Sherwood
Tuesday Apr.09, 2024

🏀 The Caitlin Clark effect

Dunkin’ on ratings (Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
Dunkin’ on ratings (Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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Stocks closed mostly flat yesterday as investors waited for tomorrow’s consumer-inflation report. Strong US economic data has led traders to shrink their bets on the likelihood of a June rate cut to just over 50%.

MVP

Iowa's Final Four matchup was ESPN’s most-watched basketball game ever as women’s sports shatter records

She shoots, she scores
 Caitlin Clark and the Iowa squad lost the NCAA women’s-basketball championship to South Carolina on Sunday, but they took home the gold for ESPN. The US’s leading sports network said a record 14.2M people saw Iowa take down UConn on Friday. The women’s Final Four matchup was the most-watched bball game in ESPN’s 45-year history.

  • The women’s Final Four game beat an ESPN viewership record set in 2018 during Game 7 of the NBA Eastern Conference finals between the Cleveland Cavs and Boston Celtics.

Come for the game
 stay for the TikTok edits. Women’s sports are having a viral moment as younger gens tune in more than ever before. Just over half of American adults spent some time watching or following women’s sports in the past year. For years, women athletes’ pay and sponsorships have trailed men’s, and the games didn’t usually draw as much ad spend. But as viewership soars, media coverage of women’s sports has nearly tripled since 2019, and more $$ is pouring in: 

  • ESPN owner Disney said it sold out of ad spots for this year’s women’s March Madness Final Four and championship rounds, doubling women’s-tournament revenue from last year.

  • Paid out: In January, ESPN and the NCAA renewed their broadcast deal for another eight years, valuing the women’s tournament at $65M/yr — 10X more than the current deal.

More money, more growth
 Deloitte expects that women's elite-sports revenue will top $1B for the first time this year. That’s 4X more than three years ago. Women’s pro-sports sponsorships are up 22% over the past year, and Clark’s $3.4M in NIL deals makes her the second top-earning college-basketball player (after Bronny James) thanks to A-list sponsors like Nike and Pepsi.

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Beijet

China aims to break the jet-making duopoly with a plane to rival Boeing and Airbus

Comac on the tarmac
 The market for commercial aircraft is a duopoly dominated by American Boeing and European Airbus. But as Boeing’s blues cause delivery setbacks for airlines, aspiring rivals have more runway. Cue: this year a Chinese competitor made its international debut. Meet Comac (aka: the Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China), a state-owned planemaker that China hopes will one day rival Boeing and Airbus with its C919.

  • Jet set: In February the C919 flew outside Chinese territory for the first time in a flyby at the Singapore Airshow. FYI: it’s so far certified to fly passengers in mainland China only.

  • The C919 had its first commercial flight last year for China Eastern Airlines, flying passengers from Shanghai to Beijing. The jet can carry up 192 passengers, about the same as Boeing’s 737 and Airbus’ A320. China Eastern Airlines has five C919s.

Boeing left a hole
 and we’re not talkin’ about the sealed door that yeeted off a 737 mid-flight. Its woes have left a gap in the market, and airlines are struggling to get their hands on jets to meet booming travel demand. As Boeing faces growing FAA scrutiny and a DOJ criminal investigation, Airbus has widened its jet-delivering lead. There’s also more room for newbies like Comac to gain a foothold in the passenger-aircraft market, which has an extremely high barrier to entry (making commercial planes = v complicated).

  • TL;DR: “The Chinese are exploiting the shortage of aircraft in the marketplace,” aviation analyst Shukor Yusof told Sherwood.

  • Still: It’s widely believed in the industry that the overall quality of the C919 doesn’t hold up to comparable models from Airbus and Boeing (for one thing, Comac’s plane is much heavier — read: less efficient).

High barriers take time
 Comac has lotsa hurdles to fly over before it can hope to compete against the Boeing-Airbus duopoly, with their decades of experience in the skies. The C919 has been certified to fly in China only, though Comac said it plans to seek EU certification this year. Plus, since American companies account for the bulk of the C919’s parts suppliers, Comac could face setbacks if the US imposes more sanctions on China.

Read more at Sherwood.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Interest’ing: The White House announced a plan that would cancel “runaway” student-loan interest and forgive up to $20K of it per borrower. President Biden’s pushing for student-debt forgiveness ahead of the election.

  • FSD: Tesla settled a lawsuit over the role that Autopilot, its driver-assist tech, played in a fatal crash (FYI: the trial had been set to start this week). Regulators said Autopilot can give drivers a false sense of security.

  • Achoo: Kleenex maker Kimberly-Clark is selling its personal protective equipment biz (think: gloves, eyewear) for $640M. Hospitals stocked up on PPE during the pandemic but sales have slumped.

  • Hearted: Meta split out Instagram’s revenue for the first time. In 2021 the ’Gram generated $32B+ in ad revenue — nearly 30% of Meta’s total and 12% more than Google’s YouTube made that year.

  • Arenomics: Sports stadium names are multimillion-dollar ad opps that reflect their economic times. Retail and tech have bought more naming rights since the early ’00s, while food and bev scaled back during the pandemic.

Snack Fact of the Day

A total solar eclipse is visible from somewhere on Earth about every year and a half

Tuesday

  • Earnings expected from WD-40 and Tilray Brands

Correction: A previous version of this letter misstated Caitlin Clark's team. It's Iowa Hawkeyes, not Iowa State. Our bad! We regret the error.

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Alphabet, Disney, and Tesla

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Alphabet, Disney, and Tesla

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*Executives are also advisory board members and clients of RAD AI.

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