Tech
Stargate I in Abilene, Texas.
Stargate I in Abilene, Texas (OpenAI)

Rising ambitions and skyrocketing costs: Here’s what we know about Project Stargate

As the number of gigawatts and GPUs grows, so do the questions about how the massive data center project will be paid for.

As tech giants like Meta, xAI, Microsoft, and Amazon race to build colossal AI data centers, one massive undertaking stands apart from the rest in its ambitious goals: Project Stargate.

In the eight months since Stargate was announced — backed by partners OpenAI, Oracle, SoftBank, and Nvidia, which have pledged hundreds of billions toward it — the scale and ambition of the project have grown.

Still, details are scant and questions have arisen about how the companies involved will raise the eye-popping amounts of capital needed for the pricey data centers described in the plan. 

A time lapse of Stargate I construction, in Abilene, Texas. Imagery from April 26, 2024, to September 29, 2025 (Copernicus)

Let’s dive into the details of what we know about Stargate’s plans in the US, and look at the questions that remain unanswered. 

“Project Ludicrous”

In January 2025, on the first full day of his second term, President Trump announced the largest “AI infrastructure project, by far, in history” standing alongside SoftBank founder and CEO Masayoshi Son, Oracle founder and CTO Larry Ellison, and OpenAI cofounder and CEO Sam Altman.

Trump described Project Stargate as a new American company that will be investing $500 billion in the US and creating over 100,000 jobs “almost immediately.” The plan was audacious and at a scale without precedent. 

Ellison, Son, and Altman spilled some details: 

  • The first site was a massive data center already under construction in Abilene, Texas.

  • The project consisted of 10 sites, and each building would be 500,000 square feet.

  • The plan would expand to 20 sites.

  • Son said SoftBank would invest $100 billion “immediately,” and the remaining $400 billion over four years.

While plans were being developed, the effort went by the code name “Project Ludicrous.”

OpenAI’s initial press release identified the equity partners in Stargate as SoftBank, OpenAI, Oracle, and MGX — United Arab Emirates’ state-owned investment fund. Arm, Microsoft, and Nvidia were listed as technology partners. 

Stargate I, the first site of the project, will reportedly cost about $12 billion to build. That’s not counting the 64,000 Nvidia GB200 GPUs that will fill the data center, totaling 1.2 gigawatts of computing power, the cost of which is in the tens of billions.  

After the January announcement, we didn’t hear much about the project until March, when Bloomberg reported that SoftBank was seeking a $16.5 billion bridge loan for it — the largest dollar-based loan that the company has taken on, resulting in two ratings agencies warning about it creating potential financial strains. 

In May, Bloomberg reported that SoftBank’s initial $100 billion investment had yet to materialize, even though it was supposed to happen “immediately,” and that the company had yet to formalize details of the financing. April’s trade chaos and the shocking effects of DeepSeek’s R1 model spooked investors, complicating SoftBank’s fundraising efforts. 

4.5, 7, 10 gigawatts

In July, the companies gave an update on the project and announced an expansion. Oracle and OpenAI outlined an agreement to develop an additional 4.5 gigawatts of capacity in US data centers under the Stargate umbrella, expanding upon the original 1.2 gigawatts planned for Stargate I. OpenAI said parts of the Stargate I facility were up and running and that deliveries of the first of 2 million Nvidia GPUs had arrived.  

A flurry of eye-popping AI infrastructure deals between Stargate partners followed.

In September, when Oracle announced its first-quarter earnings, shares rocketed up 30% when the company announced it had “remaining performance obligations” — signed deals that were backlogged — that were “likely to exceed half-a-trillion dollars.” The next day it was reported that part of that backlog was a huge deal with OpenAI.

OpenAI had signed an agreement with Oracle to buy $300 billion worth of cloud computing from the database giant over five years. But the deal raised serious questions about how exactly OpenAI is going to find this money, as it currently expects to burn $115 billion through 2029.

A few weeks later, Stargate partners OpenAI and Nvidia announced that they had signed a “letter of intent” for a strategic partnership. The blockbuster agreement consisted of a $100 billion investment in OpenAI by Nvidia to build and deploy “at least 10 gigawatts” of AI data centers, filled with Nvidia’s next-gen Vera Rubin chips. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told CNBC that 10 gigawatts’ worth of computing power means “roughly 4 million, 5 million GPUs,” which he said was twice the amount that the company shipped last year. Nvidia’s $100 billion investment would be spread out in $10 billion payments, as each gigawatt of capacity was deployed. 

According to a report by Reuters, the unusual agreement gave Nvidia nonvoting shares in OpenAI, and OpenAI would then use that capital to pay Nvidia for its chips, raising concerns of a “circular deal,” which industry observers fear might be a harbinger of a massive AI bubble.

While the announcement did not specifically say that the deal was part of Stargate, Nvidia is the supplier of the AI and networking hardware for the project, and given the massive scale, it is sure to overlap with Stargate.

Power-hungry

OpenAI appears to be pulling in substantial revenue, but it’s also burning cash at an alarming rate. The Information reports that the company expects to end the year with $13 billion in revenue, while burning $8.5 billion in cash. The company has some extremely optimistic projections for growth, which it hopes will lead to AGI and hopefully a viable business model along the way. (OpenAI didn’t respond to a request for comment.)

Even 10 gigawatts of computing power might not be enough for Altman, who wants much, much more than that. According to The Information, Altman has said internally that he wants 250 gigawatts by 2033 (which could cost up to $12.5 trillion). 

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After Tesla earnings, prediction markets think unsupervised FSD is less likely than ever to be rolled out this year

Tesla’s unsupervised full self-driving technology, which would autonomously ferry passengers around without a human driver having to pay attention, is supposed to help catapult the electric vehicle company’s valuation further into the stratosphere. It was also supposed to be available this year, but prediction markets participants, as well as former Tesla self-driving leaders, no longer think that will happen.

On Teslas earnings call this week, CEO Elon Musk said the company now had “clarity” on achieving unsupervised full self-driving — something he’s repeatedly said would be available at least in some markets this year.

The comments seemed to give Polymarket prediction markets participants some clarity. There, the market-implied probability that Tesla will release unsupervised FSD this year reached its lowest point since the event contract was opened in May.

The odds of it happening had been pretty high up until late June, when Tesla’s long-awaited robotaxi launched with a safety driver in the passenger seat. The unsupervised FSD event contract specifies the feature can have “no requirement for human intervention.”

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Banks prepare record $38 billion debt financing to fund Oracle-tied data centers

Banks led by JPMorgan and Mitsubishi UFJ are preparing a $38 billion debt offering to fund two Oracle-tied data centers in Texas and Wisconsin, Bloomberg reports. The projects, developed by Vantage Data Centers, will support Oracle’s $500 billion Stargate AI infrastructure push with OpenAI and Nvidia.

The loans — $23.25 billion for Texas and $14.75 billion for Wisconsin — are expected to mature in four years, price about 2.5 percentage points higher than the benchmark rate, and mark the largest AI infrastructure financing to date.

Oracle executives recently said that the company anticipates cloud gross margins will reach 35% and that it expects to see $166 billion in cloud infrastructure revenue by FY 2030.

Oracle is up 1.5% premarket.

The loans — $23.25 billion for Texas and $14.75 billion for Wisconsin — are expected to mature in four years, price about 2.5 percentage points higher than the benchmark rate, and mark the largest AI infrastructure financing to date.

Oracle executives recently said that the company anticipates cloud gross margins will reach 35% and that it expects to see $166 billion in cloud infrastructure revenue by FY 2030.

Oracle is up 1.5% premarket.

tech

Google rises on official announcement of Anthropic deal worth “tens of billions”

Google has made its deal to expand AI compute to Anthropic, reported earlier this week by Bloomberg, official. In order to train and serve its Claude model, Anthropic has agreed to pay Google Cloud “tens of billions of dollars” to access up to 1 million tensor processing units, or TPUs, as well as other cloud services.

Google, of course, has a 14% stake in Anthropic, making this one of the many circular AI deals happening at the moment.

“Anthropic and Google have a longstanding partnership and this latest expansion will help us continue to grow the compute we need to define the frontier of AI,” Anthropic CFO Krishna Rao said in the press release. “Our customers — from Fortune 500 companies to AI-native startups — depend on Claude for their most important work, and this expanded capacity ensures we can meet our exponentially growing demand while keeping our models at the cutting edge of the industry.”

The announcement has sent Google up again, more than 1% premarket.

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Report: Snap seeking $1 billion to finance its AR glasses division in “existential” fundraise

Snap is down more than 1% this morning following news that the company is attempting to raise $1 billion for its AR glasses unit in what someone told Sources.news was an “existential” fundraise.

A Snap spokesperson countered, “We do not need to raise money to execute against our plans to publicly launch Specs in 2026, but remain open to opportunities that could accelerate our growth.”

Multiple investors are involved in the talks, including Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, according to Sources.news. The report also noted that Snap plans to turn the unit that makes its Specs glasses into an independent subsidiary à la Google’s Waymo “that can continue raising capital from investors.”

Snap plans to produce about 100,000 units of next year’s Specs, pricing them around $2,500.

The beleaguered stock saw quite a bit of retail interest last month, amid r/WallStreetBets chatter that its low nominal price made it a potential acquisition target.

Multiple investors are involved in the talks, including Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, according to Sources.news. The report also noted that Snap plans to turn the unit that makes its Specs glasses into an independent subsidiary à la Google’s Waymo “that can continue raising capital from investors.”

Snap plans to produce about 100,000 units of next year’s Specs, pricing them around $2,500.

The beleaguered stock saw quite a bit of retail interest last month, amid r/WallStreetBets chatter that its low nominal price made it a potential acquisition target.

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