Sherwood
Monday May.12, 2025

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Sherwood Chart on Chinese imports of goods for arcades and amusement parks
Sherwood Chart on Chinese imports of goods for arcades and amusement parks
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It’s Leo season… Last week, 133 cardinals voted Robert Francis Prevost as the next pope, who will be known as Leo XIV. We took a look at the popularity of the name “Leo” in the US over time, which ticked up during WWII and then surged in the new millennium — perhaps because of these two megacelebrities?

Stocks ended the week flat following President Trump saying he may cut China’s 145% tariff to 80% ahead of trade negotiations in Switzerland. The S&P 500 slipped under 0.1%, the Nasdaq 100 ended flat, and the Russell 2000 fell 0.16%. Risk-on sectors like energy, real estate, and consumer discretionary outperformed, while healthcare, consumer staples, and communication services led the declines.

❓ Test your business trivia knowledge with our Snacks Seven Quiz. Here’s a sample Q:

  • What is the most expensive stock in the S&P 500?

Check your answer.

Tariffs are game over for the arcade business

As tariffs rock the automotive, aviation, and tech industries, Sherwood News’ Max Knoblauch is asking the pressing questions we all have as we approach summer and dream of beaches and boardwalks lined with arcades: what’s going to happen to the deformed plush Minions and little sticky hands you can win at these vacation wonderlands and year-round fun palaces like Dave & Buster’s?

The humble arcade prize — a tie-dye bear, a stinky foam basketball, a knockoff Barbie doll — has become collateral damage in a broader economic clash playing out far beyond Chuck E. Cheese’s ticket redemption room, and the companies behind these prize toys and the players who win them are preparing for a devastating blow.

Coral Reynolds, president of Fiesta Toy, a California-based company specializing in plush toys and “anything you could possibly win” at an arcade or fair, said the levies are a nightmare for the industry, as she told Sherwood just how many goods come from China that stock the shelves of zoos, aquariums, museums, and “almost every amusement park there is.”

On the other side of the ring-toss game are the players, who are reporting already inflated ticket redemption rates on sites like Reddit. Then there are the advantage players who actually run a decent side hustle maximizing ticket earnings and reselling prizes. Knoblauch got a fascinating peek into the economics of being an arcade guru and one ticket king’s inside view on how it’ll affect us regular rubes who want to win our own plush banana. 

The Takeaway

This summer, the winning won’t be easy or cheap — if there are prizes to be won at all. Tons of toy orders are being canceled or delayed, which means even the fun-sized footballs, cheap plastic spiders, and slightly wrong cartoon character plushes may run out before new ones arrive, if they ever do

Read more.

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Discover the latest on the forces that are shaping the global markets with Nasdaq TradeTalks. Hosted by Jill Malandrino, this dynamic series brings you informative conversations with industry leaders and thought experts. 

Dive into emerging trends redefining the future — from cross-sector tech and the intersection of policy to data governance and the evolving cybersecurity landscape, and more.

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Stories we’re obsessed with

  • D-Wave is one of those quantum computing companies that have been making a splash in the markets while also having many (if not most) investors scratching their heads as to what, precisely, it is they actually do, technically. Sherwood’s markets editor, Luke Kawa, managed to corner their CEO and get the scoop on what exactly the quantum industry is, where D-Wave’s particular edge comes from, how it all ties in with the AI boom, and where the US is falling behind the rest of the world when it comes to quantum computing. 

  • Japan’s customs officials are seeing a phenomenal amount of gold leave the country as the rest of the world piles into the metal, but the math isn’t adding up. Something like 20 metric tons of the metal is leaving Japan per month, but the country produces only about 100 tons per year, which has led the government to suspect that gold smuggling from organized crime is way more common than previously feared, according to Nikkei. (Hat tip to Numlock News.)

THE BEST THING WE READ TODAY

The rise of microdramas raises the question: Was Quibi right all along?

Remember Quibi? The short-form video startup raised $2 billion before flaming out just six months after launch, so you’ll be forgiven if you don’t. But it seems the idea of serialized shorts wasn’t a bad one — it just came too early. Last year, microdramas generated $6.9 billion in revenue in the reigning champion of short-form content, outstripping its box office haul.

See the rise of US microdramas charted.

Presented by Pacaso
Pacaso Execs Standing Next to Paper House

The real estate stars opening the doors to a $1.3T market

Zillow was the launchpad to millions of home buys under co-founder Spencer Rascoff and executive Austin Allison. They left Zillow to start Pacaso – facilitating $1B+ in transactions since inception for 2,000+ homeowners in a $1.3T market.1

With fees on every transaction, Pacaso has made $110M+ in gross profits since they launched in 2020.2 No wonder SoftBank invested. You can, too, for $2.80/share – but only until 5/29.3

What Else We're Snackin'

Snack Fact of the Day

Foreign investors now own 32% of Japan’s stock market, up sharply from 5% in the 1970s.

This Week's Events

M

Earnings expected from Hertz, Rigetti, Fox Corp, and Plug Power

T

April Consumer Price Index. Earnings expected from JD.com, Under Armour, Honda, On Holdings, and Sony

W

April Producer Price Index. April Retail Sales. Earnings expected from Cisco, CoreWeave, and Tencent

Th

Earnings expected from Alibaba, Walmart, John Deere, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Cava

F

April Building Permits and Housing Starts

1 Pacaso estimates the U.S. market at $1.3 trillion and the European market as $500 billion. See website for further details. 

2 For more details on the Gross Profit for 2021- 2023, please see management discussion of the financial condition section of the offering circular. For more details on the 2024 gross profit, please see the 1-K Financial Statements section.

3 The minimum investment is $1,037.45 when including the 3.5% investor fee. This is a paid advertisement for Pacaso’s Regulation A offering. Please read the offering circular and related risks at invest.pacaso.com.

Investing in private company securities is not suitable for all investors because it is highly speculative and involves a high degree of risk. It should only be considered a long-term investment. You must be prepared to withstand a total loss of your investment. Private company securities are also highly illiquid, and there is no guarantee that a market will develop for such securities.

DealMaker Securities LLC, a registered broker-dealer, and member of FINRA | SIPC, located at 105 Maxess Road, Suite 124, Melville, NY 11747, is the Intermediary for this offering and is not an affiliate of or connected with the Issuer. Please check our background on FINRA's BrokerCheck.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.