Tesla is trading more like bitcoin than a Magnificent 7 stock
There have been a lot of fundamental reasons behind the shellacking of Tesla’s share price lately. Poor sales. Insider selling. Estimate cuts. A severe negative turn in public perception of the company.
It’s not like the bad news stopped today, as Chinese rival BYD showed that it generated more revenue than the Elon Musk-led company last year.
Yet the stock’s surging. What gives? Well, for all the fundamentals, there’s also a key technical reason why the stock had been under pressure: the across the board breakdown in momentum trades, including those with a heavy tie-in to President Trump.
Barclays analysts have long argued that fundamentals are immaterial for the electric vehicle maker (which is probably a stretch!) and that it’s best compared to another asset with not much to go off but vibes: bitcoin. Bitcoin is ripping today, and Tesla is too.
In fact, over the past month — a period that’s included a meaningful pick-up in correlations among the Magnificent 7 constituents — Tesla has been more positively correlated with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust than any member of that cohort.
Seemingly, this is the market dynamic we saw in the aftermath of the November election reasserting itself yet again.