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Coty shares sink after the beauty conglomerate posts surprise Q4 loss

Coty shares sank nearly 20% in premarket trading Thursday as investors digested the beauty conglomerate’s disappointing Q4 results after the bell Wednesday.

The cosmetics and fragrance company posted an adjusted loss of $0.05 per share, well below Wall Street’s forecast for a $0.01 profit, according to analysts polled by FactSet. Revenue came in at $1.25 billion, topping analyst estimates of $1.21 billion but still down 8% year over year. Growth was driven by Coty’s prestige fragrance portfolio, which includes Gucci, Swarovski, and Tiffany & Co.

Looking ahead, Coty guided for adjusted EPS of $0.33 to $0.36 in the first half of its fiscal year, with stronger gains expected in the back half. Analysts are projecting full-year adjusted earnings of about $0.50 per share.

Management flagged a cautious retail backdrop, noting that retailers are destocking and consumers are trading down toward cheaper value options.

“Consumer demand for beauty continues to be solid, particularly for fragrances across price points and formats,” the company said in a statement. “At the same time, macroeconomic and tariff uncertainty is fueling cautious retailer ordering and a more promotional competitive environment.”

Coty also said it expects about $70 million in gross tariff headwinds this year, driven by new US tariffs on European-made fragrances and Chinese-sourced components. To offset the impact, Coty plans to raise prices across select categories.

Prior to the earnings release, Coty shares were down 29% year to date.

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US gas prices surge, with prediction markets implying >$4 per gallon by the end of March

Pain at the pump is intensifying as the ongoing war in the Middle East pressures supplies.

US average national gas prices rose to $3.45 per gallon on Sunday, according to data from the American Automobile Association, and are up more than 15% since the kinetic conflict started.

“Given Sunday evening’s data and the continued surge in oil prices, I believe there is roughly an 80% chance the national average price of gasoline reaches $4 per gallon within the next month- or sooner,” wrote Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, in a post on Substack on Sunday evening. “In the immediate term, the national average of $3.45 per gallon could climb to roughly $3.75–$3.95 this week alone.”

Prediction markets currently expect prices to end the month around $4.30 to $4.50. On Friday, the prediction market-implied likely range for prices was between $3.60 and $3.70.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Report: Boeing could unveil 500-jet order from China during Trump’s visit later this month

Shares of Boeing are up nearly 4% on Friday afternoon, following a Bloomberg report that the company could be close to finalizing a deal to sell 500 planes to China.

The deal was first reported in August and would be one of Boeing’s largest ever.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

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