is virtually the only revenue driver for Moderna, while Pfizer has a larger and more diverse portfolio.

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RH slips after missing Q2 estimates and trimming its outlook amid cost pressure

Restoration Hardware shares dropped Friday morning after the luxury furniture brand missed Q2 estimates and tightened its full-year outlook.

Adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.93, below the Street’s estimate of $3.21. Revenue was $899.2 million, also missing analysts’ forecast of $905 million.

RH now expects full-year revenue growth of 9% to 11%, down from prior guidance of 10% to 13%, as margins get squeezed by tariffs and weakness in the housing market. Wall Street had been looking for about 10% growth this year.

The retailer is taking steps to blunt cost pressures, including shifting sourcing away from China. RH expects receipts to fall from 16% in Q1 to 2% in Q4, with vendors absorbing a meaningful portion of the tariff impact. RH is also boosting US manufacturing capacity in North Carolina and pushing back a new concept launch to next spring.

RH shares are down about 43% year to date.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.