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Rani Molla

Analysts think Netflix is a good bet in a bad economy, raise price targets

Netflix’s earnings beat last week seems to have cemented analysts’ view that the company is a good hedge against a bad economy.

JPMorgan analysts raised their Netflix price target to $1,150, citing a “stable operating environment w/no indications of macro impact.” Wells Fargo raised its price target to $1,222, saying, “We think NFLX has substantially higher relative appeal in this uncertain macro.”

Bank of America reiterated its $1,175 price target and raised its revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026, writing, “The company remains very well positioned in the Media and Entertainment landscape with sustainable growth drivers that should prove to be predictable and defensive amid a wide range of macroeconomic scenarios.” Goldman Sachs, Evercore ISI, Morgan Stanley, and Piper Sandler also raised price targets, CNBC reports.

Netflix, for what it’s worth, seems to agree. On the company’s earnings call last week, Co-CEO Gregory Peters said:

“We’re paying close attention clearly to the consumer sentiment and where the broader economy is moving. But based on what we are seeing by actually operating the business right now, there’s nothing really significant to note.

So what are we looking at? Primary metrics and indicators would be our retention, that’s stable and strong. We haven’t seen any significant changes in plan mix or planned take rate to part of that question. Our most recent price changes have been in line with expectations. Engagement remains strong and healthy. So things generally look stable from that lens. Stepping back, we also take some comfort in the fact that entertainment historically has been pretty resilient in tougher economic times.

Netflix specifically also has been generally quite resilient, and we haven’t seen any major impacts during those tougher times, albeit, of course, over a much shorter history.”

The stock is up 1.8% in premarket trading to $991.35, meaning it has quite a bit of room to go higher if you believe those analyst targets.

Bank of America reiterated its $1,175 price target and raised its revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026, writing, “The company remains very well positioned in the Media and Entertainment landscape with sustainable growth drivers that should prove to be predictable and defensive amid a wide range of macroeconomic scenarios.” Goldman Sachs, Evercore ISI, Morgan Stanley, and Piper Sandler also raised price targets, CNBC reports.

Netflix, for what it’s worth, seems to agree. On the company’s earnings call last week, Co-CEO Gregory Peters said:

“We’re paying close attention clearly to the consumer sentiment and where the broader economy is moving. But based on what we are seeing by actually operating the business right now, there’s nothing really significant to note.

So what are we looking at? Primary metrics and indicators would be our retention, that’s stable and strong. We haven’t seen any significant changes in plan mix or planned take rate to part of that question. Our most recent price changes have been in line with expectations. Engagement remains strong and healthy. So things generally look stable from that lens. Stepping back, we also take some comfort in the fact that entertainment historically has been pretty resilient in tougher economic times.

Netflix specifically also has been generally quite resilient, and we haven’t seen any major impacts during those tougher times, albeit, of course, over a much shorter history.”

The stock is up 1.8% in premarket trading to $991.35, meaning it has quite a bit of room to go higher if you believe those analyst targets.

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Meta projected 10% of 2024 revenue came from scams and banned goods, Reuters reports

Meta has been making billions of dollars per year from scam ads and sales of banned goods, according internal Meta documents seen by Reuters.

The new report quantifies the scale of fraud taking place on Meta’s platforms, and how much the company profited from them.

Per the report, Meta internal projections from late last year said that 10% of the company’s total 2024 revenue would come from scammy ads and sales of banned goods — which works out to $16 billion.

Discussions within Meta acknowledged the steep fines likely to be levied against the company for not stopping the fraudulent behavior on its platforms, and the company prioritized enforcement in regions where the penalties would be steepest, the reporting found. The cost of lost revenue from clamping down on the scams was weighed against the cost of fines from regulators.

The documents reportedly show that Meta did aim to significantly reduce the fraudulent behavior, but cuts to its moderation team left the vast majority of user-reported violations to be ignored or rejected.

Meta spokesperson Andy Stone told Reuters the documents were a “selective view” of internal enforcement:

“We aggressively fight fraud and scams because people on our platforms don’t want this content, legitimate advertisers don’t want it, and we don’t want it either.”

Per the report, Meta internal projections from late last year said that 10% of the company’s total 2024 revenue would come from scammy ads and sales of banned goods — which works out to $16 billion.

Discussions within Meta acknowledged the steep fines likely to be levied against the company for not stopping the fraudulent behavior on its platforms, and the company prioritized enforcement in regions where the penalties would be steepest, the reporting found. The cost of lost revenue from clamping down on the scams was weighed against the cost of fines from regulators.

The documents reportedly show that Meta did aim to significantly reduce the fraudulent behavior, but cuts to its moderation team left the vast majority of user-reported violations to be ignored or rejected.

Meta spokesperson Andy Stone told Reuters the documents were a “selective view” of internal enforcement:

“We aggressively fight fraud and scams because people on our platforms don’t want this content, legitimate advertisers don’t want it, and we don’t want it either.”

$350B

Google wants to invest even more money into Anthropic, with the search giant in talks for a new funding round that could value the AI startup at $350 billion, Business Insider reports. That’s about double its valuation from two months ago, but still shy of competitor OpenAI’s $500 billion valuation.

Citing sources familiar with the matter, Business Insider said the new deal “could also take the form of a strategic investment where Google provides additional cloud computing services to Anthropic, a convertible note, or a priced funding round early next year.”

In October, Google, which has a 14% stake in Anthropic, announced that it had inked a deal worth “tens of billions” for Anthropic to access Google’s AI compute to train and serve its Claude model.

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