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Elon 🤝 Elon 

SpaceX’s planned $1.5 trillion IPO is on track to be gargantuan enough

But a potential merger with xAI or Tesla would create a Musk-centric megaplanet.

Claire Yubin Oh

Some Elon Musk fans have long envisioned “Musk Inc.” — a tech monolith that brings the companies controlled by the world’s richest man under one giant umbrella. That reality might be more than a fantasy, as SpaceX is reportedly targeting a mid-June IPO, with considerations of a potential merger with Tesla or xAI. 

Consistent with Musk’s history of making light of major business moves, the rocket company is planning to go public when Jupiter and Venus appear very close together, which would likely be around June 9, according to astronomer Dominic Ford.

Any tie-up between SpaceX and Musk’s other companies would make it easier to pursue some of his most ambitious visions, like putting data centers into space. It would also be unbelievably complicated, particularly for Tesla, which is already public. But, even if the rocket company ends up going public on its own, it will be a serious force of gravity in the public markets, as it aims to raise as much as $50 billion at a targeted valuation of around $1.5 trillion.

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At that kind of price tag, SpaceX alone would likely be the second-most-valuable IPO in history, second only to Saudi Arabia’s state-sponsored company, Aramco, which went public at a $1.7 trillion market cap, but with just ~1.5% of the company available for sale to the general public. In terms of money raised, SpaceX’s target to close $50 billion in new investment would be the biggest ever. OpenAI, another cash-burning tech name looking to potentially debut this year, could be the only challenge to that title.

SpaceX is likely to be very different. Indeed, retail traders are already showing appetite: the Private Shares Fund run by Kevin Moss — which invests exclusively in private companies, including 14% of its holdings in SpaceX — has seen its inflows surging more than 200% since the rocket maker’s IPO news was first announced in early December. 

Whichever direction the company chooses to open its investor base, Elon Musk is likely to be a big winner, with his ~42% stake in the rocket company potentially worth more than $600 billion if the targeted valuation is hit. That would be way more than his Tesla nest egg, worth some $178 billion per Bloomberg’s Billionaires Index based on today’s market cap figures.

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AI “bottleneck” stocks are the big winners halfway through a tumultuous week

Memory stocks and chip machinery companies are bouncing Wednesday, following a strong Oracle earnings report that bolstered confidence in the durability of the AI data center build-out.

In fact, Sandisk is the top performer of the S&P 500 so far this week, rising more than 21% from Friday’s close, as of shortly after 2 p.m. ET. Memory chip maker Micron is second in line, up more than 13% in weekly gains, and hard disk drive maker Western Digital is also getting a lift.

Other big winners so far this week are some of the so-called semicap shares — makers of the ultraprecise machines that turn silicon into actual semiconductors — with Lam Research and KLA Corp both racking up gains of about 10% on the week. Applied Materials is up about 8% this week.

Thematically speaking, both memory stocks like Sandisk and Micron as well as semicap shares like KLA have been part of the “buy the bottleneck” trade, in which investors buy companies they believe sit at key pinch points in the AI supply chain and therefore have pretty tremendous pricing power. Through that lens, the stocks’ bounce might reflect some additional excitement about the durability of the data center boom after Oracle’s results, which included a larger-than-expected capex number as well as sales guidances that was higher than Wall Street was forecasting.

But the bounce also may be the less interesting market phenomenon of mean reversion rearing its head, as these stocks were also some of the most beaten down in the S&P 500 last week, when Sandisk lost 17% and Lam lost about 15%, for example. So, some snapback may merely be a market reflex.

Other big winners so far this week are some of the so-called semicap shares — makers of the ultraprecise machines that turn silicon into actual semiconductors — with Lam Research and KLA Corp both racking up gains of about 10% on the week. Applied Materials is up about 8% this week.

Thematically speaking, both memory stocks like Sandisk and Micron as well as semicap shares like KLA have been part of the “buy the bottleneck” trade, in which investors buy companies they believe sit at key pinch points in the AI supply chain and therefore have pretty tremendous pricing power. Through that lens, the stocks’ bounce might reflect some additional excitement about the durability of the data center boom after Oracle’s results, which included a larger-than-expected capex number as well as sales guidances that was higher than Wall Street was forecasting.

But the bounce also may be the less interesting market phenomenon of mean reversion rearing its head, as these stocks were also some of the most beaten down in the S&P 500 last week, when Sandisk lost 17% and Lam lost about 15%, for example. So, some snapback may merely be a market reflex.

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Papa John’s spikes following report of a $47-per-share take-private offer from Qatari investment fund Irth Capital

A few weeks after announcing it would close 300 stores by the end of next year, Papa John’s is drawing fresh take-private interest from Irth Capital, an investment fund backed by a member of the Qatari royal family.

Papa John’s shares were up 19% on Wednesday afternoon, on pace for their best day since February 2025.

According to The Wall Street Journal, Irth is offering $47 per share for PZZA, valuing the company at about $1.5 billion. The fund currently holds a roughly 10% stake in Papa John’s, per the report.

Irth has tried to take Papa John’s private before, offering $60 per share in a joint bid with Apollo Global in June of last year. In October, Apollo Global again offered to take the company private at $64 per share. That offer was later withdrawn.

Broadly, the pizza category is being increasingly dominated by Domino’s, which opened 700 stores globally last year and has a market cap 9x greater than Irth’s latest reported offer for Papa John’s.

According to The Wall Street Journal, Irth is offering $47 per share for PZZA, valuing the company at about $1.5 billion. The fund currently holds a roughly 10% stake in Papa John’s, per the report.

Irth has tried to take Papa John’s private before, offering $60 per share in a joint bid with Apollo Global in June of last year. In October, Apollo Global again offered to take the company private at $64 per share. That offer was later withdrawn.

Broadly, the pizza category is being increasingly dominated by Domino’s, which opened 700 stores globally last year and has a market cap 9x greater than Irth’s latest reported offer for Papa John’s.

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