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BMO: Here’s where to look for smoking growth in tech

Tech has been a massive outperformer off the market bottom.

6/18/25 2:06PM

Large-cap tech shares have ripped since the market’s April 8 bottom, with the Nasdaq 100 (Invesco QQQ Trust) up roughly 27% compared to the S&P 500’s (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) roughly 20% gain.

BMO equity analyst Brian Belski has been overweight on tech for a while, but he suggests that, going forward, tech’s performance will be dominated less by a sector-wide, knee-jerk recovery from the early April tariff panics than by the performance of certain individual shares. In a note published today, he wrote:

“We advocate for a highly selective approach to sector positioning. While we still prefer slightly smaller stocks within the sector with GARP [growth at a reasonable price] attributes as our preferred strategy, we thought it would be helpful to highlight some alternative selection approaches this time around... Specifically, we decided to “decompose” [growth at a reasonable price] and identify what we would view as the growth and value opportunities within the sector at both the industry and individual stock levels.”

Belski ginned up some helpful tables that break out tech companies with the highest expectations for earnings growth — he looks at near-term and long-term earnings-per-share expectations — as well as expected near-term return on equity, a key measure of how well companies use invested dollars to produce profits, combining all those measures to come up with a ranking.

Here are the top 10, which include retail investor favorites like Palantir and Nvidia as well as some less sexy companies, such as Seagate Technology. The maker of hard disk drives has jumped nearly 100% since the market’s April 8 low.

Luke Kawa5h

Micron soars after reporting huge Q1 beat, with Q2 sales guidance ahead of every Wall Street analyst’s estimates

Micron completely erased Wednesday’s big losses in after-hours trading after the memory chip specialist posted stellar results for its fiscal Q1 2026 and a much better outlook for the current quarter than Wall Street had anticipated.

For Q1, the company reported:

Revenues: $13.64 billion (estimate: $12.95 billion)
Adjusted earnings per share: $4.78 (estimate: $3.95)

And the Street’s consensus was well ahead of even the upper ranges of the guidance provided by management for the quarter for sales of $12.5 billion (plus or minus $300 million) and $3.75 (plus or minus $0.15).

For Q2, management provided an outlook for adjusted revenues of $18.3 billion to $19.1 billion, and adjusted EPS of $8.22 to $8.62. Wall Street had penciled in revenues of $14.38 billion with adjusted EPS of $4.71.

Even the bottom end of the ranges management provided is well above the top analyst’s estimate for the quarter.

These results may help spark a revival in semi stocks, which have gotten trounced in recent sessions. Hard disk drive sellers Seagate Technology Holdings and Western Digital are also rising in after-hours trading, as is flash memory seller Sandisk.

Micron has been one of the worst performers in the S&P 500 since last Thursday’s record close, down double digits from then until Wednesday close as investors broadly dumped AI names. Prior to that, shares had been on fire amid a bevy of Wall Street price target hikes and surging memory chip prices as demand runs ahead of supply. The AI boom has fueled a spike of immense appetite not only for GPUs and custom chips but also memory chips as well, as data centers also need a boatload of these to store information and feed it to those processors. Micron and its major competitors, SK Hynix and Samsung, have already sold out production for their most advanced high-bandwidth memory offerings for calendar year 2026.

Micron recently announced that it would be exiting its consumer chip business to focus on serving its AI customers.

Toby Bochan

Market wrap

Markets slump as AI trade tumbles

Tech dragged US stocks lower, especially the Nasdaq 100.

The East Side of the US Capitol Building in the early morning, Washington DC, USA.

Group of House Republicans defy leadership and join Democrats to force ACA vote

The subsidies are still likely to end before the deadline.

J. Edward Moreno10h

Luke Kawa

11h

Bitcoin is behaving like a no-fundamentals tech stock

The three-month correlation between the daily changes in the iShares Bitcoin ETF and a Goldman Sachs basket of nonprofitable tech stocks is at a record high.

Matt Phillips11h

Oracle slides on report that data center partner Blue Owl won’t fund $10 billion Michigan facility; company says project is on track without Blue Owl

Oracle shares declined early Wednesday after the Financial Times reported that Blue Owl Capital, the largest funder of Oracle’s data center investment push, will not finance a 1-gigawatt Oracle data center planned for Saline Township, Michigan. The pink-paged periodical reports:

“Blue Owl had been in discussions with lenders and Oracle about investing in the planned 1 gigawatt data centre being built to serve OpenAI in Saline Township, Michigan.

But the agreement will not go forward after negotiations stalled, according to three people familiar with the matter.

The private capital group has been the primary backer for Oracle’s largest data centre projects in the US, investing its own money and raising billions more in debt to build the facilities. Blue Owl typically sets up a special purpose vehicle, which owns the data centre and leases it to Oracle.”

For its part, Oracle told Bloomberg on Wednesday morning that negotiations for a data center project in Michigan are “on schedule” and don’t include Blue Owl.

While not horrible, Wednesday’s drop puts Oracle down 15% so far this week, as the shares continue to be clobbered by rapidly shifting investor sentiment toward lofty AI investment plans.

Oracle is down roughly 45% from the all-time high it hit on September 10, in a plunge that has destroyed more than $400 billion in value. Yowza.

“Blue Owl had been in discussions with lenders and Oracle about investing in the planned 1 gigawatt data centre being built to serve OpenAI in Saline Township, Michigan.

But the agreement will not go forward after negotiations stalled, according to three people familiar with the matter.

The private capital group has been the primary backer for Oracle’s largest data centre projects in the US, investing its own money and raising billions more in debt to build the facilities. Blue Owl typically sets up a special purpose vehicle, which owns the data centre and leases it to Oracle.”