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Weed stocks rally on reports that Trump admin is close to reclassifying marijuana

It’s not the first (or second or third) time that the Trump administration has been rumored to be considering reclassification.

J. Edward Moreno

Cannabis stocks are rallying on a series of reports that the Trump administration is close to reclassifying marijuana, a move that would instantly make a group of battered US weed companies more profitable.

The Washington Post first reported Thursday evening that President Trump is expected to issue an executive order that directs federal agencies to pursue reclassification. Several other publications confirmed that reporting.

Cannabis stocks have soared on the reports. AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF, a benchmark for US cannabis operators, is up nearly 40% in premarket trading. Canadian weed companies Tilray, Canopy Growth, and SNDL Inc. are up more than 20% as well.

The order could come as soon as Monday, CNBC reported. A White House official told Reuters that “no final decisions have been made on the rescheduling of marijuana.”

Under former President Biden, the Department of Justice announced in April 2024 that it would recommend reclassifying marijuana, though that process was bogged down. The recent reports are not the first (or second or third) time that the Trump administration has been rumored to be considering reclassification.

Dan Ahrens, manager of the AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF, said, “This is the most confident we’ve been.” He added that what’s different now is that “support has been building steadily rather than appearing in isolated headlines,” pointing to August remarks Trump made saying his administration is “looking at reclassification.

“Taken together, those actions send a consistent signal that rescheduling is not hypothetical,” Ahrens said. “It is actively on the table.”

Reclassifying marijuana does not mean it can be sold in every state, but it would lift some regulatory burdens that weigh on US cannabis companies’ margins. American cannabis operators struggle with limited access to banking, an unfriendly tax code, and high levels of debt without the benefit of bankruptcy protections.

“If implemented, it dismantles nearly a century of outdated drug policies that fly in the face of science and medicine,” said Shawn Hauser, a partner at Vicente LLP, a law firm that caters to the cannabis industry.

“However, this would be only a partial victory; legalization and the resolution of fundamental regulatory gaps remain the urgent work ahead.”

While the weed industry has some supporters in Trump’s orbit, Republicans have historically been more aligned with moral arguments against reform. In the most recent funding bill passed last month, Republicans slipped in a ban on hemp-derived THC products.

According to the Post, the president met with cannabis industry executives on Wednesday along with Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services chief Mehmet Oz.

During that meeting, he called House Speaker Mike Johnson, who was skeptical of the idea. The executives pushed back and Trump appeared convinced, the Post reported.

Art Massolo, president of the US Hemp Roundtable, noted that reclassifying marijuana wouldn’t do much for the hemp industry behind the THC seltzers that have grown in popularity in recent years. It “maybe gives hemp a halo effect to make it a little bit easier to delay the McConnell hemp ban,” he said in an email.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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