Nia Warfield, Luke Kawa

6/23/25

Stocks surge, oil tumbles as traders decide worst is over after ineffectual Iranian response to US strikes

While markets were a bit jittery Sunday night following US strikes on Iran this weekend, a relatively minor response from Iran renewed risk appetite as traders saw de-escalation as the most likely path forward. The S&P 500 rose nearly 1%, while the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 closed up 1.1%.

West Texas Intermediate prices tumbled 8%. Crude has now completely round-tripped and is trading below levels seen when Israel first attacked Iran.

Oil giants including Halliburton, Schlumberger, and Devon Energy were among the biggest decliners in the S&P 500 after Iran’s retaliatory strike on a US airbase in Qatar came without casualties. Investors stayed optimistic that tensions may ease soon. The bottom slot on the leaderboard, however, went to Super Micro Computer, as traders reacted negatively to a convertible debt offering.

Tesla, meanwhile, led gainers, rising 8% after the company’s long-awaited robotaxi made a successful debut in Austin.

Elsewhere…

Airlines including Delta, United, and American (with routes to Tel Aviv, Dubai, and Doha) slipped early in the session following US strikes on Iran, but ended the day in the green.

Payments provider and financial services technology company Fiserv jumped 4% after it announced it plans to launch a digital asset platform and a stablecoin by the end of the year.

Estée Lauder rose nearly 5% after Raymond James upgraded the stock, citing a supply chain pivot away from China and signs that global beauty demand may be bottoming.

Hims & Hers sank almost 35%, its biggest single-day drop ever, after pharma giant Novo Nordisk said it’s ending its short-lived partnership with the telehealth company.

CoreWeave shares sank 5% on no obvious news as the AI cloud computing company gave back some ground after last week’s 25% rally.

On the flip side, AI data center supplier Arista Networks surged more than 6% on a massively bullish tilt in options activity.

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Nia Warfield, Luke Kawa

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 post record closing highs as nearly everything rallies

The benchmark US stock index ended up 0.9%, the Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6%, and the Russell 2000 outperformed with a 1.8% gain.

Bull charging across sand creating dust cloud

markets

8h

Warner Bros. Discovery jumps after Wells Fargo ups price target on dealmaking buzz

Warner Bros. Discovery shares popped 7% Tuesday after Wells Fargo raised its price target on the media giant to $14 from $13 while keeping an equal-weight rating.

The bank’s optimism stemmed largely from the media giant’s potential for dealmaking. In June, WBD announced that it would split its operations into two companies, with the Streaming & Studios division (home to Warner Bros. Television, DC Studios, HBO, and Max) standing alone from the networks side (CNN, TNT Sports, and Discovery).

That separation could make the Streaming & Studios unit more attractive to buyers, the analysts said. They valued the segment at about $65 billion, which could translate to a takeover price north of $21 a share. Potential suitors range from Amazon and Apple to Sony and Comcast, though analysts flagged Netflix as the “most compelling” option despite its limited acquisition track record:

“While NFLX has historically not been acquisitive, [streaming and studios’] $12bn in annual content spend + library + 100+ acre studio lot offers a lot. It kickstarts a theatrical IP strategy, quickly scales video games and most importantly provides premium content to members.”

At Goldman Sachs’ Communacopia + Technology Conference this week, CEO David Zaslav also highlighted growing traction at HBO Max and hinted at future crackdowns on password sharing.

WBD shares are up 26% year to date, and up more than 93% over the past 12 months.

markets

8h

Duolingo up on bullish note, hopes for a user rebound

Duolingo rose by the most in nearly a month after an analyst note painted a more bullish picture of the gamified language-learning company despite a dearth of news otherwise.

A quick check-in with analysts covering the stock on Wall Street found most of them otherwise flummoxed on the reason behind the uptick Thursday.

Some, however, suggested the rise may reflect optimism that the company has been able to reverse a monthslong downturn in daily active user metrics — a slump that set in after a social media backlash to a somewhat artless LinkedIn post from the company about its AI first strategy.

The bullish analyst note, published Thursday by Citizens JMP, suggested Duolingo could be a big beneficiary from a change to Apple’s rules governing its App Store driven by a ruling on a federal antitrust case against the company. The analysts wrote:

Given “Apple’s recent changes to U.S. App Store rules that allow developers to steer payments to the web where fees are similar to typical credit card fees rather than Apple’s 30% fee for in-app purchases and 30% fee on subscriptions for the first year and 15% thereafter, we expect mobile app companies including Duolingo, Life360, and Grindr Inc. to unlock meaningful cost benefits.”

At any rate, the next big event on the company’s calendar is its Duocon 2025 conference on Tuesday, where analysts are hoping to hear more hard information on all of the above topics.

markets

8h

Jeep maker Stellantis surges as CEO says the automaker is in productive tariff talks with the US

Shares of Jeep and Dodge maker Stellantis are up more than 8% in Thursday afternoon trading, following comments from the automaker’s new CEO, Antonio Filosa, at a European auto conference.

On tariffs, Filosa said that Stellantis has had a “very productive exchange of ideas” with the Trump administration on the company’s manufacturing footprint and that the environment around the levies is “getting clearer and clearer.”

The US is Stellantis’ top priority, according to Filosa, and the company has taken efforts to turn things around in the market, where it’s struggled with sales in recent years. To fuel the turnaround, Stellantis is bringing back its popular Jeep Cherokee, which it discontinued in 2023.

As of 12:45 p.m. ET, Stellantis’ trading volume was at more than 140% of its average over the past 30 days.

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