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Out of this world: SpaceX’s $137bn valuation

Out of this world: SpaceX’s $137bn valuation

David Crowther

Lift off

‍SpaceX, Musk’s rocket company that was somehow one of his more low-key ventures in the last year, is raising $750m in new funding, valuing the company at $137bn. That leaves SpaceX commencing 2023 with a higher valuation than American aerospace company Lockheed Martin ($124bn).

Founded in 2002, SpaceX had humble beginnings. After initially looking to reuse old Russian rockets, Musk and co. realized they might be able to make the rockets cheaper themselves. Since then the company has become a leader in (the) space, with NASA even inquiring recently about returning astronauts from the International Space Station using SpaceX rockets.

‍SpaceX can be credited with much of the recent reinvigoration of the space sector. Following the breakthrough decades of the 60s and 70s, the era of the Space Shuttle (1981-2011) actually saw little progress on cost-efficient launches, with take-off costs remaining stubbornly high. SpaceX has helped catalyze progress, with the company’s Falcon 9 able to launch a kilogram into low Earth orbit for just $1,400, a 10-20x decrease in cost in roughly as many years, thanks in part to reusable rockets.

‍Skyfi

‍Arguably the reason why the company is worth $100bn+ is Starlink, SpaceX’s satellite internet company that could provide global internet access from outer space. With its first launches in 2019, Starlink now has 3,300 mass-produced small satellites in orbit, which have emerged as a useful tool for Ukraine in their war against Russia. Some of the rosiest projections predict that Starlink may bring in up to $30bn in revenue by 2025, far exceeding that of the launch business expectation of $5bn in the same year.

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Rani Molla

China just blew up one of Meta’s key AI bets

China has ordered Meta to unwind its $2 billion acquisition of Manus, a Chinese startup (since relocated to Singapore) that makes AI agents and was central to Meta’s push to turn its massive AI investments into a real business. The move is part of the Chinese government’s effort to stop US firms from gaining access to Chinese talent and intellectual property, as Washington continues restricting sales of advanced AI chips to Chinese companies.

Unlike its tech peers which can sell AI through cloud services, Meta mainly uses AI to improve its existing ad business rather than as a standalone revenue driver. The decision strips away one of Meta’s clearest paths to monetizing AI — leaving it spending like a hyperscaler, without a hyperscaler business model.

China blocks Meta's $2 billion acquisition of AI startup Manus

China blocks Meta's $2 billion acquisition of AI startup Manus

Unlike its tech peers which can sell AI through cloud services, Meta mainly uses AI to improve its existing ad business rather than as a standalone revenue driver. The decision strips away one of Meta’s clearest paths to monetizing AI — leaving it spending like a hyperscaler, without a hyperscaler business model.

tech
Jon Keegan

DeepSeek releases new V4 series models highlighting efficiency and long context

Chinese AI lab DeepSeek has released a major new version of its eponymous open-source AI models that are nipping at the heels of leading frontier models in some areas.

The most significant DeepSeek-V4 Pro and DeepSeek-V4 Flash both have a 1 million-token context — the amount of information the model can actively work with in a single session — which is a crucial feature for complex, long-running coding tasks.

DeepSeek rebuilt how the models process information under the hood, making them substantially more efficient — and that efficiency is what makes the large context window actually usable.

Also, the new models’ coding skills have closed the gap with the major frontier models from Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google.

The authors of the model acknowledge some of V4’s shortcomings, such as its lower scores on reasoning benchmarks, saying that V4 “trails state-of-the-art frontier models by approximately 3 to 6 months.”

As open-weight models, V4 can be run on any user’s own hardware, making the V4 models among the top-performing open-source models out there. V4’s large context and token efficiency are especially significant among open-source models.

But like with earlier DeepSeek models, don’t ask it about Tiananmen Square.

DeepSeek Unveils Flagship AI Model a Year After Breakthrough

DeepSeek Unveils Flagship AI Model a Year After Breakthrough

DeepSeek rebuilt how the models process information under the hood, making them substantially more efficient — and that efficiency is what makes the large context window actually usable.

Also, the new models’ coding skills have closed the gap with the major frontier models from Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google.

The authors of the model acknowledge some of V4’s shortcomings, such as its lower scores on reasoning benchmarks, saying that V4 “trails state-of-the-art frontier models by approximately 3 to 6 months.”

As open-weight models, V4 can be run on any user’s own hardware, making the V4 models among the top-performing open-source models out there. V4’s large context and token efficiency are especially significant among open-source models.

But like with earlier DeepSeek models, don’t ask it about Tiananmen Square.

$28.5T
Rani Molla

SpaceX thinks its total addressable market (TAM) is a whopping $28.5 trillion for its businesses, according to an S-1 filing for its upcoming IPO reviewed by Reuters. And most of that market isn’t rockets. The company says roughly 90% could come from AI — largely selling artificial intelligence tools to businesses.

“We believe that our enterprise strategy, which is focused on serving the digital needs of the world’s largest industries with Al solutions, positions us competitively to pursue this rapidly ⁠growing opportunity,” ​SpaceX said in the filing. “We believe we have identified the largest actionable total addressable market in human ​history.”

TAM, of course, assumes capturing every possible customer. But even a small slice of a $28.5 trillion market would be enormous.

tech
Rani Molla

Tesla Cybercab production has begun

On Tesla’s earnings call earlier this week, CEO Elon Musk said production of the company’s steering-wheel-less Cybercab had begun. Since then, Musk and Tesla have posted videos showing the gold two-seater rolling off the line at its Texas Gigafactory and onto the road.

The Cybercab — meant both for consumers and Tesla’s Robotaxi network — is widely seen as central to the company’s future. “The future of the company is fundamentally based on large-scale autonomous cars and large scale and large volume, vast numbers of autonomous humanoid robots,” Musk said last year.

Whether these cars actually make it to consumers is another question. For now, regulations generally require steering wheels, and Tesla still has to prove the vehicles can reliably drive themselves.

On the earnings call, Musk said production would be “very slow” but would ramp up and go “kind of exponential towards the end of the year and certainly next year.”

tech
Rani Molla

Meta signs deal to use Amazon Graviton chips

Meta said it will deploy “tens of millions” of Amazon Web Services Graviton CPU cores to power so-called “agentic” AI systems — tools that can reason, plan, and act on their own. The move makes Meta one of the largest customers of Amazon’s in-house chips.

The deal also underscores a broader shift in AI infrastructure, as companies move beyond Nvidia GPUs and use different chips for different tasks.

Meta, which is working on its own custom inference chips, also has chip deals with Advanced Micro Devices and Nvidia.

Meta Partners With AWS on Graviton Chips to Power Agentic AI

Meta Partners With AWS on Graviton Chips to Power Agentic AI

The deal also underscores a broader shift in AI infrastructure, as companies move beyond Nvidia GPUs and use different chips for different tasks.

Meta, which is working on its own custom inference chips, also has chip deals with Advanced Micro Devices and Nvidia.

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