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Amazon risk factors
Quarterly mentions of Amazon and AWS as a risk factor on company 10-Ks had been going up for years. They peaked in 2022 and then began declining in 2023 and 2024.

Companies aren’t talking about Amazon as much as they used to

Who’s afraid of the big bad internet behemoth?

Amazon has long been the bogeyman in the boardroom.

For years it seemed all companies could talk about in their annual 10-K filings, which includes a section called Risk Factors where companies lists the most significant threats to their business, was Amazon and its Web Services division. The number of documents citing Amazon or AWS as a risk factor just kept going up.

But recently, that’s changed. In the last two years, such mentions of Amazon have started to come down, according to data from market intelligence platform AlphaSense.

Mentions on earnings transcripts and within filings overall have declined too, according to data from FactSet.

For example, travel site Booking.com, mentioned Amazon as a risk last year but didn’t this year. Last year it wrote, “Some of our current and potential competitors, such as Google, Apple, Alibaba, Tencent, Amazon, Uber, and Meta, have significantly more customers or users, consumer data, and financial and other resources than we do,” while this year it just said those competitors “include the largest global technology companies.”

It’s unlikely that Amazon, which ranks among the most valuable companies in the world by market cap, has become less of a risk. So why the relative silence?

There could be a few reasons. There are fewer public companies these days and Big Tech companies like Amazon have been buying up would-be public companies, but that’s a long-running trend that Amazon had bucked. It could also be that companies have become more cagey when it comes to mentioning their tech stacks. It’s also possible that Amazon is just not news anymore. Companies have already adopted the cloud and Amazon might be so omnipresent it no longer warrants mention (though if it’s still a risk companies should probably say so in their 10-Ks). Notably, obvious competitors like Walmart and Google never mention Amazon as a risk.

Still, it bears mention that a huge number of companies still mention Amazon among their risk factors, either due to competition from or relationships with the online retail and internet behemoth, including UPS, Roku, Netflix, Pinterest, Mattel, Sonos, American Express, and Uber.

Interestingly, Amazon — which itself has threatened to disrupt Walmart, retail in general, package delivery, bookstores, grocery stores, healthcare, you name it — has lately been finding itself in more of a defensive position than it’s used to, as it focusses on fending off other e-commerce upstarts like Temu and Shein.

“Competition continues to intensify, including with the development of new business models and the entry of new and well-funded competitors,” its latest 10-K reads, as it has for years, without mentioning any companies by name.

And maybe there is more competition that other companies are worried about. Of course, Amazon also has a vested interested in appearing to have competition, since these days antitrust regulators are what it’s most afraid of.

Amazon, whose stock risen lately thanks to the company’s AI efforts, reports earnings after market close today. Let us know if you have other theories as to why Amazon is seeming like less of a risk.

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Big four airlines sink as Transportation Secretary Duffy says parts of US airspace could close if shutdown continues

The US may close parts of its airspace as early as next week if the government shutdown continues, according to comments made by Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy on Tuesday.

“If you bring us to a week from today, Democrats, you will see mass chaos. You will see mass flight delays. Youll see mass cancellations, and you may see us close certain parts of the airspace, because we just cannot manage it,” Duffy said at a news briefing on Tuesday.

The shutdown, which entered its 35th day on Tuesday, has fueled already problematic shortages of air traffic controllers. This week, airlines said 3.2 million passengers have faced delays or cancellations because of the shortages. Last week, about 13,000 air traffic controllers and 50,000 TSA agents received their first $0 paycheck amid the shutdown.

Shares of the big four US airlines all sank on Duffy’s comments, with United Airlines, American Airlines, and Delta Air Lines all down more than 5%.

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Jon Keegan

Trump’s deal offering top Nvidia chips to China was nixed at last minute, the WSJ reports

Nvidia’s CEO, Jensen Huang, really wants to sell the chipmakers most powerful Blackwell GPUs to China. He almost had his way.

According to a report from The Wall Street Journal, President Trump was ready to put Blackwell chips on the negotiating table for his meeting with Chinese President Xi to seek relief from Chinas decision to block crucial rare earth exports to the US.

But according to the report, Trump advisers presented a unified front and were able to dissuade him from giving up the most powerful chips to China at the last minute. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer were among those opposed to the chip deal. After the meeting, Trump said he did not talk with Xi about Nvidia’s “super duper” chips.

Reportedly those opposed to the deal cited national security concerns, as well as wanting to keep a competitive edge as China seeks to challenge the US’s current dominance of the AI industry.

But according to the report, Trump advisers presented a unified front and were able to dissuade him from giving up the most powerful chips to China at the last minute. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer were among those opposed to the chip deal. After the meeting, Trump said he did not talk with Xi about Nvidia’s “super duper” chips.

Reportedly those opposed to the deal cited national security concerns, as well as wanting to keep a competitive edge as China seeks to challenge the US’s current dominance of the AI industry.

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