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Luke Kawa
7/24/25

Why CoreWeave announcing the date of its Q2 earnings actually matters

CoreWeave, the recently IPO’d provider of access to Nvidia’s GPUs, announced on Wednesday that it will be releasing earnings on August 12 after the market closes.

Normally, we would not write about companies telling us when they’re publishing quarterly results. But this situation is not normal.

As previously detailed, CoreWeave’s prospectus indicates that the lockup period for 84% of its shares expires on “the close of trading on the second trading day after the date that we publicly announce earnings for the second quarter.”

Now, it’s not like CoreWeave’s major holders are going to be eagerly waiting for the close of trading on August 14 with both hands hovering over the sell button, ready to flood the market. But it is highly likely that the float going up will make the cost of borrowing CoreWeave go down, since there’s going to be more shares available to sell short.

That’s certainly something that matters to people who either a) want to bet against the high-flying AI darling and, perhaps more importantly, b) those who want to bet on a successful CoreWeave-Core Scientific merger.

The cost to short CoreWeave and buy Core Scientific to profit from the big spread between where the latter was trading versus the former was prohibitively high.

And lo and behold, after CoreWeave tells the world when its Q2 earnings will drop, we’re seeing a session where shares of Core Scientific manage to rise while shares of the acquiring company fall.

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The K-shaped economy, in one chart

The idea of a “K-shaped recovery” — relatively affluent Americans doing well, while those lower on the income spectrum struggle mightily — was in vogue as the US economy emerged from its Covid-induced recession in 2020.

A few years of better wage growth for lower earners helped put a dent in this trend, but now, the “K-shaped economy” is back in a big way:

BofA Institute chart on income growth

Liz Everett Krisberg, head of the Bank of America Institute, and senior economist David Michael Tinsley wrote in a new report (emphasis ours):

The labor market slowdown appears to be impacting lower-income households, in particular. According to Bank of America deposit data, after-tax wage and salary growth slipped to just 0.9% year-over-year (YoY) for lower-income households in August — the smallest gain since the start of the series in 2016. Wage growth for higher-income households, on the other hand, rose to 3.6% YoY, the highest growth rate since November 2021. This growing divergence between income cohorts is also reflected in spending trends, with credit and debit card spending growth easing for lower-income households but accelerating for higher-income ones.

Deteriorating labor market outcomes for lower-income and traditionally marginalized groups sucks. Full stop.

From a macroeconomic perspective, however, remember that the top 40% of earners drives over 60% of US consumer spending. That means any easing of nominal consumption growth at the lower end of the income scale can be more than offset by a similar-sized pickup in spending growth at the upper end.

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Opendoor soars as cofounders Keith Rabois and Eric Wu added to board of directors, Shopify COO Kaz Nejatian appointed as new CEO

Opendoor Technologies is soaring after announcing that two of the online real estate company’s cofounders, Keith Rabois and Eric Wu, have been added to its board of directors. Rabois will serve as chairman.

The company said Wu and Rabois’ venture capital firm is buying $40 million in Opendoor stock via a private investment in public equity (PIPE) financing.

In addition, Opendoor has poached Shopify COO Kaz Nejatian to serve as its new CEO after Carrie Wheeler resigned in mid-August.

“Literally there was only one choice for the job: Kaz. I am thrilled that he will be serving as CEO of Opendoor,” Rabois said.

The company touted in its press release that it’s “going into founder mode” with these additions, with lead independent director Eric Feder championing this injection of “founder DNA.”

That exact phrase, “founder DNA,” was used by Eric Jackson, architect of the initial rally and social interest in Opendoor, as he openly campaigned for these very two individuals to be added to the board.

This underscores how far the company is willing to go in embracing a new strategy of listening to its investors (particularly the most prominent one, it seems!) as management aims to engineer a fundamental turnaround in its business to match the optimism embedded in its stock price.

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“Pokemon” trading cards skyrocketing in value and GameStop’s collectibles business taking off are two sides of the same coin


The Wall Street Journal’s fantastic piece “The Hot Investment With a 3,000% Return? Pokémon Cards” includes this vignette:

“...the cards caught fire among amateur investors during the pandemic. As some investors banded together to spark the GameStop meme stock mania, a more fringe group of traders, also stuck at home and armed with cash from government stimulus, began scooping up Pokémon cards.”

And the connection between “Pokemon” cards and the video game retailer is in fact even closer than that:

GameStop’s collectibles business played a big role in why it smashed Q2 revenue expectations! Sales in this segment exceeded $227 million, while the two analysts that provided forecasts had an average estimate of $170.4 million. Fiscal year to date, sales of collectibles make up 25.8% of its revenues, up from 16.4% at this time last year.

The company significantly expanded its footprint in the “Pokemon” trading card world in 2024 by launching in-store buying and selling of individual cards, and introduced Power Packs,” which include one card graded at 8 or above by the Professional Sports Authenticator, in its most recent quarter.

As a 35-year-old man who still plays Pokemon (Nuzlockes are peak math + strategy entertainment!), thinks the release of Pokemon Go marked the peak for Western civilization, and considers Christmas 1998 to be the second-best day of his life because it’s when he got Pokemon Red, I personally view the outperformance of Pokemon cards as being indicative of the power of nostalgia coupled with a drop-off in child rearing by millennials, leaving more room for discretionary purchases and investments.

And the nostalgia business seems like a great place to be.

“...the cards caught fire among amateur investors during the pandemic. As some investors banded together to spark the GameStop meme stock mania, a more fringe group of traders, also stuck at home and armed with cash from government stimulus, began scooping up Pokémon cards.”

And the connection between “Pokemon” cards and the video game retailer is in fact even closer than that:

GameStop’s collectibles business played a big role in why it smashed Q2 revenue expectations! Sales in this segment exceeded $227 million, while the two analysts that provided forecasts had an average estimate of $170.4 million. Fiscal year to date, sales of collectibles make up 25.8% of its revenues, up from 16.4% at this time last year.

The company significantly expanded its footprint in the “Pokemon” trading card world in 2024 by launching in-store buying and selling of individual cards, and introduced Power Packs,” which include one card graded at 8 or above by the Professional Sports Authenticator, in its most recent quarter.

As a 35-year-old man who still plays Pokemon (Nuzlockes are peak math + strategy entertainment!), thinks the release of Pokemon Go marked the peak for Western civilization, and considers Christmas 1998 to be the second-best day of his life because it’s when he got Pokemon Red, I personally view the outperformance of Pokemon cards as being indicative of the power of nostalgia coupled with a drop-off in child rearing by millennials, leaving more room for discretionary purchases and investments.

And the nostalgia business seems like a great place to be.

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