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The Apple Vision Pro, Apple's new mixed-reality headset, is...
The Apple Vision Pro (Miguel Candela/Getty Images)

Meta’s wearables keep winning while Apple’s Vision Pro struggles

Apple is scaling back its Vision Pro production, while Meta’s Ray-Bans continue to sell out.

10/24/24 2:51PM

It’s a tale of two headlines in the wearable-technology game. On Wednesday, The Information reported that Apple has “sharply scaled back its Vision Pro production since the early summer,” and the company could stop making its existing version by year-end.

The reason: few people are buying the $3,500 headset. After a splashy February 2024 launch, interest in the Vision Pro evaporated. Counterpoint Research noted that Vision Pro sales plunged 80% from Q1 to Q2 2024, and the number of apps released for the Vision Pro dropped from 300 in February to 89 in March, declining every month since. Supply-chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo also noted in April that Apple had cut its 2024 Vision Pro shipments to 400,000 to 450,000 units, after the company had initially projected to sell 700,000 to 800,000 units or more.

Meta, meanwhile, has been crushing the wearable-tech game.

Counterpoint Research reported that Meta had a 74% market share of headsets in Q2 2024, and the social-media giant sold 3 million Quest 3 units, which were priced at $499 and $649 at their October 2023 release, through the first three quarters after the device’s launch, vs Apple’s 370,000 sales.

However, Meta’s biggest recent hit has been its partnership with Ray-Ban. On Monday, TechCrunch reported that Meta’s smart glasses have been outselling traditional Ray-Bans in international markets, and they are the top-selling product in 60% of all Ray-Ban stores across Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. This comes a month after EssilorLuxottica, Ray-Ban’s parent organization, inked a long-term deal with Meta to continue collaborating on next-generation eyewear products.

Why has Apple struggled while Meta has been so successful?

Let’s start with the latter: Meta’s two products, the Quest and its Ray-Bans, offer two totally different value props. The Quest is primarily a gaming and entertainment tool. While users can “work” from their Quest devices, most users play video games, watch shows and movies, or do immersive activities like learning new skills, and, importantly, it’s treated as an entertainment device, separate from their real world.

The Ray-Bans, on the other hand, seamlessly integrate with the real world. First, they look like normal sunglasses, unlike the Vision Pro or Quest, which are clunky on your face, so there’s little friction involved with wearing them in public. Functionally, they also integrate with simple, real-world tasks: users can make calls, send texts, take photos, and ask their sunglasses questions about their environment. Basically, the Meta Ray-Bans are normal sunglasses that happen to be able to handle common tasks you use your phone for while walking around.

Apple’s problem was that it tried to sell its headset as a luxury product without establishing consumer demand. Sure, you can “work” from a Vision Pro, but it’s still less effective than simply using a laptop if you’re in public, or a computer with monitors in the office.

Additionally, it just… looks weird. We all saw the videos of folks using their Vision Pros on the subway and while walking around earlier this year, and they looked awkward. Unlike the Meta Ray-Bans, which are nondescript, the Vision Pro is really, really descript.

If the Vision Pro is less effective for working than a computer, and it’s cumbersome to wear in public, you’re left with an entertainment headset that costs 7x more than a similar competitor. After the novelty of a new product wears off, if you can’t differentiate, customers are going to opt for the cheaper option.

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OpenAI and Microsoft reach agreement that moves OpenAI closer to for-profit status

In a joint statement, OpenAI and Microsoft announced a “non-binding memorandum of understanding” for their renegotiated $13 billion partnership, which was a source of recent tension between the two companies.

Settling the agreement is a requirement to clear the way for OpenAI to convert to a for-profit public benefit corporation, which it must do before a year-end deadline to secure a $20 billion investment from SoftBank.

OpenAI also announced that the controlling nonprofit arm would hold an equity stake in the PBC valued at $100 billion, which would make it “one of the most well-resourced philanthropic organizations in the world.”

The statement read:

“This recapitalization would also enable us to raise the capital required to accomplish our mission — and ensure that as OpenAI’s PBC grows, so will the nonprofit’s resources, allowing us to bring it to historic levels of community impact.”

Settling the agreement is a requirement to clear the way for OpenAI to convert to a for-profit public benefit corporation, which it must do before a year-end deadline to secure a $20 billion investment from SoftBank.

OpenAI also announced that the controlling nonprofit arm would hold an equity stake in the PBC valued at $100 billion, which would make it “one of the most well-resourced philanthropic organizations in the world.”

The statement read:

“This recapitalization would also enable us to raise the capital required to accomplish our mission — and ensure that as OpenAI’s PBC grows, so will the nonprofit’s resources, allowing us to bring it to historic levels of community impact.”

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BofA doesn’t expect Tesla’s ride-share service to have an impact on Uber or Lyft this year

Analysts at Bank of America Global Research compared Tesla’s new Bay Area ride-sharing service with its rivals and found that, for now, its not much competition for Uber and Lyft. “Tesla scale in SF is still small, and we dont expect impact on Uber/Lyft financial performance in 25,” they wrote.

Tesla is operating an unknown number of cars with drivers using supervised full self-driving in the Bay Area, and roughly 30 autonomous robotaxis in Austin. The company has allowed the public to download its Robotaxi app and join a waitlist, but it hasn’t said how many people have been let in off that waitlist.

While the analysts found that Tesla ride-shares are cheaper than traditional ride-share services like Uber and Lyft, the wait times are a lot longer (nine-minute wait times on average, when cars were available at all) and the process has more friction. They also said the “nature of [a] Tesla FSD ‘driver’ is slightly more aggressive than a Waymo,” the Google-owned company that’s currently operating 800 vehicles in the Bay Area.

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Oracle’s massive sales backlog is thanks to a $300 billion deal with OpenAI, WSJ reports

OpenAI has signed a massive deal to purchase $300 billion worth of cloud computing capacity from Oracle, according to a report from The Wall Street Journal.

The report notes that the five-year deal would be one of the largest cloud computing contracts ever signed, requiring 4.5 gigawatts of capacity.

The news is prompting shares to pare some of their massive gains, presumably because of concerns about counterparty and concentration risk.

Yesterday, Oracle shares skyrocketed as much as 30% in after-hours trading after the company forecast that it expects its cloud infrastructure business to see revenues climb to $144 billion by 2030.

Oracle shares were up as much as 43% on Wednesday.

It’s the second example in under a week of how much OpenAI’s cash burn and fundraising efforts are playing a starring role in the AI boom: the Financial Times reported that OpenAI is also the major new Broadcom customer that has placed $10 billion in orders.

Yesterday, Oracle shares skyrocketed as much as 30% in after-hours trading after the company forecast that it expects its cloud infrastructure business to see revenues climb to $144 billion by 2030.

Oracle shares were up as much as 43% on Wednesday.

It’s the second example in under a week of how much OpenAI’s cash burn and fundraising efforts are playing a starring role in the AI boom: the Financial Times reported that OpenAI is also the major new Broadcom customer that has placed $10 billion in orders.

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