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The United States competes economically with the European Union
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The US now accounts for 20 of the world’s 25 most valuable companies — Europe only has 1

The AI boom has pushed US giants even higher.

The global corporate leaderboard is increasingly dominated by US firms, so much so that 80% of the world’s largest 25 companies are based in America. Conversely, Europe has just one single entrant squeaking onto the list — Dutch chip equipment maker ASML — landing at No. 25 as Europe’s highest-ranked representative, according to data from CompaniesMarketCap.com.

Zooming out, and the worlds top 100 list tilts even more heavily toward America: 58 US companies together make up $39 trillion in market value — roughly three-quarters (74.2%) of the total — followed by Asia-Pacific (13.2%), Europe (8.3%), and the Middle East (3.4%).

The main driver behind that dominance is the US-centric AI boom, with the BATMMAAN stocks — Big Techs leading eight — now worth a staggering $22.5 trillion, collectively.

Europe, by contrast, lacks comparable hyperscalers or chip designers to ride that AI wave. Its corporate heavyweights instead skew toward luxury and retail (LVMH, Hermès, and LOréal), industrials (Siemens, Shell, and Airbus), and pharmaceuticals (Roche, Novartis) — slower-growth sectors compared to tech. Adding to the continents strain is Novo Nordisk, once Europes crown jewel, which has erased more than 60% of its market value since its peak last year, as the Ozempic maker faces rising competition in the weight-loss drug space.

Indeed, the transatlantic gap has only widened over the past decade. According to PWCs Global Top 100 Companies report, the combined market value of US companies among the top 100 was 2.6x Europes in Q1 2015, 4.5x in Q1 2020, and 7.6x in Q1 2025. At the time of writing, that gap has grown to almost 9x.

Of course, valuations dont tell the full story, as they reflect investors expectations at least as much as, if not more than, earnings. In fact, the S&P 500 has never been this expensive, trading at ~23x forward earnings — near dot-com era highs — while Europes STOXX 600 trades at roughly 15x.

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DraftKings moves to counter prediction market threat

DraftKings rose after hours, following news that it is buying Railbird in an effort to address the competitive threat from prediction markets that has weighed on its share price — and that of FanDuel parent Flutter Entertainment — for weeks.

The deal is then latest example of the increasing linkages and overlap between worlds of financial markets, gambling, and prediction markets.

Earlier this month, ICE — the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange and the ICE futures markets, among others — announced it would invest up to $2 billion in prediction markets company Polymarket.

And Robinhood shares have recently gotten a lift from its ongoing partnership with prediction market platform Kalshi, which has seen growing uptake of its events contracts that allow buyers to take positions on football games.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

By and large investor excitement over prediction markets — which has picked up since the start of football season — has seemed to come at the expense of Flutter and DraftKings, the two companies that dominate US sports betting.

Over the last three months through the end of regular trading on Wednesday, DraftKings and Flutter were down 23% and 18%, respectively, while the S&P 500 is up about 7%.

The deal is then latest example of the increasing linkages and overlap between worlds of financial markets, gambling, and prediction markets.

Earlier this month, ICE — the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange and the ICE futures markets, among others — announced it would invest up to $2 billion in prediction markets company Polymarket.

And Robinhood shares have recently gotten a lift from its ongoing partnership with prediction market platform Kalshi, which has seen growing uptake of its events contracts that allow buyers to take positions on football games.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

By and large investor excitement over prediction markets — which has picked up since the start of football season — has seemed to come at the expense of Flutter and DraftKings, the two companies that dominate US sports betting.

Over the last three months through the end of regular trading on Wednesday, DraftKings and Flutter were down 23% and 18%, respectively, while the S&P 500 is up about 7%.

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The no-fundamentals, high-volatility winning trades are reversing hard

The volatile, speculative momentum trades that have been on fire in recent months are getting smoked.

The SPDR Gold Shares ETF is on track for its biggest daily loss since April 2013, as of 10:28 a.m. ET.

And Goldman Sachs’ baskets of “high beta momentum longs” and “non-profitable tech” stocks, which have pretty much been the exact same line for two months, got dumped last Thursday and are down big again today.

D-Wave Quantum, Planet Labs, and Navitas Semiconductor are some of the stocks that feature in both of Goldman’s baskets and are down more than 2% as of 10:24 a.m. ET.

All of these groups have been handily outperforming the S&P 500 for an extended period of time despite by their very nature having more hype than actual track records — in terms of producing profits for shareholders — to speak of. Gold, obviously, generates no income. Nonprofitable tech stocks aren’t really in a position to spin off cash they don’t have to their owners. And, as mentioned, high-beta momentum and nonprofitable tech stocks have pretty much traded the same!

It’s difficult to pinpoint a fundamental catalyst for why speculative momentum trades suddenly turn on a dime, just as it’s often tricky to identify why they went on such a mammoth run in the first place. Perhaps the onset of earnings season — which gives us the opportunity to assess fundamental progress — means that right now, there’s more attention being paid to “line go up” when it comes to revenues and profits, and that’s taking away from the mindshare on “line go up” with respect to recent share price performance.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.