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Chart of how Match Group makes money
Sherwood News

Activist investors want dating app company Match Group to shape up

7/17/24 8:43AM

In the last 3 years, investors have had a tough time finding much love for Match Group’s stock. As the owner of Tinder, Hinge, and a swathe of other dating apps and platforms, Match is the largest online dating company in the world, valued at some $8.5 billion at the start of this week. Activist investors think it should be worth much more.

It’s not me, it’s you

In a letter sent to the CEO of Match on Monday, Managing Member of activist hedge fund Starboard Value Jeff Smith confirmed that his company had taken a 6.6% stake in Match Group and outlined the steps his firm believes it should take to realize its full (financial) potential. Shares in the company rose 7.5% after the news broke.

Match Group, it should be said, is already pretty profitable. It makes the majority of its money from direct payers — people who fork out a monthly subscription for access to premium features such as unlimited likes or the ability to message before matching — and only a sliver from advertising. After all of its operating costs are accounted for, the company made a 21.5% operating margin in the first quarter of this year. Starboard thinks that number could be much higher, calling out the company’s “General & Administrative” costs as an area where expenses could shrink.

What are we?

Activist investors aside, the wider industry is in a pretty weird place generally. Between falling share prices, users with mismatched intentions, and the unending struggle to get more customers to cough up for premium versions, something has gone terribly wrong with dating apps, per J. Edward Moreno.

Chart-broken: We have no views on the merits of Starboard’s plan for Match Group, but we have strong views that this chart in the open letter to the CEO is a chart crime [the yellow line for Bumble is pegged to the right-hand axis, making it look like it’s performed better than Match Group].

Starboard Value
Image from Starboard Value LP

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WBD shares were up 30% on the report, while Paramount Skydance jumped 8%.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

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Fox and News Corp slide as investors digest $3.3 billion Murdoch succession settlement

Fox and News Corp shares dropped on Tuesday after Rupert Murdoch’s heirs agreed to a $3.3 billion settlement to resolve a long-running succession drama.

Under the deal, Prudence, Elisabeth, and James Murdoch will each receive about $1.1 billion, paid for in part by Fox selling 16.9 million Class B voting shares and News Corp selling 14.2 million shares. The stock sales will raise roughly $1.37 billion on behalf of the three heirs.

The new trust for Lachlan Murdoch will now control about 36.2% of Fox’s Class B shares and roughly 33.1% of News Corp’s stock, granting him uncontested voting authority over both companies for the next 25 years. Originally, the Murdoch trust was designed to hand over voting control of Fox and News Corp to Prudence, Elisabeth, Lachlan, and James after his death.

Investors are weighing the trade-off. Clear leadership under Lachlan may resolve conflict internally, but the share dilution, executed at a roughly 4.5% discount, means long-term investors now hold slightly less clout than before.

Both companies’ stocks were trading close to all-time highs prior to the announcement.

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