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US key mineral stocks dip as White House says China’s rollback of rare earth export curbs more comprehensive than previously thought

Shares of US rare earth and key mineral producers are lower in premarket trading after the White House said that China’s rollback of export curbs goes further than previously thought.

Initial news reports suggested that Chinese restrictions on rare earth exports from April would remain intact following last week’s meeting between US President Trump and Chinese President Xi, while more recently planned curbs would be delayed. However, the White House’s fact sheet on the trade deal with China published this weekend says that the world’s second-largest economy “will issue general valid licenses” for many key minerals, which “means the de facto removal of controls China imposed in April 2025 and October 2022.”

MP Materials, Lithium Americas, and Critical Metals are all more than 1% lower as of 7:10 a.m. ET, while United States Antimony Corp. is off double digits.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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