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AST SpaceMobile surges as satellite services theme gains market traction

Space stocks jumped on Thursday, led by a surge in AST SpaceMobile after Bell Canada named the Texas-based satellite services provider as a partner for a new direct-to-cellular service it plans to offer next year.

AST is up more than 20% just this week after announcing that its latest Bluebird 6 satellite was assembled, tested, and ready for launch and that its launch schedule appears to be on track.

“AST reiterated its expectation of launches every one to two months on average during 2025 and 2026, which is expected to result in between 45 and 60 satellites in orbit by the end of 2026,” wrote Louie DePalma, an analyst at William Blair. “Reaching 45 to 60 satellites in orbit is significant because it allows for continuous broadband coverage for AST’s core markets in the U.S., Europe, and Japan. We view this update positively.”

Space and satellite stocks Rocket Lab and Planet Labs ascended alongside AST Thursday. But all of these stocks are, in a sense, drafting off dynamics being driven by Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX, the leader in the private space sector.

The company has played a key role in lowering the costs of space launches, thereby “fostering intense competition and accelerating innovation across the sector. This has led to significantly lower launch prices, reshaping the economics of deploying large-scale Low Earth Orbit constellations,” wrote Barclays analysts in a recent note on the outlook for the satellite industry. This has opened up new possibilities such as providing consumer broadband services, they noted.

“AST reiterated its expectation of launches every one to two months on average during 2025 and 2026, which is expected to result in between 45 and 60 satellites in orbit by the end of 2026,” wrote Louie DePalma, an analyst at William Blair. “Reaching 45 to 60 satellites in orbit is significant because it allows for continuous broadband coverage for AST’s core markets in the U.S., Europe, and Japan. We view this update positively.”

Space and satellite stocks Rocket Lab and Planet Labs ascended alongside AST Thursday. But all of these stocks are, in a sense, drafting off dynamics being driven by Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX, the leader in the private space sector.

The company has played a key role in lowering the costs of space launches, thereby “fostering intense competition and accelerating innovation across the sector. This has led to significantly lower launch prices, reshaping the economics of deploying large-scale Low Earth Orbit constellations,” wrote Barclays analysts in a recent note on the outlook for the satellite industry. This has opened up new possibilities such as providing consumer broadband services, they noted.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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