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Nvidia’s beaten earnings seven quarters in a row — can it make it eight?

It’s all eyes on Nvidia today, as traders position themselves ahead of the company’s Q3 FY25 results, expected after the close, which — as Luke Kawa pointed out — is really the only major market event left of the year.

The AI darling of all AI darlings, Nvidia’s market cap has soared in the last 18 months, unseating Apple to become the world’s largest company thanks primarily to the unprecedented results of its data-center division. That business has helped Nvidia beat earnings estimates seven times in a row, per data from FactSet, though the scale of each earnings beat has narrowed consistently. In the last five quarters, Nvidia has beaten expectations on the top line (revenue) by: 21%, 11%, 8%, 6%, and 4%. The earnings surprises have drifted lower in a similar fashion: 30%, 19%, 12%, 9%, and 5%.

Nvidia earnings and sales surprises vs. consensus
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For 3Q FY25, analysts are expecting data center revenues to hit $28.84 billion, accounting for 87% of total sales, which are forecast to hit $33.17 billion. Profits (net income) are expected to rise 89% year on year. Can Jensen Huang pull off another spectacular quarter? We’re about to find out.

Related reading: Nvidia is the Bo Jackson of the stock market.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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