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Tempus AI short seller report Eric Lefkofsky
Tempus CEO Eric Lefkofsky (Big Event Media/Getty Images)

Tempus AI hammered by short seller’s report

The short seller warned that the shares could drop 60%, spotlighting what it described as “aggressive accounting, financial reporting, and suspicious revenue-generating partnerships.”

Matt Phillips

Tempus AI, a healthcare data and diagnostics company that’s recently piqued the interest of retail traders, plunged Wednesday after bearish hedge fund Spruce Point Capital unloaded a searing report on the company, warning that it sees a “50% - 60% potential long-term downside and market underperformance risk.”

Spruce Point wrote:

We believe the Tempus equity growth story is built on hype and appeal to retail investors that it is an exciting and disruptive technology play with AI appeal which could have the next Tesla or Nvidia-type inflection.

Rather, we think investors should focus on its aggressive accounting, financial engineering, related party dealings, and earnings quality.

Tempus AI responded:

We do not intend to respond to a report that is riddled with hypotheticals and inaccuracies and fails to address Tempus history of strong financial performance and impressive growth. We remain focused on delivering shareholder value, taking advantage of the enormous opportunity of bringing AI to healthcare, and helping patients live longer and healthier lives.

Tempus AI emerged earlier this year in a list of the top 100 holdings among Robinhood investors, after ETF manager Cathie Wood — who has her own following among individual traders — began building a position in the stock. As of Tuesday’s close, the shares of the company, which has reported fast revenue growth but remains unprofitable, were up 95% for the year.

Spruce Point’s report criticized the company’s CEO, Eric Lefkofsky, saying he “is surrounded by a group of loyalists with a record of disappointing public investors at prior ventures such as Starbelly.com / HA-LO Industries (bankruptcy), Groupon (restatement), and InnerWorkings (restatement). We believe history may repeat and that Tempus investors are likely to be disappointed by a combination of aspirational goals that fail to materialize. In the past, Lefkofsky and partners positioned their companies to be the next Dell and Costco. Today, they talk about Tempus having technology leadership and upcoming inflection points like Nvidia or Tesla.”

It also noted that “Tempus insiders have not waited long since the IPO in April 2024 to start selling stock. In fact, each of the top 5% stockholders have recently sold shares.”

Coincidentally, we spoke with Lefkofsky on Tuesday for an interview, and asked him about the recent string of recent stock sales, including sales of some $190 million in shares in February by entities controlled in part by Lefkofsky.

“Im a limited partner in a fund,” he said. “And that fund had to sell its stock because it doesnt hold public company stocks. So, part of that was attributed to me.”

Other stock sales, he said, were related to tax withholding requirements.

“I intend to be a very long-term shareholder and a very slow seller as I have in other places,” Lefkofsky said.

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Before that, Micron’s earnings reaffirmed the intense demand for AI compute, which continues to outstrip supply — a positive sign for the neoclouds. The macro backdrop is also turning perhaps a bit more in favor of lower interest rates, as CPI inflation came in well below expectations.

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According to a note published Friday by Wedbush analyst Scott Devitt, the market is underestimating the negative impact that autonomous vehicles and robotaxi services will have on companies like Lyft and Uber. Devitt writes that Lyft is more at risk of these downsides than Uber due to its “exposure to the US ridesharing market and undiversified offering mix.” Along with the downgrade, Wedbush lowered its price target for Lyft to $16 from $20.

While the complex robotaxi market is still in early phases, the coming year could be a big one — and that could be rough for the ride-hailers. Per Wedbush, Alphabet’s $100 billion robotaxi biz Waymo is set to launch operations in 20 cities, and Tesla appears to be making strides.

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Sales rose 1% year on year to $12.4 billion for the quarter ended November 30, beating the $12.2 billion estimate compiled by LSEG, while adjusted earnings per share of $0.53 also topped the $0.38 estimate — aided by a 9% sales increase in North America, which helped offset a 17% decline in China.

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