Reddit Shares surge as analyst talks up its value to feed AI models

(Getty Images)

Analyst talks up Reddit’s value as a source for AI

The company’s posts “offer a unique training dataset.”

6/18/25 12:29PM

Reddit shares continue to romp on relatively little news in early trading, with the stock up more than 20% over the last three days, as of just before 12:30 p.m. ET.

As noted, Reddit has all the ingredients to make a squeeze-y stew: a recent surge of options activity, relatively high short interest, and a sprinkling of spicy chatter from retail traders on r/WallStreetBets.

But yesterday, analysts at brokerage firm B. Riley Securities also published a note spotlighting some potential upside for the stock based on Meta’s recent roughly $15 billion deal for Scale AI, a US-based startup that essentially tags and labels data that AI models need to digest.

B. Riley analysts wrote:

“While Scale AI’s curated data labeling services used for LLM training differ from Reddit’s content, we note that Reddit’s 10M daily posts+ user signals and a corpus of 1B+ posts/16B+ comments also offer a unique training dataset, and the intrinsic value of the dataset may not be reflected in the stock’s valuation today. We believe that RDDT’s platform DAUs essentially provide data annotation through user-generated content (posts, comments), upvotes/downvotes, and content moderation.
...Reports of Scale AI’s key customers’ plans point to value of independent training data sets such as Reddit, in our view. According to media reports, Google, which was expected to pay Scale AI ~$200M in 2025, plans to cut its ties with Scale AI post-deal. Other large tech companies — Microsoft and xAI, are also reportedly considering moving away from Scale AI. Scale-AI’s ability to service many large LLM players also points to the importance of independence of data providers such as Reddit.”

Of course, there’s always the chance that Meta is simply wildly overpaying for Scale AI, which would change the analysis somewhat. But it will take a long time to figure that out. In the meantime, the market does seem to be putting a premium on potential sources of feedstock for AI to devour.

Luke Kawa5h

Micron soars after reporting huge Q1 beat, with Q2 sales guidance ahead of every Wall Street analyst’s estimates

Micron completely erased Wednesday’s big losses in after-hours trading after the memory chip specialist posted stellar results for its fiscal Q1 2026 and a much better outlook for the current quarter than Wall Street had anticipated.

For Q1, the company reported:

Revenues: $13.64 billion (estimate: $12.95 billion)
Adjusted earnings per share: $4.78 (estimate: $3.95)

And the Street’s consensus was well ahead of even the upper ranges of the guidance provided by management for the quarter for sales of $12.5 billion (plus or minus $300 million) and $3.75 (plus or minus $0.15).

For Q2, management provided an outlook for adjusted revenues of $18.3 billion to $19.1 billion, and adjusted EPS of $8.22 to $8.62. Wall Street had penciled in revenues of $14.38 billion with adjusted EPS of $4.71.

Even the bottom end of the ranges management provided is well above the top analyst’s estimate for the quarter.

These results may help spark a revival in semi stocks, which have gotten trounced in recent sessions. Hard disk drive sellers Seagate Technology Holdings and Western Digital are also rising in after-hours trading, as is flash memory seller Sandisk.

Micron has been one of the worst performers in the S&P 500 since last Thursday’s record close, down double digits from then until Wednesday close as investors broadly dumped AI names. Prior to that, shares had been on fire amid a bevy of Wall Street price target hikes and surging memory chip prices as demand runs ahead of supply. The AI boom has fueled a spike of immense appetite not only for GPUs and custom chips but also memory chips as well, as data centers also need a boatload of these to store information and feed it to those processors. Micron and its major competitors, SK Hynix and Samsung, have already sold out production for their most advanced high-bandwidth memory offerings for calendar year 2026.

Micron recently announced that it would be exiting its consumer chip business to focus on serving its AI customers.

Toby Bochan

Market wrap

Markets slump as AI trade tumbles

Tech dragged US stocks lower, especially the Nasdaq 100.

The East Side of the US Capitol Building in the early morning, Washington DC, USA.

Group of House Republicans defy leadership and join Democrats to force ACA vote

The subsidies are still likely to end before the deadline.

J. Edward Moreno10h

Luke Kawa

11h

Bitcoin is behaving like a no-fundamentals tech stock

The three-month correlation between the daily changes in the iShares Bitcoin ETF and a Goldman Sachs basket of nonprofitable tech stocks is at a record high.

Matt Phillips11h

Oracle slides on report that data center partner Blue Owl won’t fund $10 billion Michigan facility; company says project is on track without Blue Owl

Oracle shares declined early Wednesday after the Financial Times reported that Blue Owl Capital, the largest funder of Oracle’s data center investment push, will not finance a 1-gigawatt Oracle data center planned for Saline Township, Michigan. The pink-paged periodical reports:

“Blue Owl had been in discussions with lenders and Oracle about investing in the planned 1 gigawatt data centre being built to serve OpenAI in Saline Township, Michigan.

But the agreement will not go forward after negotiations stalled, according to three people familiar with the matter.

The private capital group has been the primary backer for Oracle’s largest data centre projects in the US, investing its own money and raising billions more in debt to build the facilities. Blue Owl typically sets up a special purpose vehicle, which owns the data centre and leases it to Oracle.”

For its part, Oracle told Bloomberg on Wednesday morning that negotiations for a data center project in Michigan are “on schedule” and don’t include Blue Owl.

While not horrible, Wednesday’s drop puts Oracle down 15% so far this week, as the shares continue to be clobbered by rapidly shifting investor sentiment toward lofty AI investment plans.

Oracle is down roughly 45% from the all-time high it hit on September 10, in a plunge that has destroyed more than $400 billion in value. Yowza.

“Blue Owl had been in discussions with lenders and Oracle about investing in the planned 1 gigawatt data centre being built to serve OpenAI in Saline Township, Michigan.

But the agreement will not go forward after negotiations stalled, according to three people familiar with the matter.

The private capital group has been the primary backer for Oracle’s largest data centre projects in the US, investing its own money and raising billions more in debt to build the facilities. Blue Owl typically sets up a special purpose vehicle, which owns the data centre and leases it to Oracle.”