Trimmin’ the hedge funds… Congressional Dems introduced two bills this month that could upend the US housing market. One would bar hedge funds from owning single-family homes, forcing them to sell off their huge portfolios within a decade. The other would place an annual fee of $10K/home on owners of 75+ single-family properties. If passed, the bills could help rein in prices by putting thousands of fund-owned homes on the market. FYI: most Americans believe that now is the worst time ever to buy a house.
Knock-knock: Deep-pocketed hedge funds have been busy scooping up more of the block, buying a quarter of the single-family homes that sold in June. Last year, investors bought 21% of Atlanta’s homes in all-cash deals. Buying is often done in majority Black and Latino neighborhoods, where properties are converted into rentals.
Pick your poison: Supporters say financial firms are driving up prices, boxing out ordinary folks. Critics say the bills would hurt home supply because they’d halt large investor-funded development projects.
Housewarming: Since 2019, median US home prices have popped 38% to $431K. Meanwhile, this fall, mortgage rates hit 8% — the highest in two decades.
Meet your new neighbor… Blackstone. The world’s largest alt-asset manager owns thousands of houses around the US, but corporate homeownership is still fairly new. In 2011, there weren’t any entities that owned more than 1K single-family homes. As of last summer, hedge funds owned 574K (MetLife estimates the # reached 700K in late 2022). At that pace, institutional investors could control 40% of the market by 2030. If the bills become law (unlikely atm with a divided Congress), it could throw a wrecking ball into firms’ sizable housing portfolios.
Relief isn’t just about rates… High mortgage rates are making white-picket dreams less attainable: the average new mortgage payment is 52% higher than the average apartment rent. But as the proposed bills suggest, lowering rates is just one part of the solution to the housing-affordability crisis. Over a third of home sales last year were done in cash, with lots of buyers easily outbid by corporations.