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Ethereum ETFs notch eight straight days of inflows, longest streak since start of October

And BitMine, the largest ethereum treasury company, acquired 101,627 ethereum tokens last week, worth $234.8 million.

Ethereum ETFs, TradFi’s mechanism to gain exposure to the second-largest cryptocurrency, have recorded eight consecutive days of inflows, totaling $493.7 million. 

The ongoing streak is the longest since September 29 to October 8, when the price of ethereum jumped from $4,215 to $4,527, data from SoSoValue shows. But after that, the price of ethereum slid and hasn’t neared the $4,000 level since the end of October. 

The inflows come as BitMine Immersion Technologies registered its highest pace of buys since last year, acquiring 101,627 ethereum tokens last week, worth $234.8 million at current prices. The firm, the second-largest cryptocurrency treasury company behind bitcoin giant Strategy, now owns more than 4% of the total ethereum supply, albeit at a 10-figure unrealized loss.

Meanwhile, users have pulled $10.5 billion from ethereum’s total value locked in the DeFi ecosystem since the weekend, when a protocol on the network suffered a $290 million exploit, likely at the hands of the DPRK’s Lazarus Group. 

What’s clear now is that even the most established DeFi protocols have a target on their back, according to Lukas Schor, president of the Safe Ecosystem Foundation. Cybersecurity has always been a cat-and-mouse game... We, as an industry, have to level up our defenses. Otherwise, trust in DeFi will be very quickly and irrecoverably eroded, Schor told Sherwood News.

What’s next for ethereum’s price action? Well, market participants have been making extreme forecast swings in both directions: pro-ethereum Wall Street startup Etherealize outlined its case for ethereum to reach $250,000, while Ansem, a popular crypto figure on X, is more bearish, posting that traders can short ethereum to close under $1,000 by the end of the year. 

Prediction market-implied odds of ethereum setting a yearly low under $1,000 stands at 21%, compared to a 64% chance the 2026 low for the token is under $1,750. On the bullish side, traders have placed a 44% probability the token climbs above $3,500 and a 14% chance it goes above $6,000 by 2026.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.) 

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$290M

On Saturday, ethereum-based protocol KelpDAO, known for liquid restaking, was exploited for $290 million, the largest hack of 2026 in the decentralized finance ecosystem. 

“Preliminary indicators suggest attribution to a highly-sophisticated state actor, likely DPRK’s Lazarus Group,” LayerZero said in its statement explaining the attack. KelpDAO issues rsETH, while LayerZero provides network infrastructure that allows users to move KelpDAO’s rsETH between blockchains.

The configuration of KelpDAO’s exploited application, powered by LayerZero, relied on a single decentralized verifier network (DVN), responsible for verifying the integrity of cross-chain messages. 

The industry best practice is for protocols to use a multi-DVN setup to prevent a unilateral point of trust or failure. A properly hardened configuration would have required consensus across multiple independent DVNs, rendering this attack ineffective even in the event of any single DVN being compromised,” LayerZero stated, essentially placing the blame on the restaking protocol for using a single-DVN setup.

The exploiters executed an RPC-spoofing attack and performed DDoS attacks to manipulate the single DVN instance into confirming transactions “that never in fact took place.” The LayerZero team said, “Operating a single-point-of-failure configuration meant there was no independent verifier to catch and reject a forged message.

Meanwhile, KelpDAO is preparing to dispute LayerZero’s account and place the blame on the latter, per a CoinDesk report.

Spilling over

The exploit has since impacted the wider crypto landscape.

The attackers successfully drained 116,500 rsETH from KelpDAO’s bridge, allowing them to deposit $249.7 million of the token to DeFi’s largest lending protocols and withdraw $228.2 million worth of different cryptocurrencies, wETH and wstETH, on-chain data from Arkham Intelligence shows.

Aave, the largest lending protocol, has frozen several markets and is now facing a liquidity crunch.

On Aave’s v3, the ETH, USDT, and USDC markets, which have a combined reserve size of $10.7 billion, have each reached a 100% utilization rate, as total borrowed equals total supplied. When borrows are maxed, users cannot withdraw their supplied liquidity.

The pseudonymous head of strategy at DeFi lending platform Spark, @MonetSupply, wrote on X, There has been a ~$300 million increase in borrowing with USDT collateral in just the past day since the rsETH exploit.

On-chain folks are spooked

The attack comes in the same month that Drift, a solana-based trading venue, suffered from an over $270 million hack. Saturday’s attack also follows worries stemming from Anthropic’s unreleased AI model Mythos, which “is capable of identifying and then exploiting zero-day vulnerabilities in every major operating system.” 

Even though the major cryptocurrencies have not seen their prices move substantially in the last 24 hours, crypto participants have been spooked, evident by the capital exiting the decentralized finance ecosystem.

DeFi saw its total value locked decrease by $13 billion over the weekend to $85.64 billion at the time of writing, its lowest point since April last year, data from DefiLlama shows. 

“OK — Kelpdao hacker, how much you want? Let’s just talk. With KelpDAO’s help, of course. It’s simply not worth it to sacrifice both Aave and KelpDAO and let them go down over this hack. You can’t spend $300 million anyway,” said Justin Sun, founder of the Tron blockchain, who has been beefing with the President Trump-backed World Liberty team. 

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Bitcoin jumps to highest level since February, boosted by optimism over reopening of Strait of Hormuz

Bitcoin finally broke out of the tight range it’s been stuck in for weeks, rising to just below the $78,000 mark, a level not reached since early February, as risk-on sentiment floods back into the market.

The jump comes on the heels of Iran and the US announcing the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz on Friday morning, which sent oil prices down and the stock market higher.

The renewed optimism for a deal with Iran and the end of the Middle East conflict also sent crypto stocks jumping, with Strategy, the largest corporate bitcoin holder, up more than 13% late Friday morning.

Wave Digital Assets’ head of international portfolio management, Rajiv Sawhney, told Sherwood News that its all about the Strait of Hormuz. Markets are interpreting it as a win. Its a knee-jerk reaction given positioning and expectations. As such, while bitcoin was able to tick higher, the $80K level will be the real barometer we need to cross for me to feel confident that this relief rally has legs, he said, adding that until then, hes remaining cautiously optimistic that risk assets can close at these levels. 

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood that we’re seeing a classic short squeeze as heavy short positions in bitcoin are being liquidated, adding that the next resistance level to watch is $79,000. 

“If we get past that and close the week above this level, $90k becomes a real possibility in the medium term. However, if the rally gets rejected at this level, we could remain stuck in the range between $65k and $75k that held bitcoin hostage for months,” Puckrin added.

Underscoring the cautious comeback, Bloomberg reported that from a derivatives market perspective, “traders remain largely defensive.”

“Funding rates for perpetual futures contracts, a key measure of whether leveraged traders are betting on higher or lower prices, were negative. Hefty premiums are also being paid for put options providing downside protections at $60,000 and $50,000, respectively,” Bloomberg reported.

Bitfinex analysts told Sherwood that the liquidation heat map shows dense shorts leverage stacked between $76,000 and $78,000. 

“Clearing this range opens a substantial air gap in the unspent realized price distribution up to $82,000,” they said, adding that the next level they are watching is $83,000, a “significant wall at the short-term holder realized price.”

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