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Map of the city of Kansas, USA 1899
Map of the city of Kansas, USA 1899
Truce is over

Kansas restarts the Kansas City Border War in attempt to poach the Chiefs from Missouri

Max Knoblauch

When a pro sports team packs up and moves to a new state, it can deal a crushing blow to fans. When that new state ends up being just a few minutes away in the exact same metropolitan area, that blow might reopen decades-old wounds.

That’s what could happen with Super Bowl champion the Kansas City Chiefs, once their current lease on a sports complex shared with the MLB’s Kansas City Royals expires in 2031. In April, Missouri voters said “no thanks” to a tax measure that would’ve helped fund a new $2 billion stadium for the Royals and an $800 million overhaul of the Chiefs’ Arrowhead Stadium. Then, Kansas moved in.

$3.5B
Cost of two new stadiums
Up to 70% covered by Kansas

This week, Kansas lawmakers approved a tax-incentive bill that would allow the state to issue bonds covering up to 70% of the estimated $3.5 billion cost of two brand-new stadiums for the teams. Kansas would pay off the bonds over 30 years with money made from sports betting and the state lottery. Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly is expected to approve the proposal, which experts have called a “blank check” for the Chiefs. 

For the Chiefs and Royals, moving would mean packing up their current stadiums in Kansas City, Missouri (population 509,000), and taking a short drive across state lines to their hypothetical new stadiums in Kansas City, Kansas (population 157,000).

A brief history of the Kansas City Border War

It might seem odd for neighboring states that share a metro area (and labor market) to compete for pro sports teams, but it’s far from the first time the states have feuded over business in the area. A “border war” went on for many years, with each spending millions of dollars in taxpayer money to tempt businesses from one side to the other. Companies like AMC Theatres and Applebee’s crossed state lines to claim subsidies, sometimes multiple times, before the two states finally reached a legally binding truce five years ago.

In the decade leading up to the truce, Kansas and Missouri spent an estimated $335 million luring companies from state to state. In the end, Kansas came out slightly on top with roughly 1,200 jobs.

“It was really, truly these companies moving a couple miles down the road and literally nothing changing,” said Pat Garofalo, director of state and local policy at the American Economic Liberties Project and author of “The Billionaire Boondoggle.” “Like, people had to alter their commutes a little bit.”

The Kansas City Border War
$151M
spent by Missouri to get Kansas companies to move
$184M
spent by Kansas to get Missouri companies to move
$335M
Total amount given away by the states
1,200
Net jobs that actually moved as a result

Whether the brazen attempt by Kansas to draw one of Missouri’s primary attractions over to its side of the river will reignite the border war is yet to be seen. Some Missouri lawmakers already see the tax-incentive bill as a violation of the truce, but Gov. Kelly has said the agreement was about businesses and not teams.

The Chiefs players would probably be happy with a change: the team's facilities and ownership got abysmal ratings on the NFL Players Association player survey this year. Wherever the KC teams end up, Garofalo says it won’t be all that clear which state actually “won" (though he added that Missouri-based fans might get a W just by being off the hook for a giant subsidy package).

A hard-won truce, thrown away for little gain

“There’s really no reason to think that this will be economically beneficial,” Garofalo said.

“The job creation is almost always zero in these instances anyway, and the jobs that are created are bad, because we’re talking about seasonal, no-benefit, you know, rocking-popcorn-in-the-stands-type gigs.”

Studies have long shown that subsidies for sports stadiums don’t pay off.

The MLB’s Atlanta Braves relocated from downtown Atlanta to a suburb 10 miles north in 2017, and economist J.C. Bradbury found that the deal is costing taxpayers about $15 million/year. In New York, a near $1.7 billion new stadium for the Buffalo Bills will cost taxpayers $850 million. A preliminary economic analysis of the stadium found that the largest fiscal revenue source the state gains from the deal comes from personal income taxes paid by the team’s players. 

Garofalo notes that it’s not often economists agree on, well, anything. For stadium subsidies, though, that’s not the case.

“The evidence is just overwhelming. There’s no question anymore amongst the people who look at this on the data and academic side,” he said.

“Publicly funded sports stadiums do not provide economic benefits. Like, period, full stop, we’re done, no question about it.”

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Jon Keegan

FTC will appeal Meta antitrust case

Only a few months after successfully defending itself from an FTC antitrust lawsuit, Meta may be heading back to court. Today, the FTC announced that it would appeal the decision, reopening a yearslong suit.

The FTC called Meta’s acquisition of Instagram and WhatsApp an illegal monopoly. The judge in the case found that in the years since the suit was first brought, the competitive landscape had changed dramatically, with Meta facing fierce competition from TikTok.

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Netflix goes all-cash in bid for Warner Bros., boosting its odds

Netflix on Tuesday applied more pressure to Paramount Skydance in the ongoing bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery, amending its offer to an all-cash proposal.

Netflix shares ticked up in premarket trading, while Paramount and Warner Bros. were down less than 1%.

The move, which was expected, does not increase the value of Netflix’s $82.7 billion offer for WBD. Netflix said shareholders will be able to vote on the deal in April.

In a Tuesday filing, Warner Bros. said that it values Discovery Global, the spin-off of its cable assets, at between $1.33 and $6.86 per share. Earlier this month, Paramount said it valued the cable TV business at $0 per share.

With Tuesday’s update, event contracts have swung even further in Netflix’s favor, with Paramount’s odds to end up in control of Warner Bros. falling to 14%. That’s below the odds for “none.”

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

The move, which was expected, does not increase the value of Netflix’s $82.7 billion offer for WBD. Netflix said shareholders will be able to vote on the deal in April.

In a Tuesday filing, Warner Bros. said that it values Discovery Global, the spin-off of its cable assets, at between $1.33 and $6.86 per share. Earlier this month, Paramount said it valued the cable TV business at $0 per share.

With Tuesday’s update, event contracts have swung even further in Netflix’s favor, with Paramount’s odds to end up in control of Warner Bros. falling to 14%. That’s below the odds for “none.”

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Paramount doesn’t improve its offer for Warner Bros., leaving its fate to a long-shot shareholder appeal

Paramount Skydance on Thursday reaffirmed its $30-per-share offer to buy Warner Bros. Discovery, again stating that it believes the offer to be superior to rival Netflix’s.

In a press release, Paramount said its last amendment to the offer — which included a $40.4 billion personal guarantee from Larry Ellison, the father of Paramount CEO David Ellison — “cured every issue raised by WBD.”

The problem: Warner Bros.’ board on Wednesday unanimously voted to reject that offer, its sixth rejection of a Paramount takeover and second rejection of this specific $30-per-share bid. Warner’s board stated that it believes Paramount’s offer to be inferior to Netflix’s due in part to an “extraordinary amount of debt financing” and lower effective termination fees should the deal not clear the regulatory process.

By not improving the bid, Paramount is effectively leaving the deal in the hands of Warner Bros.’ shareholders, who will have to weigh the bids and the multiple rejections. Event contracts show a moderate boost in Parmount’s odds to end up in control of WBD on Thursday morning, jumping to 31% as of 9:30 a.m. ET, up from 27% at 9:00 a.m. ET.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Warner Bros. Discovery’s board tells shareholders to turn down Paramount’s “inadequate” hostile bid

Warner Bros. Discovery has told shareholders to reject Paramount’s hostile takeover bid, with the company releasing a statement early Wednesday urging shareholders to take the Netflix offer on the table. WBD’s board of directors said the outcome of the Netflix deal is “extraordinary by any measure.”

Paramount’s offer, in contrast, was described in the letter as “illusory,” providing “inadequate value,” and likely to impose “numerous, significant risks and costs on WBD.” The board said Paramount has “misled WBD shareholders that its proposed transaction has a ‘full backstop’ from the Ellison family,” and the board also outlined that it doesn’t believe there is a “material difference in regulatory risk between the PSKY offer and the Netflix merger.”

WBD shares dipped in the minutes leading up to the market close on Tuesday after news leaked that its management was preparing to encourage shareholders to reject Paramounts bid, and shares of the HBO parent were down at $28.66, off 0.83% from yesterday’s close, as of 7:56 a.m. ET on Wednesday. Netflix was ticking higher, up around 1.7%, and Paramount Skydance was modestly in the red, down 1%.

Several outlets have reported that Jared Kushners firm would back out of the group that had been assembled to help finance the Paramount bid. Confirming this withdrawal, a spokesperson for the firm helmed by the president’s son-in-law told NBC News that “the dynamics ​of the investment have changed significantly ​since we initially became ​involved ​in October.”

Analysts this month have said that a renewed bidding war for Warner Bros. seems “inevitable” given the antitrust concerns surrounding Netflix’s potential acquisition. President Trump on Tuesday appeared to distance himself from speculation around his closeness to Paramount’s owners, posting on Truth Social, “If they are friends, I’d hate to see my enemies!”

Warner’s attempt to influence its shareholders could fuel a higher bid from Paramount in the coming weeks — shareholders currently have until January 8 to decide whether to accept the current offer.

Paramount’s offer, in contrast, was described in the letter as “illusory,” providing “inadequate value,” and likely to impose “numerous, significant risks and costs on WBD.” The board said Paramount has “misled WBD shareholders that its proposed transaction has a ‘full backstop’ from the Ellison family,” and the board also outlined that it doesn’t believe there is a “material difference in regulatory risk between the PSKY offer and the Netflix merger.”

WBD shares dipped in the minutes leading up to the market close on Tuesday after news leaked that its management was preparing to encourage shareholders to reject Paramounts bid, and shares of the HBO parent were down at $28.66, off 0.83% from yesterday’s close, as of 7:56 a.m. ET on Wednesday. Netflix was ticking higher, up around 1.7%, and Paramount Skydance was modestly in the red, down 1%.

Several outlets have reported that Jared Kushners firm would back out of the group that had been assembled to help finance the Paramount bid. Confirming this withdrawal, a spokesperson for the firm helmed by the president’s son-in-law told NBC News that “the dynamics ​of the investment have changed significantly ​since we initially became ​involved ​in October.”

Analysts this month have said that a renewed bidding war for Warner Bros. seems “inevitable” given the antitrust concerns surrounding Netflix’s potential acquisition. President Trump on Tuesday appeared to distance himself from speculation around his closeness to Paramount’s owners, posting on Truth Social, “If they are friends, I’d hate to see my enemies!”

Warner’s attempt to influence its shareholders could fuel a higher bid from Paramount in the coming weeks — shareholders currently have until January 8 to decide whether to accept the current offer.

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Jon Keegan

Senators open investigation into data centers’ effect on consumer utility bills

As Big Tech builds more and more massive data centers in small towns around the country, the public is starting to ask questions about whether they are to blame for rising utility bills.

Today Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), and Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) sent letters to the CEOs of some of the biggest builders of data centers: Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, CoreWeave, Digital Realty, and Equinix.

The senators wrote:

“Utility companies have spent billions of dollars updating the electrical grid to accommodate the unprecedented energy demands of AI data centers and appear to recoup the costs by raising residential utility bills. Through these utility price increases, American families bankroll the electricity costs of trillion-dollar tech companies.”

Electricity prices in the US are indeed up, rising 6.2% since last year. A recent Bloomberg analysis found that ratepayers within 50 miles of data centers saw rates increase up to 276% over the past five years.

The companies have until January 12, 2026, to respond to the senators.

The senators wrote:

“Utility companies have spent billions of dollars updating the electrical grid to accommodate the unprecedented energy demands of AI data centers and appear to recoup the costs by raising residential utility bills. Through these utility price increases, American families bankroll the electricity costs of trillion-dollar tech companies.”

Electricity prices in the US are indeed up, rising 6.2% since last year. A recent Bloomberg analysis found that ratepayers within 50 miles of data centers saw rates increase up to 276% over the past five years.

The companies have until January 12, 2026, to respond to the senators.

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