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The nuclear-powered AI data-center trade roars into a new year

1/3/25 5:02PM

It’s early going, but so far the trade of the year is clearly another big bet on an ongoing boom in an AI-related investment.

Just check out the top gainers of the S&P 500 in the first two days of 2025 trading.

Nuke stocks Vistra and Constellation Energy — the second- and 10th-best peformers in the index last year — exploded out of the gates amid rising expectations of growing demand from power-hungry data centers.

Giant landowner Texas Pacific Land, which traditionally leased its massive holdings of West Texas land for oil and gas drilling but has recently talked up the potential for slapping up data centers, comes next.

Then embattled server-hardware maker Super Micro Computer, another nuke stock NRG, the Magnificient 7’s Nvidia, renewables and power-generation firm GE Vernova, disk-drive maker Western Digital, a newly enlivened Uber, and finally Micron. We could go on, with the next tier of top performers including more tech, AI, and energy-related firms like First Solar, Enphase Energy, and Palantir.

For what it’s worth, there are plenty of reasons to believe that this bet on the continued boom in AI investment is pretty much a sure thing.

For instance, Friday Microsoft said it was going to spend $80 billion to build AI data centers in fiscal 2025 alone. That can buy a lot of chips.

But from a slightly longer-term perspective, nervous Nellies can’t help but wonder whether such a single-minded investment mania might be setting up the US economy — and potentially the markets — for the mother of all malinvestment cycles, akin to or perhaps worse than the tech-stock boom of the late 1990s that turned into a gnarly stock-market bust by 2001. But that’s all ancient history.

This time is, of course, completely different.

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Rocket lab soars to new record close amid rally for retail faves

Rocket Lab ripped by roughly 10% Friday to close at a new all-time high, riding an upturn of retail enthusiasm for a coterie of tech-themed favorites, even as the broader market was more or less flat on the day.

Goldman Sachs’ basket of “retail favorites” — its heaviest weights are Reddit, AppLovin, and Tempus AI — was the second-biggest gainer among the company’s flagship US equity baskets on Friday, rising about 1.6%. The S&P was almost dead flat.

It’s not Rocket Lab’s first retail rodeo, as the money-losing company has more than doubled this year and is up nearly 700% over the last 12 months.

Oracle Wall Street Revisions

Analysts revise up anything and everything they thought about Oracle

After the company’s bombshell earnings this week, Wall Street thinks Oracle’s trajectory has changed.

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Six Flags pops after reiterating its guidance as theme park attendance rebounds

Six Flags shares rose more than 7% today after the company reported a rebound in attendance and early season pass sales heading into the fall. The nine-week period ended August 31 saw 17.8 million guests, up about 2% from the same stretch last year, with stronger momentum in the final four weeks. 

More importantly, Six Flags reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $860 million to $910 million, showing confidence that its cost and operations strategy can stay strong for the duration of the year. Riding that wave, Six Flags also said early 2026 season pass unit sales are pacing ahead of last year, and average season pass prices are up about 3%.

The good vibes come despite a drop in in-park per-capita spending, especially from admissions, where promotions and changes to attendance mix (which parks or days guests visit) have weighed. Earlier this week, the amusement giant signed a new agreement that extended its position as the exclusive amusement park partner for Peanuts™ in North America through 2030.

Despite the rally, Six Flags shares are down about 52% year to date.

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Rivian turns red on the year, squeezed by a recall and the looming end of the EV tax credit

Shares of EV maker Rivian are down more than 5% on Friday following the company’s recall of 24,214 vehicles due to a software issue. The stock move erases Rivian’s year-to-date gain and turns the company negative on the year.

Rivian’s 2025 model year R1S and R1T are affected by the defect, which was identified after a vehicle’s hands-free highway assist software failed to identify another vehicle on the road, causing a low-speed collision. Rivian said it’s released an over-the-air update to fix the issue.

The recall marks Rivian’s fifth this year, affecting nearly 70,000 of its vehicles.

Rivian’s shares are down more than 20% from their 2025 high, which came prior to the passage of President Trump’sbig, beautiful bill.” Through the legislation, the $7,500 EV tax credit is set to expire at the end of the month.

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