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SPACs are back — maybe just with the same old playbook and players

Many assets from the last boom still aren’t looking great.

Hyunsoo Rim

After a pandemic-era surge that ended in a wave of flameouts, Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs) — “blank-check” firms that raise money via IPO, then look to merge with a private company — are making a comeback.

According to Bloomberg, US SPACs have raised $11 billion so far in 2025, more than 5x the total at this point last year, and now account for nearly two-thirds of all US IPO volume. 

Driving the revival are some familiar names. Goldman Sachs is reportedly returning to the SPAC business after a three-year pause, only with a more selective approach. Chamath Palihapitiya, once dubbed the “SPAC King,” said last week he’ll “probably” launch another, as he concedes his last run “wasn’t a success by any means.” Meanwhile, regulatory tailwinds may be helping, with new SEC Chair Paul Atkins signaling a potential rollback of the stricter rules imposed under his predecessor.

However, cautionary specters from the 2020-21 SPAC frenzy still loom large.

Many of the pandemic-era cycle’s high-profile SPACs have cratered since their IPOs, due to overhyped projections, rising interest rates, and tougher scrutiny. Palihapitiya’s own deals — including Virgin Galactic, Clover Health, Opendoor, and Lucid — have mostly plunged 70% to 90% from their IPO prices (perhaps an explanation for why 71% of respondents in his recent X poll said he shouldn’t return). QuantumScape, despite jumping 35% yesterday, remains far from its peak, having never generated revenue, while several others have been delisted.

There are, of course, a few exceptions. Trump Media surged on political momentum despite its weak fundamentals; DraftKings has ridden the sports betting boom; SoFi Technologies remains a rare win from Palihapitiya with strong consumer traction; and Hims & Hers has built buzz in telehealth — though it certainly looks a little under the weather this week.

Yet many of the old problems persist. SPACs are once again chasing hyped sectors du jour, like crypto, quantum, and autonomous vehicles, and over 90% of completed SPAC deals now trade below their IPO price, per Reuters.

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Microsoft is in talks to shift its custom chip business to Broadcom from Marvell, The Information reports

The Information’s profile of custom chip specialist Broadcom includes this tidbit:

“And now Microsoft is also in talks to design future chips with Broadcom, which would involve Microsoft switching its business from Marvell, another maker of custom chips, according to one person involved in the discussions.”

Shares of Marvell Technology briefly dipped into the red after this report hit the wires, but then pared that drop to trade modestly higher. The company codesigns the Maia line of ASICs for Microsoft that are custom-built for Azure. Microsoft is its second-biggest hyperscaler client, behind Amazon.

Marvell tumbled on a ho-hum earnings report earlier this week before going on to surge after CEO Matt Murphy offered a $10 billion revenue target for its upcoming fiscal year, which was above analysts’ expectations.

Perhaps this is a bit of Information fatigue, given how Microsoft was quick to deny a report from the outlet earlier this week about how the tech giant lowered its sales targets for AI products.

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Memory stocks soar as AI supporting cast repairs damage from steep November declines

There’s not much rhyme or reason to it, but memory stocks are ending the week with a stellar showing.

Shares of high-bandwidth memory specialist Micron, hard disk drive sellers Seagate Technology Holdings and Western Digital, and flash memory company Sandisk are all rising today.

Three of these stocks dropped about 20% in November as credit risk seeping into AI and a downturn in speculative momentum stocks weighed on the theme, with Sandisk faring the worst.

Micron, Western Digital, and Seagate have all since rebounded strongly and are about 5% or less from reclaiming all-time highs, while Sandisk has made up the least ground.

While GPUs (and, more recently, TPUs) get most of the headlines, data centers also need a boatload of memory chips that store information and feed it to those processors.

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Ulta soars as Q3 beat sparks flood of price target hikes

Ulta’s latest makeover is happening on Wall Street. Shares leapt Friday morning as analysts hiked their price targets after the beauty retailer topped Q3 estimates and raised its full-year outlook after the bell Thursday.

Earnings came in at $5.14 per share, handily beating analyst expectations of $4.64. Revenue also topped estimates at $2.86 billion, compared with the $2.72 billion expected. Ulta has benefited from resilient beauty spending, even as consumers pull back elsewhere and hunt more aggressively for discounts.

Ulta now expects full-year net sales of about $12.3 billion, up from a prior forecast of $12.0 billion to $12.1 billion. The retailer also lifted its earnings outlook to $25.20 to $25.50 per share, up from $23.85 to $24.30 previously. This marks Ulta’s second straight quarter of hiking its sales and profit forecast. Analysts are taking note:

  • Goldman Sachs maintained its “buy” rating and raised its price target to $642 from $584.

  • DA Davidson maintained its “buy” rating and raised its price target to $650 from $625.

  • JPMorgan maintained its “outperform” rating and raised its price target to $647 from $606.

  • Baird maintained its “outperform” rating and hiked its price target to $670 from $600.

  • Telsey Advisory maintained its “outperform” rating and raised its price target to $640 from $610.

  • Piper Sandler maintained its “outperform” rating and raised its price target to $615 from $590.

  • Canaccord Genuity maintained its “neutral” rating and raised its price target to $674 from $654.

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Southwest cuts its earnings outlook on lost revenue due to government shutdown

Another big four airline has put a price tag on the 43-day government shutdown.

Southwest Airlines on Friday said lower revenue due to a temporary decline in demand during the shutdown, together with higher fuel costs, will ding its annual earnings before interest and taxes by between $100 million and $300 million. The carrier lowered its full-year EBIT outlook to $500 million, down from a prior range of $600 million to $800 million.

According to Southwest’s filing, bookings have returned to previous expectations following the end of the shutdown. Its shares dipped down about 1% in premarket trading.

The carrier joins Delta Air Lines in assigning a cost to the government closure. Earlier this week, Delta said the shutdown would cost it $200 million in the fourth quarter.

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