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Wall Street reacts to Robinhood’s Q2 numbers
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Robinhood’s Q2: Here’s what Wall Street thinks

Analysts revised estimates higher following Robinhood’s Q2 results, but there’s still that question of valuation.

Matt Phillips

Robinhood Markets shares fluctuated in early trading Thursday, a day after the company posted Q2 earnings that, in the aggregate, seemed to please Wall Street. Analysts subsequently revised their expectations for full-year 2025 earnings and sales higher, typically a sign the numbers were well received.

(Robinhood Markets, Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company.)

Here’s some of the chatter from scribes on the Street...

Barclays (Rating: “Overweight”; Price target: $120):

“While momentum appeared to decelerate in Q2 (softer deposits every month sequentially; worsening churn and slowing new funded accounts), July saw more of a pick up in a number of KPIs including deposits, margin balances, and trading volumes. With the stock trading around all time highs, it is not yet clear if the Q2 beat (some of which, like Securities lending and the options take rate, may not recur) was enough, but we are encouraged by the ongoing momentum in the US brokerage business in particular.”

Mizuho (Rating: “Outperform”; Price target: $120):

“We think Robinhood will aim to leverage its already massive (and growing) user base, simple interface, and ecosystem to cross-sell lending products, which will continue to push the company closer to its 10-year vision of being the #1 global financial ecosystem.”

Citi (Rating: “Neutral/High Risk”; Price target: $120):

“While HOOD continues to see solid momentum across the platform, we believe the stock is pricing in much of the growth potential in our view (currently trading at 59x/48x our 2026/2027 EPS estimates). Although we see a number of long-term growth opportunities and an improving fundamental outlook, we prefer to wait for a more reasonable entry point at present.”

Morgan Stanley (Rating: “Equal-weight”; Price target: $110):

“We remain convicted in HOOD’s long-term growth on the back of strong 2Q earnings where mgmt continues to demonstrate strong account growth and organic asset growth, illustrating that the value prop of the HOOD ecosystem continues to resonate.”

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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Sherwood Media, LLC and Chartr Limited produce fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and are fully owned subsidiaries of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Money, LLC, Robinhood U.K. Ltd, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, Robinhood Gold, LLC, Robinhood Asset Management, LLC, Robinhood Credit, Inc., Robinhood Ventures DE, LLC and, where applicable, its managed investment vehicles.