Business
Startups headcount data from Carta
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More startups are going bankrupt, with failures up 7x since 2019

The startup squeeze

The startup world is facing rougher seas. Over the past year, the number of fledgling companies closing shop has surged by 60%, and startup bankruptcies are now 7X higher than in 2019, according to data from Carta reported by the FT.

With higher interest rates, funding has dried up for many startups. Anyone involved in AI may still be having success fundraising, but in many other industries the landscape is significantly more challenged than it has been in recent years. Indeed, data from PitchBook reveals that AI and machine learning startups raised some $27 billion last quarter — nearly half of all VC investment.

With dealmaking slower than it was in 2021, many startups are scrambling, trimming what is often their biggest expense: employees.

Data from Carta shows that headcounts have dropped across the board. For instance, seed stage companies have gone from having nearly 7 employees on average to just over 5, while companies that closed Series C rounds in the first half of 2024 did so with workforces that were, on average, 43% smaller than those of last year.

Interestingly, these reductions appear to be driven more by hiring freezes than outright layoffs. The first 4 months of this year saw the lowest number of new hires for those months in the past 4 years. Most striking, January — which is typically a busy month for recruitment — recorded its lowest number of new hires so far this decade.

It seems the startup world is, perhaps out of necessity, embracing the mantra of "doing more with less."

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Paramount Skydance reportedly preparing an Ellison-backed Warner Bros. Discovery takeover bid, sending shares soaring

Paramount Skydance is preparing a majority-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, The Wall Street Journal reported, sending shares of both companies surging. The Journal’s sources say the deal is backed by the Ellison family, led by David Ellison.

WBD shares were up 30% on the report, while Paramount Skydance jumped 8%.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming & studios, the other for its traditional cable/TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming & studios, the other for its traditional cable/TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

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Fox and News Corp slide as investors digest $3.3 billion Murdoch succession settlement

Fox and News Corp shares dropped on Tuesday after Rupert Murdoch’s heirs agreed to a $3.3 billion settlement to resolve a long-running succession drama.

Under the deal, Prudence, Elisabeth, and James Murdoch will each receive about $1.1 billion, paid for in part by Fox selling 16.9 million Class B voting shares and News Corp selling 14.2 million shares. The stock sales will raise roughly $1.37 billion on behalf of the three heirs.

The new trust for Lachlan Murdoch will now control about 36.2% of Fox’s Class B shares and roughly 33.1% of News Corp’s stock, granting him uncontested voting authority over both companies for the next 25 years. Originally, the Murdoch trust was designed to hand over voting control of Fox and News Corp to Prudence, Elisabeth, Lachlan, and James after his death.

Investors are weighing the trade-off. Clear leadership under Lachlan may resolve conflict internally, but the share dilution, executed at a roughly 4.5% discount, means long-term investors now hold slightly less clout than before.

Both companies’ stocks were trading close to all-time highs prior to the announcement.

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