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Dollar General Cuts Financial Outlook Amid Current Economic Climate
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Dollar General shares climb as budget shoppers boost sales

The retailer has seen steady consumer demand even as profits get squeezed.

Nia Warfield

Shares of Dollar General climbed 5% in early trading Thursday after the discount retailer posted mixed fourth-quarter results.

Revenue narrowly topped analysts’ expectations at $10.3 billion. Home products drove the bulk of sales, followed by apparel and seasonal goods. Same-store sales also beat, growing 1.2%.

Earnings per share came in at $0.87, including $0.81 of one-time items like impairment charges and a review of the company’s store portfolio. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected EPS of $1.51. Operating profit sank 49% to $294.2 million, hurt by $232 million in charges tied to store portfolio optimization.

As part of that strategy, Dollar General plans to close 96 of its core stores and 45 Popshelf locations in Q1, while converting six Popshelf stores into its main Dollar General format. Popshelf, which launched in 2020, targets a slightly more upscale bargain shopper with home decor, beauty, and seasonal items at higher price points than the flagship chain. Despite the closures, Dollar General is still in expansion mode: the company opened 725 stores, remodeled 1,621, and relocated 85 last year.

For 2025, Dollar General expects same-store sales growth of 1.2% to 2.2%, roughly in line with Wall Street’s estimate of 1.8%. EPS is projected to land between $5.10 and $5.80, trailing Wall Street’s forecast of $5.83. Shares of rival Dollar Tree also ticked up following the results, and the chain is set to report its own earnings next Wednesday.

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Nvidia gains on report that Chinese officials told domestic tech champions to progress with plans for H200 imports

The “will Xi, won’t Xi?” of Nvidia’s quest to send AI chips to China got some positive news, reversing a string of recent negative reports.

Per Bloomberg, Chinese officials told leading domestic tech champions including Alibaba, Tencent, and ByteDance that they can progress in their preparations to import Nvidia’s H200 chips, and “are now cleared to discuss specifics such as the amounts they would require,” citing people familiar with the matter.

Shares are up 1.5% as of 8:06 a.m. ET.

The outlet had previously reported that China would begin to allow H200 imports for commercial use “as soon as this quarter.” However, that was followed by reports from The Information, the Financial Times, and Reuters that Chinese companies’ ability to access these AI chips would be limited and that suppliers had paused production following what was tantamount to an import ban.

The seemingly conflicting reports from various outlets reflect the tug-of-war within the Chinese policy apparatus, which aims to balance competing priorities: bolstering its AI capabilities (which argues for using the best technology available, even if that’s from foreign sources) and supporting the development of its domestic semiconductor manufacturing industry (which pushes in the opposite direction).

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Alaska Airlines dips following weaker-than-expected 2026 earnings guidance

Alaska Airlines, America’s fifth-largest airline, reported its fourth-quarter and full-year results for 2025 after the market closed Thursday. Its shares fell 2% in after hours trading.

The airline reported adjusted fourth-quarter earnings of $0.43 per share, beating the $0.11 expected by Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet. Its Q4 passenger revenue climbed 2% to $3.25 billion.

For the current quarter, Alaska guided for a 1% to 2% increase in capacity and an adjusted loss of $1.50 to $0.50 per share, compared to the $0.77 loss per share expected by analysts. The airline forecast full-year earnings of between $3.50 and $6.50 per share for 2026. The $5 per share midpoint falls short of analyst estimates of $5.52.

“To hit the higher end of our guidance range we would require sustained macroeconomic recovery in 2026, at or improving on trends seen in the first three weeks of the year, and for fuel prices to stabilize,” the company said in its report.

Earlier this month, the carrier placed its largest ever plane order, securing 110 Boeing jets to support its international growth ambitions. It plans to add flights to Rome, London, and Iceland this summer, and has said it will boost its premium seat offerings this year — in-line with a wider trend of travel trends reflecting a “K-shaped economy.”

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