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Elon Musk addresses World Economic Forum
Elon Musk speaking during the World Economic Forum annual meeting on January 22, 2026 (Harun Ozalp/Getty Images)

Tesla beats on EPS and revenue, says it has invested $2 billion into xAI

Tesla reported Full Self-Driving subscription numbers and a list of cities where it says Robotaxi is expanding in the first half of 2026.

Rani Molla

Tesla said its fourth-quarter earnings and revenue topped analysts’ expectations, though the company also cemented its first-ever drop in annual revenue.

For the quarter, the company’s non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.50, versus analysts’ expectation of $0.45. Revenue was $24.9 billion, compared with Wall Street’s call of $24.7 billion.

Tesla also said it had invested $2 billion into CEO Elon Musk’s xAI. Late last year, Tesla shareholders had voted to invest in xAI, but the board didn’t approve the measure since there were many abstentions.

“Tesla is building products and services that bring AI into the physical world,” Tesla wrote in a press release. “Meanwhile, xAI is developing leading digital AI products and services, such as its large language model (Grok).”

Shares were up 4.4% in recent after-hours trading.

Tesla’s earnings report comes after the company posted disappointing delivery numbers earlier this month. Its EPS and revenue, while both beats, are also declines from the same quarter a year earlier (when EPS was $0.73 and revenue was $25.7 billion).

Tesla’s full-year revenue came in at $94.8 billion, compared with 2024’s $97.7 billion. Analysts had forecast $94.9 billion.

The company reported a gross margin of 14.8%, above the 14.4% analyst consensus estimate and above last year’s numbers, even amid the loss of regulatory credits and a wave of discounting.

For the first time, Tesla released the number of Full Self-Driving subscriptions, saying it had 1.1 million active subs, up from 0.8 million in the same quarter last year. That’s just above 12% of cumulative Tesla deliveries, similar to what Tesla disclosed last year. Tesla will have to reach 10 million active FSD subscriptions, among other milestones, in order for Musk to receive his $1 trillion pay package.

Tesla also disclosed a list of cities where it expects to roll out Robotaxis in the first half of this year, including several cities in Texas and Florida.

Robotaxi city list
Tesla

On the analyst call Wednesday, investors will likely be looking for more details on the company’s forthcoming projects, on which it’s staked its future. That includes timing for fully removing safety drivers from Robotaxis, Cybercab, and Optimus robot production and the development of its AI chips. They’ll also be looking for just how much Tesla’s AI ambitions will cost, after the company noted last quarter that capital expenditure would “increase substantially in 2026.”

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United beats Q1 earnings and revenue estimates, lowers full-year profit guidance amid surging jet fuel prices

United Airlines reported its first-quarter earnings results after the bell on Tuesday. The carrier’s shares ticked down in after-hours trading.

For Q1, United reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share, compared to the Wall Street estimate of $1.08 per share compiled by FactSet.

  • $14.6 billion in revenue, compared to the $14.39 billion consensus estimate.

In the first quarter, United’s fuel expense grew 12.6% from the same period last year to $3.04 billion.

For the second quarter, United expects adjusted earnings per share of between $1 and $2, shy of Wall Street expectations of $2.08. For the full year ahead, United said it expects earnings between $7 and $11 per share, compared to its prior guidance of between $12 and $14 per share.

“Guidance assumes United’s revenue recovers 40% to 50% of the fuel price increases in the second quarter, 70% to 80% of the fuel price increases in the third quarter and 85% to 100% of the fuel price increases in the fourth quarter 2026,” read the company’s investor update.

Earlier this month, United was among the first major US airlines to hike its bag fees amid higher fuel costs. Its shares have fallen more than 15% from a February high days before the war in Iran began.

United has also made waves this month following reports that CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a merger with American Airlines to President Trump. A merger between two of the big four airlines would create a true US behemoth, controlling more than a third of the American market. American Air last week said it wasn’t interested in merging with United and hadn’t held talks on the idea. On Tuesday, Trump told CNBC that he doesn’t like the idea either.

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Hedge funds are following retail traders into the Magnificent 7

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the stocks the masses never stopped buying.

“As we kick off earnings for megacap tech stocks, this stood out: [hedge funds] have started buying Mag7 stocks again this month though positioning remains well below the peak levels seen in early 2016,” wrote Goldman Sachs’ Cullen Morgan.

Goldman PB Mag 7
Source: Goldman Sachs

In early April, JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain noted that retail investors had basically been selling everything but the Magnificent 7 stocks as part of a more cautious stance due to the Iran war.

(Apple has been a long-standing exception to this trend, presumably because retail traders arent fond of its hands-off approach to AI.)

JPM Retail flows

Last August, Jain discussed how retail activity tended to “crowd in” institutional buyers in meme stocks, while Goldman’s John Marshall advised clients to piggyback on stocks beloved by retail traders. Speculative, retail-geared assets proceeded to go on a tremendous run that soured in October.

But there are some early indications that a similar bout of speculative fervor is bubbling up once more.

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POET Technologies surges above $10 for first time in 4 years amid explosion in call volumes

POET Technologies is up nearly 40% this week as options market activity goes haywire in a faint echo of what got the stock on retail traders’ radars in October.

As of 11:12 a.m. ET, more than 10 calls have changed hands for every put traded. This bullish impulse has propelled the stock above the $10 threshold for the first time since March 2022.

Shares of the optical communications firm briefly dipped last week after Wolfpack Research said it was short the company because its investors would be exposed to an “IRS tax nightmare.”

The company responded that day saying it was taking measures for US shareholders that “should mitigate certain potential adverse US federal income tax consequences to it that could otherwise result from the Company’s status as a passive foreign investment company.”

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