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Adobe and Canva would be the secret winners of a TikTok ban

One of the biggest stories in tech is President Biden's TikTok ban. In April, Biden signed a law that would ban TikTok unless it's sold to non-Chinese ownership in the next year.

However, TikTok's parent company ByteDance has since sued the federal government, alleging First Amendment free speech violations, and Donald Trump, who sought to ban TikTok in 2020, has also reversed his stance, claiming that a TikTok ban would benefit Meta's social media platforms: Facebook and Instagram.

Meta's gains from a potential TikTok ban are obvious: Instagram Reels and TikTok dominate the short-form video market, and Meta could solidify its position as the market leader if its top competitor disappeared.

However, Meta isn't the only company that could benefit from a TikTok ban. Design platforms such as Canva and Adobe stand to be winners as well.

TikTok is ByteDance's most well-known subsidiary, but the parent company also owns CapCut, which controls 81% of the mobile video editor market. While Adobe and Canva's extensive product suites attract enterprise and professional customers, CapCut's mobile-first design has made it the go-to choice for TikTok and Instagram creators, and its number of monthly active users is now three times higher than its closest competitor, Canva.

Bloomberg reported that Biden's divest-or-ban bill was written to include CapCut, meaning that the tens of millions of Americans who have downloaded the video editing platform might have to find an alternative.

Assuming the ban happens, all eyes will be on Zuckerberg, but it will be interesting to see which design platform replaces CapCut as influencers' preferred editing tool.

Meta's gains from a potential TikTok ban are obvious: Instagram Reels and TikTok dominate the short-form video market, and Meta could solidify its position as the market leader if its top competitor disappeared.

However, Meta isn't the only company that could benefit from a TikTok ban. Design platforms such as Canva and Adobe stand to be winners as well.

TikTok is ByteDance's most well-known subsidiary, but the parent company also owns CapCut, which controls 81% of the mobile video editor market. While Adobe and Canva's extensive product suites attract enterprise and professional customers, CapCut's mobile-first design has made it the go-to choice for TikTok and Instagram creators, and its number of monthly active users is now three times higher than its closest competitor, Canva.

Bloomberg reported that Biden's divest-or-ban bill was written to include CapCut, meaning that the tens of millions of Americans who have downloaded the video editing platform might have to find an alternative.

Assuming the ban happens, all eyes will be on Zuckerberg, but it will be interesting to see which design platform replaces CapCut as influencers' preferred editing tool.

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tech
Jon Keegan
9/11/25

OpenAI and Microsoft reach agreement that moves OpenAI closer to for-profit status

In a joint statement, OpenAI and Microsoft announced a “non-binding memorandum of understanding” for their renegotiated $13 billion partnership, which was a source of recent tension between the two companies.

Settling the agreement is a requirement to clear the way for OpenAI to convert to a for-profit public benefit corporation, which it must do before a year-end deadline to secure a $20 billion investment from SoftBank.

OpenAI also announced that the controlling nonprofit arm would hold an equity stake in the PBC valued at $100 billion, which would make it “one of the most well-resourced philanthropic organizations in the world.”

The statement read:

“This recapitalization would also enable us to raise the capital required to accomplish our mission — and ensure that as OpenAI’s PBC grows, so will the nonprofit’s resources, allowing us to bring it to historic levels of community impact.”

Settling the agreement is a requirement to clear the way for OpenAI to convert to a for-profit public benefit corporation, which it must do before a year-end deadline to secure a $20 billion investment from SoftBank.

OpenAI also announced that the controlling nonprofit arm would hold an equity stake in the PBC valued at $100 billion, which would make it “one of the most well-resourced philanthropic organizations in the world.”

The statement read:

“This recapitalization would also enable us to raise the capital required to accomplish our mission — and ensure that as OpenAI’s PBC grows, so will the nonprofit’s resources, allowing us to bring it to historic levels of community impact.”

tech
Rani Molla
9/11/25

BofA doesn’t expect Tesla’s ride-share service to have an impact on Uber or Lyft this year

Analysts at Bank of America Global Research compared Tesla’s new Bay Area ride-sharing service with its rivals and found that, for now, its not much competition for Uber and Lyft. “Tesla scale in SF is still small, and we dont expect impact on Uber/Lyft financial performance in 25,” they wrote.

Tesla is operating an unknown number of cars with drivers using supervised full self-driving in the Bay Area, and roughly 30 autonomous robotaxis in Austin. The company has allowed the public to download its Robotaxi app and join a waitlist, but it hasn’t said how many people have been let in off that waitlist.

While the analysts found that Tesla ride-shares are cheaper than traditional ride-share services like Uber and Lyft, the wait times are a lot longer (nine-minute wait times on average, when cars were available at all) and the process has more friction. They also said the “nature of [a] Tesla FSD ‘driver’ is slightly more aggressive than a Waymo,” the Google-owned company that’s currently operating 800 vehicles in the Bay Area.

APPLE INTELLIGENCE

Apple AI was MIA at iPhone event

A year and a half into a bungled rollout of AI into Apple’s products, Apple Intelligence was barely mentioned at the “Awe Dropping” event.

Jon Keegan9/10/25
tech
Jon Keegan
9/10/25

Oracle’s massive sales backlog is thanks to a $300 billion deal with OpenAI, WSJ reports

OpenAI has signed a massive deal to purchase $300 billion worth of cloud computing capacity from Oracle, according to a report from The Wall Street Journal.

The report notes that the five-year deal would be one of the largest cloud computing contracts ever signed, requiring 4.5 gigawatts of capacity.

The news is prompting shares to pare some of their massive gains, presumably because of concerns about counterparty and concentration risk.

Yesterday, Oracle shares skyrocketed as much as 30% in after-hours trading after the company forecast that it expects its cloud infrastructure business to see revenues climb to $144 billion by 2030.

Oracle shares were up as much as 43% on Wednesday.

It’s the second example in under a week of how much OpenAI’s cash burn and fundraising efforts are playing a starring role in the AI boom: the Financial Times reported that OpenAI is also the major new Broadcom customer that has placed $10 billion in orders.

Yesterday, Oracle shares skyrocketed as much as 30% in after-hours trading after the company forecast that it expects its cloud infrastructure business to see revenues climb to $144 billion by 2030.

Oracle shares were up as much as 43% on Wednesday.

It’s the second example in under a week of how much OpenAI’s cash burn and fundraising efforts are playing a starring role in the AI boom: the Financial Times reported that OpenAI is also the major new Broadcom customer that has placed $10 billion in orders.

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