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Elon Musk addresses World Economic Forum
Elon Musk speaking during the World Economic Forum annual meeting on January 22, 2026 (Harun Ozalp/Getty Images)

Tesla beats on EPS and revenue, says it has invested $2 billion into xAI

Tesla reported Full Self-Driving subscription numbers and a list of cities where it says Robotaxi is expanding in the first half of 2026.

Tesla said its fourth-quarter earnings and revenue topped analysts’ expectations, though the company also cemented its first-ever drop in annual revenue.

For the quarter, the company’s non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.50, versus analysts’ expectation of $0.45. Revenue was $24.9 billion, compared with Wall Street’s call of $24.7 billion.

Tesla also said it had invested $2 billion into CEO Elon Musk’s xAI. Late last year, Tesla shareholders had voted to invest in xAI, but the board didn’t approve the measure since there were many abstentions.

“Tesla is building products and services that bring AI into the physical world,” Tesla wrote in a press release. “Meanwhile, xAI is developing leading digital AI products and services, such as its large language model (Grok).”

Shares were up 4.4% in recent after-hours trading.

Tesla’s earnings report comes after the company posted disappointing delivery numbers earlier this month. Its EPS and revenue, while both beats, are also declines from the same quarter a year earlier (when EPS was $0.73 and revenue was $25.7 billion).

Tesla’s full-year revenue came in at $94.8 billion, compared with 2024’s $97.7 billion. Analysts had forecast $94.9 billion.

The company reported a gross margin of 14.8%, above the 14.4% analyst consensus estimate and above last year’s numbers, even amid the loss of regulatory credits and a wave of discounting.

For the first time, Tesla released the number of Full Self-Driving subscriptions, saying it had 1.1 million active subs, up from 0.8 million in the same quarter last year. That’s just above 12% of cumulative Tesla deliveries, similar to what Tesla disclosed last year. Tesla will have to reach 10 million active FSD subscriptions, among other milestones, in order for Musk to receive his $1 trillion pay package.

Tesla also disclosed a list of cities where it expects to roll out Robotaxis in the first half of this year, including several cities in Texas and Florida.

Robotaxi city list
Tesla

On the analyst call Wednesday, investors will likely be looking for more details on the company’s forthcoming projects, on which it’s staked its future. That includes timing for fully removing safety drivers from Robotaxis, Cybercab, and Optimus robot production and the development of its AI chips. They’ll also be looking for just how much Tesla’s AI ambitions will cost, after the company noted last quarter that capital expenditure would “increase substantially in 2026.”

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ServiceNow slips despite beating Q4 earnings expectations

Cloud software giant ServiceNow delivered better-than-expected Q4 sales and earnings after the close of trading on Wednesday, though the shares slipped in after-hours trading.  

The company reported:

  • Revenue of $3.57 billion, higher than the $3.53 billion analyst consensus estimate published by FactSet.

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.92 per share vs. the $0.88 analysts expected.

  • Subscription revenue of $3.47 billion vs. the $3.42 billion predicted.

  • Raised guidance for Q1 subscription revenues of between $3.65 billion and 3.655 billion, compared to the $3.58 billion FactSet consensus estimate.

  • Non-GAAP gross margins of 80.5%, a little light compared to the 81.1% FactSet consensus estimate. 

Despite the better-than-expected results, the stock was down after-hours. ServiceNow also announced an expanded AI partnership with Anthropic, in which it will enmesh Anthropic’s Claude models more deeply into its products, alongside its financial results.

Such efforts to more closely associate itself with the AI boom have fizzled so far. ServiceNow shares have plunged 45% over the last year. And investors clearly remain skeptical after the Q4 numbers.

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Southwest climbs on stronger-than-expected 2026 earnings guidance

Southwest Airlines posted its fourth-quarter and full-year earnings after the bell on Wednesday. Its shares climbed more than 4% in after-hours trading.

The airline, one of the big four US carriers, guided for revenue per seat mile to climb “at least 9.5%” in the first quarter, and costs per seat mile to rise 3.5%. It forecast a 1% to 2% boost in capacity for Q1.

For the full year ahead, Southwest said it expects adjusted earnings of $4 per share, ahead of Wall Street estimates of $3.22.

The carrier, which flew its last open-seating flight on Tuesday, posted Q4 adjusted earnings of $0.58 per share, slightly above the $0.57 per share expected by Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet. Southwest’s passenger revenue rose 7.6% to $6.79 billion in the fourth quarter, beating estimates of $6.77 billion.

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Seagate soars after earnings as Wall Street gushes

Seagate Technology Holdings soared Wednesday, with a nearly 20% gain shortly after 2 p.m. ET that put the once staid maker of hard disk drives on track for one of its best days of the last decade.

Seagate reported strong earnings results after the close of trading on Tuesday, prompting a parade of positive published comments from Wall Street analysts.

The Street gushed over high sales prices and customer orders for data centers and cloud computing providers stretching out to 2028. Analysts were also heartened by the rollout of Seagate’s next-generation hard disk product, known as heat-assisted magnetic recording (HAMR), which has now been “qualified” or approved for use by major US cloud service providers. Some examples:

Bernstein Research: “Demand remains strong, supply remains disciplined with pricing better than expected.”

Morgan Stanley: “We continue to be amazed by the strength of this HDD [hard disk drive] cycle; even with better-than-expected supply, HDD shortages are intensifying given CSP [cloud service provider] data storage demand.”

Citi: “Nearline capacity fully allocated through [2026], and demand visibility is strengthening based on [long-term agreements] with major cloud customers through [2027] (with pricing to be negotiated). Multiple cloud customers now currently discussing demand for [2028] to ensure supply.

Mizuho: “Nearline cloud capacity sold out for [calendar year 2026] with leading cloud customer allocations locked in for [2027] and multiple customers already working to fill [2028] demand.”

Wedbush Securities: “The company has qualified HAMR at all US customers as minimizing any concerns around STXs execution on its newer/higher capacity platforms. In turn, we believe this result in our view bodes well for STXs continued ramp of HAMR.”

Seagate’s remarkable surge raises the prospect of a reacceleration of the share price gains of Seagate and Western Digital, the duopoly that dominates the market for hard disk drives, the low-cost data storage products that are nonetheless crucial for managing the torrent of data that AI usage is producing.

The two companies were some of the best performers in the S&P 500 last year, rising 219% and 282%, respectively. If anything, the rally seems to be picking up steam, with Seagate up 62% year to date and Western Digital up about the same amount not even a month into 2026.

Bernstein Research: “Demand remains strong, supply remains disciplined with pricing better than expected.”

Morgan Stanley: “We continue to be amazed by the strength of this HDD [hard disk drive] cycle; even with better-than-expected supply, HDD shortages are intensifying given CSP [cloud service provider] data storage demand.”

Citi: “Nearline capacity fully allocated through [2026], and demand visibility is strengthening based on [long-term agreements] with major cloud customers through [2027] (with pricing to be negotiated). Multiple cloud customers now currently discussing demand for [2028] to ensure supply.

Mizuho: “Nearline cloud capacity sold out for [calendar year 2026] with leading cloud customer allocations locked in for [2027] and multiple customers already working to fill [2028] demand.”

Wedbush Securities: “The company has qualified HAMR at all US customers as minimizing any concerns around STXs execution on its newer/higher capacity platforms. In turn, we believe this result in our view bodes well for STXs continued ramp of HAMR.”

Seagate’s remarkable surge raises the prospect of a reacceleration of the share price gains of Seagate and Western Digital, the duopoly that dominates the market for hard disk drives, the low-cost data storage products that are nonetheless crucial for managing the torrent of data that AI usage is producing.

The two companies were some of the best performers in the S&P 500 last year, rising 219% and 282%, respectively. If anything, the rally seems to be picking up steam, with Seagate up 62% year to date and Western Digital up about the same amount not even a month into 2026.

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