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IKEA: Unboxing the flatpack business model

IKEA: Unboxing the flatpack business model

Flatpack products

Following IKEA’s record-breaking global sales of €47.6 billion ($51.4bn) in its latest fiscal year, the furniture giant is spreading the joy a little, with IKEA employees in the US set to divvy up a bonus pot of $54m.

The bonuses come with the Swedish company in full expansion mode, announcing plans to slash prices, open 8 new stores, and set up 900 new pick-up locations over the next 3 years, as it looks to win over price-conscious American consumers.

Fat-stack profits

Like many retailers, IKEA’s business model works best at scale. Enormous, meticulously styled showrooms, packed with as many products as possible, help entice customers to spend an afternoon filling shopping carts with everything they need for their homes, and — often — many things they don’t. Indeed, if you’ve ever found yourself wandering aimlessly around IKEA, you’re not alone. IKEA’s store planners have mastered what’s known as the Gruen effect — leading you, both mentally and physically, through a dazzling and immersive store to tempt you into making impulse purchases.

That understanding of consumer psychology has worked wonders for IKEA — so much so that just looking at the chart of its sales for the last 22 years, you would be hard-pressed to pick up on the global recession of 2008/09 or the pandemic in 2020/21, as the IKEA juggernaut powered on. The Swedish company has also cracked the digital world, with 23% of its sales, or nearly ~$12bn, coming through online channels.

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OpenAI’s ARR reached over $20 billion in 2025, CFO says

Sam Altman’s $500 billion artificial intelligence behemoth hit a major financial milestone last year, according to a new blog post over the weekend from OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar, as the company confirmed it had hit a more than $20 billion annual revenue run rate at the end of 2025.

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News

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