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Collision 2023 - Day Two
Kaz Nejatian, then Shopify COO, now Opendoor CEO (Ramsey Cardy/Getty Images)

Key takeaways from Opendoor’s Q3 earnings call

A lot was said, and none of it gave the stock a boost.

Opendoor Technologies reported Q3 earnings that were not well received by the market, with shares cratering in after-hours trading on Thursday and continuing to be mired deep in the red on Friday.

“Deep in the red” also describes its income statement in Q3 and the outlook for Q4: adjusted EBITDA of -$33 million was well below the Street’s estimate for -$23.7 million as well as Opendoor’s previous guidance. In Q4, that’s poised to swell to “the high $40 millions to mid $50 millions,” per management.

Here are our top takeaways from the Q3 earnings call that followed the release of these results:

  • The operational strategy is to buy more homes, faster, and flip them for a small profit with haste.

    • CEO Kaz Nejatian said the weekly number of homes the company entered into contracts to buy went from 120 on his first day of work to 230 by the end of October.

    • “Our business plan is simple: buy and sell lots and lots of homes quickly, be operationally excellent, and increase our value to each homeowner by launching services like mortgage, insurance, and warranty,” he said.

  • There’s low-hanging fruit on expenses to cut:

    • Nejatian said he was “shocked” to learn that one of Opendoor’s biggest 1H expenses were payments to a well-known consulting firm.

    • Per Chairman Keith Rabois and EMJ Capital’s Eric Jackson, Opendoor had about 1,400 employees when Nejatian joined the company. The CEO said that number is now down to 1,100.

  • The majority of its 2030 convertible notes were refinanced with equity.

    • “Earlier today, we reached an agreement to retire the majority of these notes,” Nejatian said, adding that this avoids a situation where the company could have been forced to repay these in full before the end of 2025.

  • Real estate tokenization is certainly in the cards, timeline TBD:

    • “I dont want to say were going to do this next week, but I generally cant imagine a future where real estate is not tokenized. And I also cant imagine a future where Opendoor isnt leading innovation in real estate,” Nejatian said. “Weve begun talking with partners about how we can work across stablecoins and tokenization. The work is active. Were very serious about it, and well tell you more when we launch something.”

  • Perhaps most importantly (and discouragingly, for Opendoor bulls), nothing that was said during this call was considered to be a meaningfully positive catalyst by markets:

    • Shares ended the conference call a little lower than where they were when it kicked off.

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Archer Aviation plunges on $650 million share sale following its third-quarter results

Air taxi maker Archer Aviation is deep in the red on Friday morning after reporting its third-quarter results after the bell Thursday. The stock is down more than 12%.

Investors don’t appear to be thrilled about the company’s $650 million direct stock offering, announced alongside its results.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

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Expedia soars as travel demand fuels big Q3 beat and price target hikes across Wall Street

Shares of Expedia leapt in early trading Friday after the travel platform posted a strong third quarter.

Adjusted earnings per share came in at $7.57, surpassing the consensus estimate of roughly $6.98. Meanwhile, revenue climbed to $4.41 billion, also topping forecasts and driven by strong room-night growth in the US and Asia. 

“Our strong third quarter results exceeded both our top- and bottom-line expectations, reflecting an improved demand environment, disciplined execution and tangible progress on our strategic priorities,” CEO Ariane Gorin said in a statement. “Notably, US room-night growth hit its fastest pace in over three years, we posted our 17th consecutive quarter of double-digit B2B growth — and consumer bookings grew 7%.” 

For the full year, Expedia now expects revenue growth of 6% to 7%, up from its previous estimate of 3% to 5%. Wall Street welcomed the results:

  • Evercore ISI maintained its “outperform” rating and lifted its target to $350 from $280.

  • Piper Sandler upgraded the stock to “neutral” and hiked its target to $250 from $190.

  • Wells Fargo maintained its “equal weight” rating and raised its price target to $272 from $212.

  • UBS kept its “neutral” rating and raised its target to $234 from $209.

  • Truist reiterated its “hold” rating and increased its target to $210 from $168.

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