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Oklo whipsaws amid BofA downgrade, accelerated future review process by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission

Shares of Oklo were volatile in early trading, falling as Bank of America downgraded the stock to neutral from buy before getting a short-lived jolt after the nuclear technology company said regulators accepted a key design report faster than anticipated. The stock is down about 3% as of 10:05 a.m. ET.

“Valuations now embed deployment ramps and discount rates we view as unrealistic at this stage of SMR [small modular reactor] adoption,” BofA analyst Dimple Gosai wrote. “While we remain constructive on Oklos differentiated build-own-operate model, pipeline conversion, HALEU recycling, and DOE/DoD contracting, we view near-term risk/reward as balanced.”

She also raised her price target to $117 from $92.

Separately, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission accepted Oklo’s Principal Design Criteria topical report “in just 15 days, compared to the typical 30–60 days following submission,” the company shared in a press release, noting that “recent legislation and executive orders have called for the delivery of more nuclear power for clean, reliable energy on accelerated timelines, and this is how it’s done.”

Per the company, the PDC report establishes a regulatory framework for future reactor licensing and design activities, and once approved, effectively streamlines Oklo’s deployment of advanced reactors by reducing unnecessary steps in the licensing process.

In a note published on Monday, Barclays analysts wrote that “government approval of each step of the process is one of the largest moats in the space,” especially considering the “prolonged, expensive, and complex” regulatory framework under the NRC.

Oklo is up 65% in the past month, riding a wave of investor enthusiasm for clean power plays as the market anticipates a surge in AI-related energy demand. Earlier this morning, shares were under pressure after BofA cut the stock to “neutral from buy.

Separately, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission accepted Oklo’s Principal Design Criteria topical report “in just 15 days, compared to the typical 30–60 days following submission,” the company shared in a press release, noting that “recent legislation and executive orders have called for the delivery of more nuclear power for clean, reliable energy on accelerated timelines, and this is how it’s done.”

Per the company, the PDC report establishes a regulatory framework for future reactor licensing and design activities, and once approved, effectively streamlines Oklo’s deployment of advanced reactors by reducing unnecessary steps in the licensing process.

In a note published on Monday, Barclays analysts wrote that “government approval of each step of the process is one of the largest moats in the space,” especially considering the “prolonged, expensive, and complex” regulatory framework under the NRC.

Oklo is up 65% in the past month, riding a wave of investor enthusiasm for clean power plays as the market anticipates a surge in AI-related energy demand. Earlier this morning, shares were under pressure after BofA cut the stock to “neutral from buy.

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AST SpaceMobile surges as satellite services theme gains market traction

Space stocks jumped on Thursday, led by a surge in AST SpaceMobile after Bell Canada named the Texas-based satellite services provider as a partner for a new direct-to-cellular service it plans to offer next year.

AST is up more than 20% just this week after announcing that its latest Bluebird 6 satellite was assembled, tested, and ready for launch and that its launch schedule appears to be on track.

“AST reiterated its expectation of launches every one to two months on average during 2025 and 2026, which is expected to result in between 45 and 60 satellites in orbit by the end of 2026,” wrote Louie DePalma, an analyst at William Blair. “Reaching 45 to 60 satellites in orbit is significant because it allows for continuous broadband coverage for AST’s core markets in the U.S., Europe, and Japan. We view this update positively.”

Space and satellite stocks Rocket Lab and Planet Labs ascended alongside AST Thursday. But all of these stocks are, in a sense, drafting off dynamics being driven by Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX, the leader in the private space sector.

The company has played a key role in lowering the costs of space launches, thereby “fostering intense competition and accelerating innovation across the sector. This has led to significantly lower launch prices, reshaping the economics of deploying large-scale Low Earth Orbit constellations,” wrote Barclays analysts in a recent note on the outlook for the satellite industry. This has opened up new possibilities such as providing consumer broadband services, they noted.

“AST reiterated its expectation of launches every one to two months on average during 2025 and 2026, which is expected to result in between 45 and 60 satellites in orbit by the end of 2026,” wrote Louie DePalma, an analyst at William Blair. “Reaching 45 to 60 satellites in orbit is significant because it allows for continuous broadband coverage for AST’s core markets in the U.S., Europe, and Japan. We view this update positively.”

Space and satellite stocks Rocket Lab and Planet Labs ascended alongside AST Thursday. But all of these stocks are, in a sense, drafting off dynamics being driven by Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX, the leader in the private space sector.

The company has played a key role in lowering the costs of space launches, thereby “fostering intense competition and accelerating innovation across the sector. This has led to significantly lower launch prices, reshaping the economics of deploying large-scale Low Earth Orbit constellations,” wrote Barclays analysts in a recent note on the outlook for the satellite industry. This has opened up new possibilities such as providing consumer broadband services, they noted.

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Bloom Energy falls as Mizuho downgrades the stock to “neutral” from “outperform”

There’s an immense need for power to fuel the AI data centers playing the starring role in driving up electricity prices.

Mizuho just isn’t sure that the high-flying fuel cell company Bloom Energy is well placed to provide it.

Analyst Maheep Mandloi cited the firm’s internal constraints on growth in lowering his rating on the stock to “neutral” from “outperform,” suggesting that Bloom will likely need to develop a bigger pipeline of customers before expanding its manufacturing footprint.

Still, he hiked his price target to $79 from $48 while downgrading the stock.

Last week, JPMorgan flagged that retail traders were beginning to sour on the shares, which had enjoyed a massive run-up that kicked into high gear thanks to a deal with Oracle announced in late July to supply power to data centers.

Wall Street is broadly negative on Bloom Energy, relative to most of the universe of the stocks the sell side covers. Its consensus rating, per analysts polled by Bloomberg, is just shy of 3.35. For reference, that’s a worse average rating than nearly 90% of the stocks in the S&P 500 (which Bloom is not a part of).

Jefferies downgraded the stock last week on the same day Bank of America analysts wrote, “We are still not buying into BE’s AI hype.” Nonetheless, most are still revising price targets higher to account for the stock’s move. But all that leaves the average price target well below where the shares are currently trading.

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Western Digital, a top S&P stock over the last month, is attracting retail traders

We’ve been covering the sudden sexiness of data storage as a market theme a lot recently, with Western Digital and Seagate Technology Holdings turning into top trades of 2025.

The makers of relatively affordable data storage devices known as hard disk drives were leading the S&P 500 until recently, when they were supplanted by an index newbie.

WDC JPM Retail Radar Chart
A chart from JPM’s Retail Radar note showing increased retail buying of WDC.

But Western Digital, which has been trading at a discount to Seagate due to its spottier earnings record over the last couple years, seems to have suddenly found fans among the unwashed stock-trading masses, with JPMorgan’s always informative Retail Radar note spotlighting “strong buying in WDC rally” Wednesday as they climbed aboard a rally that has carried the shares up more than 60% over the last month.

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Quantum computing stocks soar

Quantum stocks are going gangbusters in early trading on Thursday, with Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, IonQ, and Quantum Computing all up at least 5.5% as of 10:10 a.m. ET.

Surprisingly, most of these gains are taking place on relatively light volume (and a dearth of news) so far, though Rigetti and Quantum Computing are both enjoying elevated call demand, having already outstripped Wednesday’s call volumes traded a little over half an hour into the session.

The quantum space has benefited from a number of fresh deals with governments and affiliated agencies over the past month, with hopes of more to come, as the Trump administration recently highlighted quantum technology as an R&D budgetary priority for fiscal 2027.

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Rivian dips after lowering its full-year guidance while posting better-than-expected Q3 sales

Shares of EV maker Rivian dipped more than 3% in premarket trading on Thursday after the company reported its third-quarter production and delivery totals.

Rivian said it delivered 13,201 vehicles in the period ended September 30, beating analyst estimates of about 12,000. The figure represents a 32% jump from the same period last year, with the expiring EV tax credit boosting purchasing activity.

The company also narrowed its full-year delivery total to between 41,500 and 43,500 vehicles. That’s on the lower end of its prior range of 40,000 to 46,000 vehicles, likely fueling the investor pullback. That delivery outlook has been trending the wrong way: in April, the automaker was guiding for between 46,000 and 51,000 vehicles.

Tesla, the leader in the US EV market, sold a record 497,000 cars in Q3.

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